Security Challenges in Latin America

A new constitutional amendment that prevents kidnapping and drug trafficking from being considered political crimes lowers the odds of peace deals like the one with FARC.

Based on the trends outlined in Stratfor's 2019 annual cartel forecast, the high levels of violence in Jalisco, Mexico State, Baja California and Guanajuato come as no surprise.

Should the current wave of protests in the Central American country drag on, more Honduran migrants might head to the United States, with implications for that country and its southern neighbor, Mexico.

The opposition's attempt to force regime change risks disrupting Venezuela's oil production, but only in limited circumstances.

The Cartel del Noreste appears ready to push for control of Monterrey, Mexico's third-largest metropolitan area and a major regional business hub.

After four years of economic collapse and more than a decade of economic mismanagement, Venezuela will need foreign assistance -- but this will be costly and will require oversight.

Businesses and individuals should exercise increased caution under President Jair Bolsonaro's new administration, which could cause dangerous disruptions.

The government's efforts to curb theft at a state-run refinery could be contributing to undersupply at over 1,000 fuel stations.