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Strained government resources, increased organized crime, political tensions and supply chain disruptions are likely to rise in tandem with migration.

How Record Migration Will Impact Central America

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The Fight for Russia’s Borderlands

Are Russia's claims of increased cooperation with Latin America's authoritarian governments credible?

Essential Geopolitics: Russia Makes Moves in the U.S. Backyard

People walk past a mural of the Venezuelan and Russian flags that reads "Together we will defeat COVID-19" in Caracas, Venezuela, on March 4, 2021.

Economics

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Amid ongoing tensions in Ukraine, Moscow will use its ties with Cuba, Venezuela and Nicaragua to illustrate its geopolitical influence in the U.S.'s own backyard. 

Is Russia’s Renewed Outreach to Latin America All for Show?

The Ukraine Conflict

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A demonstration against a Polish parliamentary vote seen as impinging on press freedoms Dec. 19, 2021, in Warsaw, Poland. Crackdowns on independent media and civil society groups pose long-term risks by silencing valuable local information sources and harming the business climate.

Political Instability & Social Unrest

Crackdowns on independent media and civil society groups pose long-term risks by silencing valuable local information sources and harming the business climate.

The Corporate Implications of Cracking Down on Domestic Dissent

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A video grab shows Nicaraguan Foreign Minister Denis Moncada announcing the country’s diplomatic split from Taiwan on Dec. 9, 2021. 

The move shows how the U.S.’s sanctions-heavy, anti-corruption drive in Central America risks pushing countries into China’s open arms. 

What to Make of Nicaragua’s Diplomatic Break From Taiwan

The New Silk Road

Security Challenges in Latin America

What does Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega's crackdown against his critics mean for democracy in his country?

Essential Geopolitics: Nicaragua Dances With Dictatorship

Guatemala

In this podcast, Emily Donahue speaks to Ben West, a Stratfor senior global security analyst, about the forecast for the U.S.-Mexico border in 2021.

Essential Geopolitics: The U.S.-Mexico Border Forecast for 2021

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Shoppers wearing face masks amid concerns over the COVID-19 novel coronavirus outbreak in a market in Seoul, South Korea, on March 14, 2020.

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Whether the lessons of South Korea can be applied in the West remains to be seen.

Learning How to Reopen a Country After COVID-19 Shutdowns

COVID-19

2020 Second-Quarter Forecast

This geographically, culturally and politically diverse region is home to the United States, a nation whose geography helped it become the foremost economic and military power in the world

Americas

The Americas stretch from the Arctic Circle in Canada to the southern tip of Chile. This geographically, culturally and politically diverse region is home to the United States, a nation whose geography helped it become the foremost economic and military power in the world &mdash; an ascendance aided in part by bringing Mexico and Canada into its sphere of influence. Farther south, the nations of South America are like islands, separated by vast spaces of impenetrable mountains, rivers and jungles. Try though these countries may to integrate more closely, deeper ties such as those that characterize North America will prove elusive.

2020 Annual Forecast

Global Perspectives

Contributor Perspectives

Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega seems to be going down the same path as his authoritarian predecessors.

As President Daniel Ortega ramps up the pressure on the press, he might do well to heed the lesson of the last time an authoritarian Nicaraguan leader attacked the country's journalists.


What Happens When You Kill the Messenger in Nicaragua

2019 Fourth-Quarter Forecast

China and Nicaragua signed a free trade agreement (FTA) that covers a diverse range of areas including customs, tariffs, financial services and multilateral environmental deals, Reuters reported on Aug. 30.

Nicaragua, China: Countries Sign Free Trade Agreement

The U.S. Biden administration issued new sanctions against Nicaragua's gold and mining industries in order to increase pressure on Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega over his authoritarian actions, AP reported Oct. 24.

Nicaragua: New U.S. Sanctions Target Nicaraguan Gold Industry

The U.S. Biden administration reportedly is considering blocking imports from Nicaragua due to objections to increasingly authoritarian actions by Nicaragua's government, Voice of America reported Aug. 30.

Nicaragua: U.S. Considers Halting Imports of Nicaraguan Goods

The United States is set to remove Nicaragua from a list of countries allowed to ship specific amounts of sugar to the United States at a lower tariff rate, The Wall Street Journal reported July 20.

Nicaragua: U.S. Revokes Low-Rate Sugar Tariffs

Nicaragua's Trade and Industry Minister Jose Bermudez announced that the country plans to accelerate the implementation of a free trade agreement with China, including the signature of an "Early Harvest Agreement" to export certain items to China with zero tariffs, Telesur English reported July 12.

Nicaragua, China: Countries Accelerate Free Trade Agreement

Nicaragua's National Assembly ratified the entry of foreign troops into the country for a period of six months starting in July, allowing troops from Cuba, Mexico, Russia, the United States and Venezuela to aid in training exercises and humanitarian operations, Deutsche Welle reported June 14.

Nicaragua: Government Ratified Presence of Foreign Militaries

Michael Healy Lacayo and Alvaro Vargas, the president and vice president of the Superior Council of Private Enterprise (a leading Nicaraguan business chamber), were convicted of undermining Nicaragua's national integrity, Reuters reported April 30.

Nicaragua: Business People Convicted of Treason as Government Cracks Down on Dissent

The U.S. and the Balance of Power

Crossing Borders

Approximately 200 Cubans protested near Costa Rica's embassy in Havana in response to Costa Rica's new requirements for Cubans and Nicaraguans to show transit visas if they pass through Costa Rica on their way to other countries, Reuters reported Feb. 21.

Costa Rica: Cubans Protest New Visa Requirements Near Costa Rican Embassy

Venezuela's Unraveling

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Covering an area that spans the entire width of the continent beginning at the Sahara Desert and ending at the southernmost tip of South Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa is home to countless cultures, languages, religions, plants, animals and natural resources.

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Mir Castle in the Minsk region of Belarus.

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A horse grazes in front of Kara-Kul lake in the Chon-Ak-Suu valley, 300 kilometers southeast of Bishkek, the capital of Kyrgyzstan.

SITUATION REPORTS

Nicaragua, China: Countries Sign Free Trade Agreement

Nicaragua: New U.S. Sanctions Target Nicaraguan Gold Industry

Nicaragua: U.S. Considers Halting Imports of Nicaraguan Goods

Nicaragua: U.S. Revokes Low-Rate Sugar Tariffs

Nicaragua, China: Countries Accelerate Free Trade Agreement

Nicaragua: Government Ratified Presence of Foreign Militaries

Nicaragua: Business People Convicted of Treason as Government Cracks Down on Dissent

Costa Rica: Cubans Protest New Visa Requirements Near Costa Rican Embassy

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