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Politics

The U.S. Trump administration preemptively asked U.S. artificial intelligence company OpenAI to limit the release of its GPT-5.6 model to a small set of government-approved organizations before releasing the model more widely, The Intercept reported on June 25.

U.S.: Trump Administration Asks OpenAI To Limit Release of Next Frontier Model

Venezuela

Economics

wo earthquakes with magnitudes of 7.2 and 7.5 struck Venezuela's Yaracuy state in quick succession on the evening of June 24, marking the country's strongest earthquakes since 1900, The New York Times reported the same day.

Venezuela: Severe Earthquakes Cause Damage, Deaths in Caracas

In a letter to two U.S. senators dated June 10, U.S. artificial intelligence company Anthropic accused Chinese company Alibaba of "illicitly" extracting the capabilities of its Claude AI model at the "largest" levels that the AI lab has measured, the Financial Times reported on June 24.

U.S., China: Anthropic Accuses Alibaba of More Distillation Attacks

U.S.-China Relations

Europe

What Happened: The European Union, Germany, the Netherlands and Greece joined Pax Silica, the U.S.-led initiative to build China-free supply chains for semiconductors, AI infrastructure and critical minerals, at the opening of a summit in Washington on June 23, the Financial Times reported the same day.

EU, U.S., China: Brussels Joins U.S.-Led Pax Silica Alliance 

U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick told corporate executives in a June 22 meeting that the Commerce Department was reviewing state-subsidized robotics imports and could take significant action against them once the review is completed.

China, U.S.: Commerce Secretary Lutnick Hints at Restrictions on Chinese Robots

U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive order on June 22 that launches a plan to help develop a quantum computer at the scale needed to perform scientific discovery, deliver one such quantum computer to the Department of Energy, field three Department of Defense-approved quantum sensing projects by the end of September 2028 and develop a plan to support the domestic supply chain for quantum-enabling component technologies. 

U.S.: White House Lays Out Ambitious Quantum Information Science and Technology Strategy

Ethiopia

Egypt

Energy

Speaking alongside Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, U.S. President Donald Trump said Ethiopia's Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, or GERD, on the Blue Nile was causing "tremendous problems" for Egypt and that Cairo had been "very unfairly treated," adding that the Nile waters would be a focus of his talks with al-Sisi on the sidelines of the Group of Seven summit in France, Addis Standard reported on June 17.

U.S., Egypt, Ethiopia: Trump Reiterates Support for Egypt in Nile Dispute With Ethiopia

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Humanitarian organizations, including the Red Cross and Doctors Without Borders, say the true scale of the Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo remains unclear, with the peak potentially not yet reached and the outbreak possibly lasting up to a year, Reuters reported on June 16.

Congo: Ebola Outbreak May Persist up to a Year Amid Persistent Regional Spillover Risks

The world is connected, but even the broadest topics deserve an individual look. Below are our latest and most relevant science and technology analyses. 

Technology

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Asia-Pacific

Eurasia

Middle East and North Africa

South Asia

Agriculture

COVID-19

Supply Chains

_Energy

Environmental Issues

Globalization

The 4th Industrial Revolution

Assessments

Computer chips are seen on top of the U.S. and Chinese flags.

The Trump administration's recent shift to a more restrictive, ad-hoc licensing regime for frontier AI models risks slowing U.S. innovation and giving Chinese rivals a competitive advantage.

From Laissez-Faire to Licensing: Understanding Trump's Evolving AI Strategy

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Social Issues

A fragile truce in the Middle East, persistent energy-driven inflation, shifting U.S. trade policy and escalating regional pressures from Europe to Africa will collectively shape geopolitical risk in the third quarter.

2026 Third-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt

India

Pakistan

View of the river in the mountains of northern Pakistan.

Reduced coordination on river data and forecasting will increase uncertainty in water management, while the potential expansion of Indian upstream infrastructure could portend faster, more unstable crises with Pakistan.

What To Expect if India Starts Halting Indus Water Flows to Pakistan

A digital illustration of Europe.

The EU's push to reduce its reliance on foreign technology suppliers risks angering both China and the U.S., while execution will be hindered by domestic industrial constraints and internal political divisions.

Key Takeaways From the EU's Tech Sovereignty Package

Uganda

Red Cross volunteers wearing personal protective equipment lower the body of an Ebola victim into a casket at a health center in Ituri province, Democratic Republic of Congo, on June 8, 2026.

The escalating outbreak will likely persist for several more months, likely disrupting regional supply chains, mining investments in Congo and potentially Uganda's start of oil production.

Ebola Makes Deadly Comeback in Congo

Colombia

Iran

Israel

Lebanon

The Ateela 2 Oil Tanker on April 28 on Qeshm Island, Iran in the Strait of Hormuz.

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: U.S.-Iran Discussions, Brussels To Unveil Tech Sovereignty Package

U.S.-Iran Relations

Argentina

Bolivia

Chile

Global Trade

The Geopolitics of Natural Resources

Argentina, Bolivia and Chile are poised to benefit from the expected rise in lithium demand in the coming years, but they are unlikely to see a substantial surge in wealth without a more monumental market change.

The Outlook for the Lithium Triangle Amid the Global Energy Transition, Part 2

Argentina, Bolivia and Chile have had varying degrees of success in developing their lithium production capacity, with Chile achieving the greatest success of the three, and Bolivia lagging behind.

The Outlook for the Lithium Triangle Amid the Global Energy Transition, Part 1

Media

Podcasts

Could a single AI model render decades of corporate cybersecurity obsolete overnight?

The Decision Advantage: Will Mythos Change the Cybersecurity Landscape for Better or for Worse? 

U.S. President Donald Trump (right) and Chinese President Xi Jinping attend a bilateral meeting in Busan, South Korea, on Oct. 30, 2025.

The May 14-15 meetings will likely yield a limited extension of the current U.S.-China economic detente while leaving core strategic disputes over technology controls, Taiwan and Iran largely unresolved.

Trump-Xi Summit Likely To Preserve Trade Truce, Test Strategic Fault Lines

Brazil

If Flavio Bolsonaro wins in October, his right-wing administration would largely abandon Brazil's environmental and climate commitments, accelerate extractive investments and projects, and pursue strong geopolitical alignment with Washington.

The Balance Between Environmental and Extractive Policies in Brazil's Presidential Election, Part 2

How are evolving cyber tactics reshaping the threat landscape for the Iran war?

Environment, Science & Technology

SITUATION REPORTS

U.S.: Trump Administration Asks OpenAI To Limit Release of Next Frontier Model

Venezuela: Severe Earthquakes Cause Damage, Deaths in Caracas

U.S., China: Anthropic Accuses Alibaba of More Distillation Attacks

EU, U.S., China: Brussels Joins U.S.-Led Pax Silica Alliance

China, U.S.: Commerce Secretary Lutnick Hints at Restrictions on Chinese Robots

U.S.: White House Lays Out Ambitious Quantum Information Science and Technology Strategy

U.S., Egypt, Ethiopia: Trump Reiterates Support for Egypt in Nile Dispute With Ethiopia

Congo: Ebola Outbreak May Persist up to a Year Amid Persistent Regional Spillover Risks

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