Nigeria

Economics

Energy

Nigerian President Bola Tinubu presented the 27.5 trillion naira ($34.85 billion) 2024 budget to the National Assembly, Premium Times reported on Nov. 29.

Nigeria: President Presents 2024 Budget to National Assembly

Politics

The Nigerian government is seeking a $1.5 billion loan from the World Bank to assist with budget financing, Bloomberg reported on Oct. 16. 

Nigeria: Government to Seek $1.5 Billion World Bank Loan

A Nigerian appeals court dismissed all three petitions challenging the election of President Bola Tinubu, Reuters reported on Sept. 7.

Nigeria: Court Rejects Challenges to Tinubu's Election, but Opposition Vows to Fight On

The Nigeria Labour Congress, the Trade Union Congress and other affiliated unions suspended their planned seven-day strike and demonstrations about 24 hours after starting, The Africa Report reported on Aug. 3.

Nigeria: Unions Suspend Protests, Open New Dialogue With Government

Environment, Science & Technology

Science & Technology

The Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC), the Trade Union Congress (TUC) and other affiliated labor unions began seven days of strikes and demonstrations to protest the "anti-people" policies of President Bola Tinubu, Premium Times reported on Aug. 2.

Nigeria: Labor Unions Begin Seven Days of Strikes and Demonstrations

Nigerian President Bola Tinubu announced on July 31 a 500 billion naira ($652 million) economic support package to address the country's cost-of-living crisis, Bloomberg reported the next day. 

Nigeria: New Economic Package Aims to Address Cost-of-Living Crisis

Military & Security

Nigerian President Bola Tinubu replaced the heads of the country's security services effective immediately, AP reported on June 19.

Nigeria: Tinubu Replaces Security Leadership

The Nigerian government suspended central bank governor Godwin Emefiele as part of an investigation into his office, Bloomberg reported June 11.

Nigeria: Central Bank Governor Suspended, Government Hints at Exchange Rate Reform 

Assessments

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France

French soldiers of the Barkhane force patrol the streets of Timbuktu, Mali, on Dec. 5, 2021.

In the wake of Niger's coup, France will be compelled to revamp its security strategy in the Sahel and West Africa at large.

What the Niger Crisis Means for France's Counterterrorism Strategy in Africa

Senegal

United States

Protesters hold placards denouncing ECOWAS on Aug. 3, 2023, in Niamey, Niger. While an intervention probably would topple the Nigerien junta, it could cause a regional conflict, boost jihadists and lead to a weak Nigerian civilian regime.

While an intervention probably would topple the Nigerien junta, it could cause a regional conflict, boost jihadists and lead to a weak Nigerian civilian regime.

How Might an ECOWAS Military Intervention Take Shape in Niger?

Columns

On Geopolitics

A busy street is seen in Lagos, Nigeria. 

Social Issues

The Nigerian state is unprepared to handle the impending population boom, which will likely spur massive overpopulation and underdevelopment in urban centers and inflame regional divides.

Africa's Population Boom: Nigeria

China

Japan

Europe

United Kingdom

Russia

India

Russian President Vladimir Putin (L) and Chinese President Xi Jinping pose during their Feb. 4, 2022, meeting in Beijing. Chinese President Xi Jinping will arrive March 20, 2023, in Moscow for a three-day trip to Russia to meet with President Vladimir Putin and other high-ranking Russian officials. 

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Nigeria Elects Governors, Xi Visits Russia

Snapshots

Nigerian President-elect Bola Tinubu (right) and the chairman of the country's Independent National Election Commission (INEC), Yakubu Mahmood, look on during a ceremony in Abuja on March 1, 2023. 

Tinubu will likely face a legal challenge to his victory that will prolong the already elevated risk of electoral unrest, though he'll almost certainly still take office in May.

Nigeria Braces for More Turmoil After the Ruling Party Wins the Presidency

Poland

Ukraine

Russian President Vladimir Putin gives a speech at the Kremlin in Moscow on Sept. 30, 2022. 

The Weekly Rundown: Putin Gives a Speech, Biden Visits Poland as Ukraine War Hits One Year

Supporters hold flags to support opposition PDP candidate Atiku Abubakar during a campaign rally in Kano state in northwestern Nigeria on Feb. 9, 2023.

A potential break from Nigeria's informal power-sharing system and the rising popularity of a dark horse candidate are set to make the country's upcoming election divisive and violent.

A Presidential Election in Nigeria Will Likely Entrench the Status Quo

Israel

Taiwan

An Israeli flag. The Knesset on Feb. 13 will begin the voting process on proposed judicial reforms changing how Israel's Supreme Court is appointed to favor the coalition that controls the legislature and reducing the court's power of judicial view over the country's Basic Laws.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

The Weekly Rundown: Israel Votes on Judicial Reform, Nigeria Takes up a Contentious Currency Swap

Sub-Saharan Africa

South Sudan

Burundi

Central African Republic

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Ethiopia

Kenya

Mozambique

South Africa

Sudan

Tanzania

Zimbabwe

Women sit under U.N.-branded cardboard boxes in Semera, Ethiopia, on Feb. 14, 2022, as they wait to be registered by the authorities at a hotel compound hosting civilians fleeing violence. 

GBV is often primarily seen as a women’s and human rights issue. But in sub-Saharan Africa, it is also a key constraint to stable (and democratic) governance, economic growth, and lasting peace.

The Geopolitics of Gender-Based Violence in Africa

Argentina

Brazil

Iran

Turkey

Hong Kong SAR, China

Germany

Belarus

In this scorecard, we take a critical look at our successes and slip-ups in forecasting geopolitical events over the past year.

Grading Our 2022 Annual Forecast as 2023 Approaches

Venezuela

Egypt

Palestinian Territories

A supporter of the ruling United Socialist Party of Venezuela waves the flag of Venezuela on Jan. 10, 2022, in Barinas, Venezuela. The four major political parties that comprise Venezuela's opposition coalition will vote Dec. 29 on a motion to eliminate the country's interim government.

The Weekly Rundown: Venezuela's Opposition Votes to Oust Guaido, Christmas Brings Currency to the Middle East

A police armored vehicle is deployed at a bus station at a boundary between Lagos and neighboring Ogun State in Lagos on Aug. 3, 2022. 

Recent attacks targeting lawmakers and electoral officials bode ill for a peaceful transfer of power and the next government’s ability to mitigate the country’s economic crisis.

In Nigeria, Violence Threatens Election Integrity and Government Legitimacy

The West African country of Nigeria is bordered by Benin, Niger, Chad, Cameroon and the Gulf of Guinea. Nigeria gained its independence from Great Britain in 1960.    A series of mountains form the country's eastern border. Two rivers, the Niger and the Benue, effectively form a boundary between northern, southwestern and southeastern Nigeria. The northern half of the country is largely savannah grassland supportive of pastoral agriculture. Highlands in the south produce cash crops like oil palms and rubber.    Most of Nigeria's regions have arable lands that allow the country to support Africa's largest population of 150 million people. Each region has a dominant ethnic group. The Hausa-Fulani are based in the north, the Yoruba in the southwest and the Igbo in the southeast. These and more than 250 other ethnicities all vie for control over the Niger Delta region because of its abundant reserves of oil and natural gas. The Niger Delta region itself is home to the Ijaw people who have exerted disproportionate influence over the country's politics as seen with the election of Goodluck Jonathan as president in 2011. Nigeria's capital, Abuja, was intentionally located in the country's center to promote its neutrality.     Managing the competition for natural resources between these ethnically divided regions is Nigeria's primary geographic challenge.    Looking ahead, Nigeria will have to settle its internal ethnic division and astutely manage its oil revenue to deal with its projected population of 390 million people by 2050.

Nigeria: Obstacles to Prosperity

A Crude Recovery

The Jihadist Wars

The Suitors of Sub-Saharan Africa

SITUATION REPORTS

Nigeria: President Presents 2024 Budget to National Assembly

Nigeria: Government to Seek $1.5 Billion World Bank Loan

Nigeria: Court Rejects Challenges to Tinubu's Election, but Opposition Vows to Fight On

Nigeria: Unions Suspend Protests, Open New Dialogue With Government

Nigeria: Labor Unions Begin Seven Days of Strikes and Demonstrations

Nigeria: New Economic Package Aims to Address Cost-of-Living Crisis

Nigeria: Tinubu Replaces Security Leadership

Nigeria: Central Bank Governor Suspended, Government Hints at Exchange Rate Reform

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