Divided EU Foreign Policies

The decision will further dim hopes for a U.K.-China trade deal that could help London expand its economic relationships beyond Europe post-Brexit.

Disputes between outgoing Chancellor Angela Merkel and her potential successor will likely lead to an ineffective German government ahead of the 2021 general election, stalling the policymaking process in both Berlin and Brussels.

Against the backdrop of COVID-19, even a moderate increase in migrant arrivals this summer will risk further destabilizing EU governments and their pandemic-ravaged economies.

Brussels and Washington are barrelling toward another round of tit-for-tat tariff escalations before the year's end as their ongoing dispute over subsidies to aircraft makers once again heats up.

A victory by an opposition candidate would further thwart Warsaw’s ability to pass policy at a time of mounting economic uncertainty due to COVID-19.

Expected budget cuts could reduce the bloc’s military self-sufficiency and prolong its reliance on the United States to combat threats from China and Russia.

The European Commission's new president-elect has laid out an ambitious vision for the bloc's future. A challenging economic and political environment, however, will likely keep most of her proposals from ever seeing daylight.

If the two countries cannot reach an agreement before the current agreement expires Dec. 31, Russian gas deliveries to Europe via Ukraine could well experience interruptions.