United States

India

Economics

Politics

Indian sources revealed that New Delhi has paused plans to acquire new U.S. weapons and aircraft, marking the first clear signal of the government's displeasure with U.S. President Donald Trump's decision to raise tariffs on Indian imports to 50%, Reuters reported on Aug. 8.

India: Government Halts Plans To Purchase U.S. Arms Following Trump's Tariff Hike

China

Pakistan

India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi will visit China on Aug. 31 for the annual meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization's Heads of Government Council, which will mark Modi's first visit to China since June 2018, Reuters reported on Aug. 6, citing an unidentified Indian government source.

India, China: India's Modi To Visit China for First Time in Over Seven Years

Russia

Energy

In an executive order, President Donald Trump announced a new 25% tariff on Indian imports, raising the total to 50%, citing New Delhi's continued purchases of Russian oil, the Financial Times reported on Aug. 6.

India, U.S.: Trump Imposes Additional 25% Tariff Over Imports of Russian Oil

U.S. President Donald Trump declared that he will impose higher tariffs on Indian goods "within the next 24 hours" over New Delhi's continued imports of Russian oil, Bloomberg reported on Aug. 5. 

U.S., India, Russia: Trump Threatens More Tariffs as Senior Indian Officials Visit Russia

Two anonymous Indian government officials said India will continue buying oil from Russia despite threats of sanctions from U.S. President Donald Trump, Reuters reported on Aug. 2.

India: Officials Say India Will Continue Importing Russian Oil, Despite Trump's Threats

Philippines

Military & Security

Armed Forces of the Philippines chief of staff Gen. Romeo Brawner announced that India and the Philippines on Aug. 3-4 carried out their first joint naval drill in the Philippines' exclusive economic zone in the South China Sea, AP reported on Aug. 4.

India, Philippines: Navies Carry Out First Joint Exercise in South China Sea

In a post on Truth Social, U.S. President Donald Trump announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on India beginning Aug. 1, and he indicated that an additional penalty could follow due to India's defense and energy purchases from Russia, the Financial Times reported on July 30.

U.S., India: Trump Announces 25% U.S. Tariff on Indian Goods Starting Aug. 1

Amid parliamentary debate on India's handling of its May conflict with Pakistan, Home Minister Amit Shah announced on July 29 that Indian security forces near the Kashmiri summer capital of Srinagar on July 28 killed three men responsible for the deadly April 22 attack on civilians near the Kashmiri town of Pahalgam, Hindustan Times reported on July 29.

India: Home Minister Says Security Forces Killed Perpetrators of April Attack in Kashmir 

Assessments

An oil tanker train passes near a refinery in Guwahati, India, on March 30, 2023. 

Global Trade

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

For now, India will likely keep importing cheap Russian oil in the hopes it can soon secure tariff relief, either directly via a U.S. trade deal or indirectly via a breakthrough in U.S.-Russia talks on Ukraine.

Will Trump's Tariffs Deter India From Buying Russian Oil?

Snapshots

Maldives

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi (left) shakes hands with Maldivian President Mohamed Muizzu upon meeting in Male on July 25, 2025. 

Improving relations will strengthen India's strategic foothold in the Indian Ocean, while granting the Maldives access to crucial financial support.

Modi Resets Ties With the Maldives After Its 'India Out' Campaign

Iran

Israel

Australia

Japan

Europe

A photo taken in Tehran, Iran, on June 26, 2025, shows an Iranian political banner hanging near the remains of a residential building struck by an Israeli attack. 

Israel-Hamas Conflict

U.S.-Iran Relations

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Fragile Iran-Israel Ceasefire Holds, U.S. Tariff Deadline Approaches

Water runs in the Gurez valley in India-administered Jammu and Kashmir, near the India-Pakistan border, on June 3, 2025. 

Environment, Science & Technology

Science & Technology

Diplomatic talks between India and Pakistan will likely remain stalled due to ongoing airspace closures and disputes over water-sharing, sustaining the risk of a future conflict following the two countries' military confrontation earlier this year.

Unresolved Tensions: Water, Airspace and the Future of India-Pakistan Diplomacy

Turkey

The Geopolitics of Trade

Turkey's export strategy necessitates trade partnerships with countries in many different spheres of influence, portending both risks and opportunities as Ankara attempts to maintain its neutral middle-power status.

The Geopolitics of Trade: Turkey's Export Strategy Hinges on Neutrality

Media

Podcasts

Will the cease-fire between the two countries last?

Essential Geopolitics: The Outlook for India-Pakistan Relations

India's evolving trade strategy aims to boost key exports while protecting sensitive sectors, reflecting a blend of liberalization and long-standing protectionist instincts.

The Geopolitics of Trade: India

The Bombay Stock Exchange building May 7 in Mumbai, India. If military hostilities were to resume and lead to a prolonged conflict, Pakistan would be far less well-positioned than India to sustain it from an economic and financial perspective.

If military hostilities were to resume and lead to a prolonged conflict, Pakistan would be far less well-positioned than India to sustain it from an economic and financial perspective.

The Economic Case for an India-Pakistan Ceasefire

Indian soldiers pay respect during a wreath-laying ceremony for a soldier who was killed during a cross-border firing between India and Pakistan, in Jammu on May 12, 2025. 

While the near-term threat of severe escalation has waned, ongoing tensions over thorny issues like Kashmir and water-sharing will sustain the risk of cross-border flare-ups.

Amid India and Pakistan's Tenuous Ceasefire, Future Flare-Ups Remain Possible

Soldiers and onlookers inspect the debris of a mosque damaged by Indian strikes in Muzaffarabad, the capital of Pakistan-administered Kashmir, on May 7, 2025. 

While a full-scale conflict remains unlikely, escalating tensions will increase security risks in both countries, including travel and business disruptions, nationalist protests, potential militant attacks, and increased cyber threat activity.

India's Retaliation for Kashmir Attack Will Provoke a Pakistani Response

An Indian paramilitary trooper patrols a market area in Pahalgam, south of Srinagar, in India-held Kashmir, on April 29, 2025. 

India will likely soon launch limited military strikes against Pakistan in retaliation for the deadly April 22 Kashmir attack, raising the risk of escalation despite both sides' desire to avoid a full-scale war.

The Drivers and Constraints to a Wider India-Pakistan Conflict

Canada

Italy

Ukraine

Indian soldiers stand guard atop their vehicle in Srinagar, India, on April 23, 2025, following a deadly militant attack on tourists in Indian-administered Kashmir.

The Weekly Rundown: Escalating Pakistan-India Tensions, Canadian Elections and Pope Francis' Funeral

<p>India is endowed with favorable geographic barriers. Surrounded by oceans on three sides and the formidable Himalayan Mountains to the north, what is now modern India has been free of outside interference for much of its long history. Its large geographic size and population, coupled with weaker peripheral nations on much of its boundaries, have allowed India to become the dominant force in South Asia. Home to the world&rsquo;s second-largest population, India&rsquo;s 1.3 billion people are spread out across the peninsular nation, from the foothills of the Himalayas to the tropical south. India&rsquo;s population core is settled along the Ganges river basin, a densely populated swath of fertile land that extends across the northern Himalayan border. India&rsquo;s primary geographic challenge comes from a lack of strong internal boundaries. Modern-day India struggles to rectify the ambitions of a relatively weak national government that competes with the prerogatives of strong, diverse states &mdash; a legacy of a long history of domestic infighting between various dynasties uninhibited by mountains or other defining geography. A similar lack of defining geography still plagues India&rsquo;s northwest border. Waves of Greek, Persian, and Mongols invaded, culminating in the Mughal Empire, which united much of the subcontinent prior to British conquest. The northwestern border still poses national security risks, due to ongoing disputes with Pakistan. But rising domestic consumption means India is increasingly dependent on imported goods from distant suppliers. Surrounded by water or impassable mountains, New Delhi now faces the additional task of developing naval capabilities to secure its critical supply routes, risking maritime tensions with China in the broader Indo-Pacific basin.</p>

SITUATION REPORTS

India: Government Halts Plans To Purchase U.S. Arms Following Trump's Tariff Hike

India, China: India's Modi To Visit China for First Time in Over Seven Years

India, U.S.: Trump Imposes Additional 25% Tariff Over Imports of Russian Oil

U.S., India, Russia: Trump Threatens More Tariffs as Senior Indian Officials Visit Russia

India: Officials Say India Will Continue Importing Russian Oil, Despite Trump's Threats

India, Philippines: Navies Carry Out First Joint Exercise in South China Sea

U.S., India: Trump Announces 25% U.S. Tariff on Indian Goods Starting Aug. 1

India: Home Minister Says Security Forces Killed Perpetrators of April Attack in Kashmir

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