Ukraine

Russia

Military & Security

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Russia-Ukraine Conflict

At midnight on May 8, the Russian government announced the beginning of a 72-hour ceasefire in its war with Ukraine to coincide with Victory Day, which most of the West commemorates on May 8 but Russia celebrates on May 9. 

Russia, Ukraine: Moscow Announces Start of V-Day Ceasefire, Ukraine Denounces Violations

United States

Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said Moscow was still waiting to hear back from Kyiv regarding Russia's proposal for a three-day ceasefire from May 8-10, while also saying Russia would not agree to an immediate 30-day ceasefire proposed by Ukraine until "nuances" are addressed, The Moscow Times reported on April 29.

Russia, Ukraine: Kremlin Pushes Back on Ukraine's Proposal for Immediate Ceasefire

The Kremlin announced on April 28 that it will implement a temporary ceasefire in Ukraine from May 8 to May 10 to observe the 80th anniversary of the defeat of Nazi Germany in World War II.

Russia, Ukraine: Kremlin Announces Three-Day Ceasefire in May Amid Pressure From White House

An improvised explosive device hidden in a car killed a senior Russian general, Lt. Gen. Yaroslav Moskalik, in a Moscow suburb, The Guardian reported on April 25. 

Russia, Ukraine, U.S.: Top Russian Commander Killed as Witkoff Meets With Putin

Europe

United Kingdom

The United Kingdom is considering dropping plans to deploy thousands of troops to Ukraine as part of a pan-European mission to provide Kyiv with post-conflict security guarantees, citing excessive risks and inadequate forces, The Times reported on April 25, citing British diplomatic and military sources.

Europe, Ukraine, Russia: London Weighs Watering Down Ukraine Reassurance Force Plans

Ukrainian President Volodomyr Zelensky cut short a trip to South Africa to return home after one of the largest Russian missile and drone attacks in months targeting Kyiv and other cities, Bloomberg reported April 24. 

Russia, Ukraine: Massive Russian Attack on Ukraine as Both Sides Trade Blame for Holding Up Peace Deal

Russian President Vladimir Putin reportedly told U.S. special envoy Steve Witkoff during a meeting on April 11 in St. Petersburg that Russia was prepared to freeze its invasion along the current frontlines in Ukraine as part of an effort to reach a U.S.-mediated peace deal, the Finacial Times reported on April 22, citing people familiar with the officials’ discussion.

Russia, Ukraine: Putin Reportedly Offered To Freeze Conflict Along Frontlines

Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told reporters that Russian President Vladimir Putin was prepared to evaluate an offer from Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to stop attacks against civilian infrastructure, The Guardian reported on April 22.

Russia, Ukraine: Leaders' Rhetoric Suggests Opening for Limited Ceasefire

Columns

On Geopolitics

The allure of implementing a sphere of influence model is more likely to disappoint those who may argue that it would create more stability and security.

The Temptations of a Sphere-of-Influence Model of International Relations

Assessments

Drag-line excavator mines rare earth materials on Ukrainian soil on Feb. 25, 2025, in the Zhytomyr region of Ukraine. 

Economics

A new U.S.-Ukraine economic deal offers Washington a long-term stake in Ukraine's critical resources -- and a potential lever in ceasefire diplomacy.

New Strategic Pact Gives U.S. Stake in Ukraine's Economic Future

Canada

Iran

Italy

India

Pakistan

Indian soldiers stand guard atop their vehicle in Srinagar, India, on April 23, 2025, following a deadly militant attack on tourists in Indian-administered Kashmir.

U.S.-Iran Relations

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Escalating Pakistan-India Tensions, Canadian Elections and Pope Francis' Funeral

Snapshots

France

U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff (2 L) and U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio (C) attend a meeting with European and Ukrainian officials on April 17 at the Elysee presidential palace in Paris.

Ukraine will be forced to choose between compromising on its supposed red lines to de-escalate its war with Russia, or risk losing U.S. support and its battlefield position. 

Growing U.S. Pressure for a Peace Deal Puts Ukraine in a Difficult Position

Workers at a quarry Feb. 26, 2025 in the Zhytomyr region of Ukraine.

Cyber

The Weekly Rundown: Von der Leyen Meets Starmer, a U.S.-Ukraine Minerals Deal

South Africa

Israel

China

Germany

A list of countries facing reciprocal tariffs on display April 2 at the White House.

Global Trade

U.S.-China Relations

The Weekly Rundown: The Escalating Global Trade War, South Africa's Coalition Government on the Brink

Media

Mexico

Australia

Philippines

Forecast Webcast

Join our analysts for this webcast recording exploring key topics identified in RANE's 2025 Second-Quarter Forecast.

2025 Second-Quarter Forecast Webcast

Turkey

South Korea

People wave flags and chant slogans during a protest in front of the municipality headquarters in support of arrested Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu on March 19, 2025, in Istanbul, Turkey. 

The Weekly Rundown: U.S. To Announce Tariffs, Protests in Turkey Rage On

Brazil

Lebanon

Japan

Vietnam

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio (L) and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu during a joint press conference Feb. 16 at the prime minister's office in Jerusalem. Senior Israeli officials from the security and intelligence ministries will visit the United States to discuss Iran's nuclear program and Israeli border demarcation talks with Lebanon.

The Weekly Rundown: The U.S. and Israel Coordinate on Iran, the U.K. Chancellor Seeks Fiscal Discipline

Spain

Spanish soldiers sit at tables at a makeshift military base in Valencia, eastern Spain, on Nov. 12, 2024, following deadly floods in the region.

Domestic political constraints will impede Madrid's ability to expand its defense budget, which will expose it to U.S. retaliation and limit Spanish participation in any European deployment to Ukraine.

Despite Recent Pledges, Spain Will Struggle To Boost Military Spending

Ethiopia

Reichstag in Berlin with flags.

The Weekly Rundown: U.S.-Russia Contacts on a Ukraine Ceasefire, a Vote on Reforming Germany’s Debt Brake

While a ceasefire appears increasingly likely, Russia will likely delay a deal to secure more concessions related to Western military support, a potential peacekeeping force in Ukraine, and Kyiv's NATO aspirations.

How Will Russia Respond to the U.S.-Proposed Ceasefire in Ukraine?

<p>Ukraine is the quintessential borderland state. The country borders three former Soviet states (Russia, Belarus and Moldova) and four countries in the European Union (Poland, Slovakia, Hungary and Romania). Ukraine also has a coastline along the Black Sea to the south. Ukraine sits on the Northern European Plain, the area that has historically served as an invasion superhighway going east and west. Beyond its strategic location, Ukraine&#39;s geography has only facilitated such invasions. The country consists of flat and fertile plains, with the exception of the Carpathian Mountain range that arches into the far west of the country. But even these mountains can be penetrated and have not posed a significant barrier to invasion. Given such lack of barriers, Ukraine&#39;s wide-open geography is inextricably linked to that of Russia. Ukraine&#39;s agricultural and industrial belts have traditionally been integrated with Russia&#39;s, and Ukraine serves as the primary transit state for Russian energy exports to Europe. Due to its location and abundance of agricultural and mineral resources, Ukraine has been contested between regional powers for centuries. This competition is currently playing out in an extreme form today, with a Western-backed government confronting a Russian-backed uprising in eastern Ukraine. Further complicating the situation is the fact that Ukraine has several population and political cores, including Lviv in the west, Kiev in the center and the eastern cities of Donetsk and Luhansk. These different cores make administering Ukraine difficult. The current crisis in Ukraine is therefore merely the latest iteration of the country&#39;s internal divisions and the long-standing East-West conflict over the country. Maintaining sovereignty and unity in the face of this competition is Ukraine&#39;s primary geographic challenge.</p>

SITUATION REPORTS

Russia, Ukraine: Moscow Announces Start of V-Day Ceasefire, Ukraine Denounces Violations

Russia, Ukraine: Kremlin Pushes Back on Ukraine's Proposal for Immediate Ceasefire

Russia, Ukraine: Kremlin Announces Three-Day Ceasefire in May Amid Pressure From White House

Russia, Ukraine, U.S.: Top Russian Commander Killed as Witkoff Meets With Putin

Europe, Ukraine, Russia: London Weighs Watering Down Ukraine Reassurance Force Plans

Russia, Ukraine: Massive Russian Attack on Ukraine as Both Sides Trade Blame for Holding Up Peace Deal

Russia, Ukraine: Putin Reportedly Offered To Freeze Conflict Along Frontlines

Russia, Ukraine: Leaders' Rhetoric Suggests Opening for Limited Ceasefire

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