Mexico

United States

Economics

Politics

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum said her administration would seek to reach a deal with the United States to avert the 30% tariff on Mexican imports U.S. President Donald Trump announced on July 12, El Economista reported on the same day.

U.S., Mexico: Trump's Tariff Threat to Have Limited Impact on Mexico if USMCA Exemption Persists

Europe

The European Commission proposed extending the bloc's suspension of a 21 billion euro ($24.5 billion) retaliatory package against the United States until early August as the European Union prioritizes negotiations to avert a threatened 30% U.S. tariff on most EU imports, Reuters reported on July 14.

EU, U.S.: Brussels Extends Retaliatory Tariffs to August in Bid To Reach Deal With Washington

Canada

Australia

China

Fiji

Indonesia

Japan

Malaysia

New Zealand

Papua New Guinea

Philippines

Singapore

South Korea

Thailand

Tonga

Vietnam

Germany

France

United Kingdom

Norway

Netherlands

India

Military & Security

Australia launched U.S.-made High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems as part of the 2025 Exercise Talisman Sabre, the largest iteration of the biennial multinational drills to date, AP reported on July 14.

Australia: HIMARS Fired Amid Largest-Ever Military Drills

U.S.-China Relations

China's exports rose 5.8% year on year in June, buoyed by a fragile trade truce with the United States -- where month-on-month exports rose 32.4% even as year-on-year exports to the United States fell by 16% -- and surging shipments to the Association of Southeast Asian Nations and the European Union, Nikkei Asia reported on July 14.

China: Export Gains Made Amid Fragile Trade Truce, but Tariff Deadline Still Looms

Ukraine

Russia

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

U.S. President Donald Trump said the United States would send "really massive numbers of military equipment, both for air defence, but also missiles, ammunition" to Ukraine, paid for by Ukraine's European allies, The Guardian reported on July 14.

U.S., Ukraine: U.S. To Send 'Massive' Numbers of Military Equipment to Ukraine

Global Trade

Vietnam's leaders were surprised after U.S. President Donald Trump unilaterally announced a 20% tariff rate on Vietnamese exports on July 2 because, according to sources cited in a July 11 Politico report, this was almost double the 11% rate Hanoi had reportedly agreed to in its trade negotiations with the White House.

Vietnam, U.S.: Lack of Consensus on Trade Deal Puts It In Jeopardy

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi held talks they both described as ''constructive'' on the sidelines of the ASEAN Foreign Ministers' Summit in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, the South China Morning Post reported July 11.

U.S., China: Rubio-Wong Talks Could Set Stage for Trump-Xi Summit

In a letter published on Truth Social on July 10, U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to increase tariffs on Canada to 35%.

U.S., Canada: Trump Threatens New 35% Tariff on Canadian Goods 

Assessments

U.S. President Donald Trump on April 24 in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington. In an interview July 10, U.S. President Donald Trump suggested he would "have a major statement to make on Russia on Monday," perhaps representing a shift in his administration's policy.

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Trump Speaks on Ukraine, Sweeping EU Budget Reform

Snapshots

A Ukrainian soldier works on an AN/TWQ-1 Avenger anti-aircraft missile system on Nov. 28, 2023, in Kyiv, Ukraine. 

Despite Trump's impatience with Russia's failure to de-escalate in Ukraine, the White House is highly unlikely to dramatically ramp up pressure in a way that significantly alters the Kremlin's calculus.

What Trump's Growing Frustration With Russia Means for U.S. Policy

Tracking U.S. Naval Power

This map shows the approximate locations of U.S. Carrier Strike Groups and Amphibious Ready Groups.

U.S. Naval Update Map: July 10, 2025

Columns

On Geopolitics

U.S. President Donald Trump arrives to speak during a rally at a steel plant in West Mifflin, Pennsylvania, on May 30, 2025. 

For the rest of his term, Trump will continue to use tariffs to secure foreign policy concessions on both trade and non-trade matters, even if he starts shifting away from broad, global tariff threats to ones focused on specific countries or goods. 

A Look at Trump's Evolving Tariff Strategy

Leaders of eight political parties pose before a debate at the Japan National Press Club on July 2, 2025, in Tokyo, Japan. From left to right are Sanseito Secretary General Sohei Kamiya, Japanese Communist Party Chairperson Tomoko Tamura, Komeito Chief Representative Tetsuo Saito, Constitutional Democratic Party President Yoshihiko Noda, Japan's Prime Minister and Liberal Democratic Party President Shigeru Ishiba, Governor of Osaka and Japan Innovation Party Co-Representative Hirofumi Yoshimura, Democratic Party for the People Representative Yuichiro Tamaki and Reiwa Shinsengumi President Taro Yamamoto.

Japan's upper house elections will determine whether the ruling Liberal Democratic Party will stay in power and -- if so -- how easily it will be able to pursue its key policy goals.

Japan's Election: Potential Outcomes and Their Implications

President Donald Trump bangs a gavel after signing a bill into law extending his 2017 tax cuts on July 4 in Washington.

The measure will prevent a sharp increase in income taxes that would shock the economy, but add to the already high U.S. government debt burden.

The Consequences of Extending Trump's 2017 Tax Cuts

Iran

Iraq

Israel

Lebanon

Yemen

An Iranian flag is draped from a building damaged during a recent attack by Israel is seen in the Gisha neighborhood of Tehran, Iran, on June 25, 2025. 

Israel-Hamas Conflict

The brief war with Israel has significantly weakened Iran's regional influence and military capabilities, forcing it and the members of its Axis of Resistance to recalibrate their strategies and focus on recovery.

The Impact of the 12-Day War on Iran and Its Allies, Part 1

Brazil

U.S.-Iran Relations

The Weekly Rundown: Netanyahu's U.S. Visit, a Franco-British Summit

Bahrain

Kuwait

Oman

Qatar

Saudi Arabia

United Arab Emirates

Energy

Over the next decade, Gulf Arab states will increase oil and gas exports to emerging Asian markets, seeking alternatives to the U.S. amid tariff uncertainty. But the region's military and tech ties with the U.S. will remain strong.

Geopolitics of Trade: Gulf Arab States Balance Diversification With Enduring U.S. Ties

Vietnam's Foreign Ministry spokesperson Pham Thu Hang answers reporters' questions about the new Vietnam-U.S. trade deal during a press conference in Hanoi on July 3, 2025. 

The deal reduces planned U.S. tariffs on Vietnamese goods from 46% to 20%, but the lack of key details also introduces significant compliance uncertainty and investment risks that could ripple across Asian supply chains. 

The Vietnam-U.S. Trade Deal Reduces Tariffs, but the Devil Is in the Details

U.S. Naval Update Map: July 3, 2025

A Ukrainian soldier works on an Avenger AN/TWQ-1 anti-aircraft missile system on Nov. 28, 2023, in Kyiv, Ukraine.

Without new supplies of U.S. Patriot interceptors and precision-guided munitions, Ukraine will struggle to defend against Russia's escalating aerial attacks, which could eventually force it into an unfavorable peace deal.

Ukraine Grapples With a Freeze on U.S. Weapons Deliveries

The United States encompasses territory spanning from the Arctic Circle and Central Pacific to the Gulf of Mexico and the North Atlantic.    The Greater Mississippi Basin is the United States' core and serves as the underpinning of its role as a global superpower.    The basin hosts an extensive network of navigable rivers that overlay the world's largest contiguous piece of arable land. This naturally interconnected river system facilitated integration among settlers and allowed for cheap transport of goods, providing the United States with the ability to feed itself efficiently and rapidly build up industry and capital to expand west. The Midwestern core gave early America strategic depth, while an expanding U.S. coastline, naturally indented with deep harbors, provided its opening to the world.    After reaching the Pacific coast in the mid-19th century, the United States found itself insulated by two oceans. On the continent itself, geography again has worked in the country's favor: lakes to the north and deserts to the south insulate the United States' population centers, with both Canada and Mexico facing too many natural constraints of their own to seriously rival it.    This unparalleled level of wealth and protection gives the United States options that few to no countries can claim. For one, the United States has used its wealth and security to build up the world's largest navy. Control of the world's major sea-lanes gives the United States the power to facilitate or deny trade to allies or rivals of the day. The onus therefore is on the United States to carefully manage its engagements abroad and build up strategic allies to protect its overseas interests and preserve its strength at home. 

SITUATION REPORTS

U.S., Mexico: Trump's Tariff Threat to Have Limited Impact on Mexico if USMCA Exemption Persists

EU, U.S.: Brussels Extends Retaliatory Tariffs to August in Bid To Reach Deal With Washington

Australia: HIMARS Fired Amid Largest-Ever Military Drills

China: Export Gains Made Amid Fragile Trade Truce, but Tariff Deadline Still Looms

U.S., Ukraine: U.S. To Send 'Massive' Numbers of Military Equipment to Ukraine

Vietnam, U.S.: Lack of Consensus on Trade Deal Puts It In Jeopardy

U.S., China: Rubio-Wong Talks Could Set Stage for Trump-Xi Summit

U.S., Canada: Trump Threatens New 35% Tariff on Canadian Goods

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