United States

Europe

Cyber

Economics

Environment, Science & Technology

Politics

The European Commission is launching a new formal investigation into X (formerly Twitter) related to purported violations of the bloc's Digital Services Act, The New York Times reported on Jan. 26. 

EU: Commission Launches Formal Investigation Into X Over DSA Violations

Argentina

China

Military & Security

A U.S. military plane landed in Argentina's southernmost province on Jan. 25, three days after the Argentine government intervened in the region's Ushuaia port and took control of its operations for one year, removing provincial authorities' powers amid allegations of embezzlement and infrastructure problems, Perfil reported on Jan. 25.

Argentina: Government's Administrative Takeover of Southernmost Port Indicates Strong Alignment With Washington

Canada

U.S. President Donald Trump threatened in a Jan. 24 Truth Social post to impose "a 100% Tariff against all Canadian goods and products coming into the U.S.A." if Canada moves forward with a recently announced trade deal with China.

U.S., Canada: Trump Threatens To Impose a 100% Tariff on Canada

Japan

South Korea

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi announced on Jan. 23 the dissolution of the lower house of the Diet, with the campaign period set to begin on Jan. 27 and the vote scheduled for Feb. 8, marking the shortest window in Japan's history from dissolution to voting, Kyodo News reported on Jan. 23.

Japan: Takaichi Dissolves Lower House To Push Fiscal, Defense Expansion

India

European Council President Antonio Costa and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen will co-chair an India-EU summit during their visit to India from Jan. 25 to 28 and meet with Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Reuters reported on Jan. 23.

India, EU: High-Ranking EU Officials To Visit India as FTA Negotiations Conclude

Vietnam

Vietnam's 14th National Party Congress concluded two days early on Jan. 23, with General Secretary To Lam unanimously reelected to a five-year term by the 180-member Central Committee, according to official announcements, which followed the election of a new Politburo and Central Committee.

Vietnam: Top Leader Secures Five-Year Term, 10% Growth Targets Set for Five Years

France

France's minority government survived two consecutive no-confidence votes in the National Assembly on Jan. 23 after Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu used Article 49.3 of the Constitution to push through the revenue section of the 2026 budget without a parliamentary vote, Le Figaro reported the same day.

France: Government Survives No-Confidence Votes, Set To Pass Full 2026 Budget

Mali

Energy

Malian state media announced that the government would limit the passage of cars to pumping stations to once every 72 hours and motorcycles every 48 hours due to challenges in securing fuel supplies amid a persisting fuel blockade by al Qaeda affiliate Jamaat Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin, or JNIM, Radio France Internationale reported on Jan. 22.

Mali: Government Announces Fuel Rationing Amid Persistent Supply Challenges

The world is connected, but even the broadest topics deserve an individual look. Below are our latest and most relevant economics analyses.

Below are our latest and most relevant economics analyses.

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Asia-Pacific

Eurasia

Middle East and North Africa

South Asia

Beyond Quantitative Easing

The New Silk Road

The Fate of the Eurozone

South America: Split Decisions on Trade

Banking

Commodities: A Cautionary Tale

Social Issues

European Disintegration

Russia's Internal Struggle

China in Transition

A Japanese Awakening

East African Integration

Assessments

The Federal Reserve's headquarters is seen in Washington, D.C.

Trump will soon be able to nominate a new Fed chair and governor. But unless the Supreme Court vastly increases the president's power to dismiss Fed governors, the bank will retain its independence, limiting the risk of market instability.

U.S. Fed Independence: Assessing Threats From Trump Nominations, Court Rulings

Iran

Israel

Palestinian Territories

A photo of Israeli banknotes.

While Israel's economy has proven remarkably resilient during the years-long Gaza war with Hamas, persistent security risks and an upcoming election will present new challenges.

How Israel's Economy Will Weather Persistent Political and Security Concerns in 2026

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio (right) meets with Indian External Affairs Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar at a hotel in New York City on the sidelines of the U.N. General Assembly meeting on Sept. 22, 2025. 

Global Trade

A trade deal could gradually reduce barriers in the tech, industrial and energy sectors, but progress will likely remain constrained by U.S. tariff uncertainty and India's reluctance to make concessions in sensitive sectors like agriculture.

Where Things Stand in U.S.-India Trade Talks

A man walks past a billboard for the 14th Congress of the Communist Party of Vietnam outside the National Convention Center in Hanoi on Jan. 15, 2026. 

The five-yearly event will likely codify a more centralized, security-anchored governing model, while setting ambitious goals for economic growth and administrative reforms, though internal and external pressures will hinder implementation.

Previewing Vietnam's 14th National Party Congress

Greenland

Germany

Finland

Denmark

Sweden

United Kingdom

Norway

Netherlands

The HDMS Knud Rasmussen ship of the Danish Navy patrols the waters off of Nuuk, Greenland, on Jan. 20, 2026. 

Trump's threatened tariffs over his bid to acquire Greenland have turned the U.S.-EU trade dispute into a high-stakes geopolitical confrontation, raising the risk of a sustained trade war that would severely strain transatlantic economic ties and NATO cohesion.

Trump's Greenland Tariff Threat Escalates Transatlantic Tensions

Columns

On Geopolitics

U.S. protectionism has dramatically weakened the rules-based, multilateral trade regime established after World War II, driving governments to increasingly view trade through a national security lens rather than purely an economic one.

The Geopolitics of Trade: Conclusion

Eritrea

Ethiopia

Somalia

Sudan

Egypt

Saudi Arabia

Syria

Turkey

United Arab Emirates

Yemen

Residents wave Somali flags as they attend a rally denouncing Israel's recognition of the breakaway region of Somaliland at Mogadishu Stadium in Mogadishu, Somalia, on Dec. 30, 2025. 

Two regional alignments are coalescing along the Red Sea and in the Horn of Africa, risking the escalation of proxy conflicts and longstanding rivalries.

The Unfolding Regional Realignments Along the Red Sea and Their Implications

Venezuela

Taiwan

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi (right) and Venezuelan Foreign Minister Yvan Gil (left) attend a meeting in Beijing on May 12, 2025.

U.S. pressure on the new Venezuelan government will briefly cool China's engagement in Latin America and could renew trade tensions with Washington, though Maduro's removal is unlikely to affect China's calculus regarding Taiwan.

Assessing China's Response to the U.S. Capture of Venezuela's Maduro

U.S.-China Relations

Mozambique

Tanzania

A column of Tanzanian soldiers drives past electoral posters of incumbent Tanzanian President Samia Suluhu Hassan and Zanzibar President Hussein Ali Mwinyi in Stone Town on Oct. 30, 2025. 

The Tanzanian government's harsh repression of opposition voices will maintain risks of civil unrest and siphon security forces away from outer regions, creating power vacuums in the south for jihadists to exploit.

Ongoing Repression in Tanzania Shows No Signs of Letting Up

The flag of Greenland, known locally as "Erfalasorput," flies next to the Church of Our Saviour on March 30, 2025, in Nuuk, Greenland. 

The United States' aim to acquire Greenland risks triggering a NATO crisis if U.S. and European negotiators fail to reach a settlement.

Europe Weighs Responses to U.S. Pressure Over Greenland

Nigeria

Colombia

Cuba

Mexico

Ukraine

Russia

Pakistan

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

RANE's Top 10 Risks for 2026 highlights high-impact, low-probability risks and trends from the annual forecast presented in more extreme terms.

RANE's Top 10 Risks for 2026

U.S.-Iran Relations

Uganda

Supporters of National Unity Platform (NUP) presidential candidate and opposition leader Robert Kyagulanyi, also known as Bobi Wine, gather to attend a campaign rally in Kampala, on Nov. 24, 2025. 

President Museveni's expected reelection is set to trigger opposition protests, but a heavy-handed crackdown will likely restore order within weeks, enabling him to resume focus on infrastructure projects and mitigating intra-elite tensions.

Previewing Uganda's General Elections

Economics

SITUATION REPORTS

EU: Commission Launches Formal Investigation Into X Over DSA Violations

Argentina: Government's Administrative Takeover of Southernmost Port Indicates Strong Alignment With Washington

U.S., Canada: Trump Threatens To Impose a 100% Tariff on Canada

Japan: Takaichi Dissolves Lower House To Push Fiscal, Defense Expansion

India, EU: High-Ranking EU Officials To Visit India as FTA Negotiations Conclude

Vietnam: Top Leader Secures Five-Year Term, 10% Growth Targets Set for Five Years

France: Government Survives No-Confidence Votes, Set To Pass Full 2026 Budget

Mali: Government Announces Fuel Rationing Amid Persistent Supply Challenges

Forecasts

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