Israel

Palestinian Territories

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Military & Security

Politics

The Palestinian militant group Hamas reportedly told Arab mediators that it was willing to halt tunnel construction, stop governing Gaza, place its arsenal into a guarded warehouse overseen by Palestinian technocrats, and release all remaining Israeli hostages in exchange for a 5-15 year truce and Israel's exit from the strip, The Times of Israel reported on April 20. 

Israel, Gaza: Israel Rejects Hamas' Newest Peace Proposal

Indonesia

Social Issues

Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto announced his country was willing to temporarily host around 1,000 ''sick, traumatized and wounded'' Palestinians from Gaza, and confirmed that Foreign Minister Retno Marsudi had been instructed to begin logistical preparations, Reuters reported April 9.

Indonesia, Palestinian Territories: Jakarta Offers to Temporarily Host Gazan Refugees

United States

Iran

Iraq

Several Iranian-backed Iraqi militias, including Kataib Hezbollah, Nujabaa, Kataib Sayyed al-Shuhada and Ansarullah al-Awfiyaa, are reportedly in advanced discussions to disarm, Reuters reported April 7, citing senior commanders and Iraqi officials. 

Iraq: Iranian-Backed Militias Reportedly Discussing Disarmament

U.S.-Iran Relations

Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz announced that Israel had significantly expanded its ground operations in the Gaza Strip to "capture extensive territory that will be added to the State of Israel’s security areas," CNN reported on April 2. 

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Israel Expands Ground Operations

Yemen

Hamas fired three rockets from southern Gaza toward Tel Aviv, with one intercepted and two landing in open areas, in retaliation for March 18 Israeli airstrikes that reportedly killed over 400 Palestinians, according to Hamas-run Palestinian health authorities, Times of Israel reported March 20. 

Palestinian Territories, Israel: Hamas, Houthis Attack Israel Amid Expanding Israeli Military Operations in Gaza

Hamas said it would release a single living Israeli-American hostage and four Israeli-American bodies to signal continued interest in the strained Gaza ceasefire after direct talks with the United States, Reuters reported on March 14.

Israel, Gaza: Hamas To Release American-Israeli To Boost Ceasefire Pressure on Israel

Israel's energy minister, Eli Cohen, announced that the Israeli government would cut off electricity supplies to Gaza in an effort to pressure Hamas to extend the ceasefire deal and release more Israeli hostages, AP reported March 9.

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Israel Cuts Electricity to Gaza

Middle East and North Africa

Arab leaders gathered for an emergency Arab League summit in Cairo, Egypt, Al-Monitor reported on March 4.

Middle East: Emergency Arab Summit on Post-War Gaza Plan

Assessments

Palestinian men walk amidst the rubble of a destroyed building following an Israeli strike on a residential area of Gaza City on April 9, 2025. 

With the U.S.'s tacit support, Israel will likely keep expanding its military operations in Gaza in the hopes of pressuring both Hamas and local civilians there to leave, thereby making it easier to reoccupy the Strip.

To Secure Gaza, Israel Pursues a Strategy of Occupation and Displacement

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Asia-Pacific

Europe

Eurasia

South Asia

Cyber

Economics

Energy

Environment, Science & Technology

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Intensifying trade wars, a potential ceasefire in Ukraine, continued volatility in the Middle East and consequential elections in key countries will shape the quarter.

2025 Second-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt

Global Elections

U.S.-China Relations

Smoke billows during Israeli strikes west of Gaza City on March 18, 2025. 

In the coming days and weeks, Israel will likely carry out phased escalations and de-escalations to pressure Hamas into releasing the remaining hostages, returning Gaza to war by effectively collapsing the January ceasefire.

Large-Scale Israeli Airstrikes Plunge Gaza Back Into an Open-Ended Conflict

Oman

Saudi Arabia

United Arab Emirates

A rally on Jan. 24 in Sanaa, the Houthi-controlled capital of Yemen. Should the United States attack Iranian ships and advisers supporting the Houthi rebel group, Houthi and Iranian retaliation would become likelier to extend beyond U.S. and Israeli targets to include regional oil and gas installations.

Should the United States also attack Iranian ships and advisers supporting the Yemeni rebel group, Houthi and Iranian retaliation would become likelier to extend beyond U.S. and Israeli targets to include regional oil and gas installations. 

U.S. Strikes on Houthis Risk Embroiling Iran and the Regional Energy Industry

Canada

Mexico

China

Ukraine

A truck drives toward the Canada-U.S. border crossing in Blackpool, Canada, on Feb. 2, 2025.

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: An EU Summit on Ukraine, U.S. Tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China

Algeria

Egypt

Libya

Morocco

Tunisia

Egyptians protest in front of the Rafah border crossing, rejecting the proposed displacement of Palestinians in Gaza to Egypt and Jordan, on Jan. 31, 2025. 

Pro-Palestinian protests will persist regionwide amid allegations of Israeli ceasefire violations, but Morocco and Egypt will avoid taking action that could jeopardize their access to Israeli weapons and energy.

How Will North African Governments Respond to Ardent Pro-Palestinian Sentiment?

Columns

On Geopolitics

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Russia

Crowds of Palestinians gather to receive food outside a U.N. aid distribution center in the Gazan city of Deir al-Balah on Nov. 2, 2024.

The displacement of any Palestinians from the Gaza Strip will further erode post-World War II norms against population transfers, laying the groundwork for future global conflicts.

Trump's Gaza Plan Risks Further Eroding Global Constraints on Population Removals

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Ethiopia

Kenya

Rwanda

Lebanon

Sri Lanka

Damage on Feb. 13 in the Jabaliya refugee camp in northern Gaza.

The Weekly Rundown: Mideast Ceasefires and Arab Gaza Proposals, the AU Summit

Supporters of Yemen's Houthi movement brandish weapons and chant slogans as they take part in a protest staged in solidarity with the Palestinian people in Gaza on Jan. 17, 2025, in Sanaa, Yemen. 

The Houthis' intervention in the Israel-Hamas war has bolstered their military capabilities and domestic influence, which could embolden them to launch renewed offensives in southern Yemen.

What Will Yemen's Houthis Do With Their New-Found Strength?

United Kingdom

Trucks wait to enter United States on Nov. 26, 2024, at the Otay crossing port in Tijuana, Baja California state, Mexico.

The Weekly Rundown: Trump's Tariffs, Congo Braces for More Fighting in the East

Jordan

Displaced Palestinians return to their homes in the Shijaiyah neighborhood, Gaza City, on Jan. 28, 2025, following the Hamas-Israel ceasefire.

Egypt and Jordan will reject Trump's current proposal to resettle over a million Palestinians from Gaza to their territories due to fears of stoking domestic unrest, but they will likely permit smaller, gradual resettlements via illegal smuggling routes.

Trump Wants Egypt and Jordan To Take in Palestinians From Gaza. Will They Do It?

Media

Forecast Webcast

Join our analysts for this webcast recording exploring key topics identified in RANE's 2025 Annual Geopolitical Forecast.

2025 Annual Geopolitical Forecast Webcast

Israel-Hamas Conflict

SITUATION REPORTS

Israel, Gaza: Israel Rejects Hamas' Newest Peace Proposal

Indonesia, Palestinian Territories: Jakarta Offers to Temporarily Host Gazan Refugees

Iraq: Iranian-Backed Militias Reportedly Discussing Disarmament

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Israel Expands Ground Operations

Palestinian Territories, Israel: Hamas, Houthis Attack Israel Amid Expanding Israeli Military Operations in Gaza

Israel, Gaza: Hamas To Release American-Israeli To Boost Ceasefire Pressure on Israel

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Israel Cuts Electricity to Gaza

Middle East: Emergency Arab Summit on Post-War Gaza Plan

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