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Quarterly Forecasts

2025 Third-Quarter Forecast

Jun 30, 2025 | 00:00 GMT

The third quarter of 2025 will be defined by disruptive trade policies fueling supply chain volatility and the persistent risk of escalation in major conflicts.

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SITUATION REPORTS

U.S., Syria: U.S. Lifts Some, but Not All, Sanctions on Syria

Jun 30, 2025 | 20:47 GMT

Indonesia, U.S.: Jakarta Cuts Import Restrictions, Proposes Minerals Collaboration

Jun 30, 2025 | 19:17 GMT

Cameroon: Second Ally of Long-Term President Announces Presidential Bid

Jun 30, 2025 | 18:56 GMT

U.S.: Republicans Reach Deal on Significantly Weaker Moratorium on State AI Regulations

Jun 30, 2025 | 18:53 GMT

Philippines, U.S., Japan: Countries Deepen Unified Security Front and Infrastructure Collaboration

Jun 30, 2025 | 18:37 GMT

U.S.: Senate Tax and Spending Bill Targets Wind, Solar Projects With New Tax

Jun 30, 2025 | 18:34 GMT

U.K., U.S.: Tariff Relief Deal Takes Effect for Auto and Aerospace Sectors

Jun 30, 2025 | 16:29 GMT

U.S., Canada: Canada To Rescind Digital Services Tax After U.S. Calls Off Trade Talks

Jun 30, 2025 | 16:26 GMT

Russia, Ukraine: Russia Launches Major Air Attack Amid Stalled Negotiations

Jun 30, 2025 | 16:23 GMT

U.S., Canada: Trump Says Trade Talks With Canada Will End Over Digital Services Tax

Jun 27, 2025 | 20:15 GMT
French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou speaks during a press conference at a hotel in Paris on June 24, 2025.
SnapshotsJun 24, 2025
In France, the Collapse of Pension Reform Talks Risks Worsening Political Instability
Iranian missiles aimed at targets in Israel pass through the sky over the West Bank on June 17, 2025.
SnapshotsJun 24, 2025
The Iran-Israel Ceasefire Will Remain Fragile Amid Unresolved Disputes
Essential Geopolitics
PodcastsJun 24, 2025
Essential Geopolitics: Increased Risk of Cyberattacks as Conflict With Iran Escalates
A photo taken on June 23, 2025, shows the remnants of an Iranian missile intercepted over Qatar.
SnapshotsJun 23, 2025
With a Telegraphed Attack on a U.S. Base in Qatar, Iran Offers an Off-Ramp To Ease Tensions
The entrance of the building where the 2025 NATO summit will be held is seen in The Hague, the Netherlands, on June 22, 2025.
AssessmentsJun 23, 2025
Previewing the 2025 NATO Summit
A Northrop B-2 Spirit on July 4, 2020, near the White House in Washington. 
SnapshotsJun 22, 2025
Iran's Retaliation Against the U.S. Will Likely Be Limited, but Will Still Risk Escalation