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SnapshotsFeb 21, 2020 | 19:56 GMT
G-20 Finance Leaders Gather as Virus Outbreak Looms Over World Economy
The global economy is in a prolonged slowdown and geopolitical, financial and economic risks are high. The coronavirus outbreak that began in China adds to the uncertainties and the International Monetary Fund proposes an unspecified coordinated economic stimulus. Yet, international collaboration is frayed and the likelihood of major economies acting in concert is low, which implies that major countries will prioritize national goals.
Quarterly ForecastsJun 17, 2019 | 14:35 GMT
Stratfor's 2019 Third-Quarter Forecast focuses on the most important factors affecting the international system this quarter.
2019 Third-Quarter Forecast
The United States will remain at the center of world events this quarter as its strategic competition with China escalates, relations with Iran deteriorate and the threat of tariffs or sanctions loom over all.
SnapshotsMar 13, 2018 | 16:37 GMT
Greece: Plotting a Path to a Post-Bailout Economy
As the Greek bailout program approaches its conclusion, Athens and its lenders are starting to think about the future. On March 12, the head of the Eurogroup, Mario Centeno, announced that Greece will receive around 5.7 billion euros ($7.1 billion) in bailout money by the end of the month. More importantly, he said that the lenders will discuss measures to alleviate Greece's massive debt burden during their next meeting in April. The debt relief measures could include a longer repayment schedule, linking debt repayments to Greece's economic growth and giving Athens the profits that the European Central Bank made on Greek bonds. Greece and its creditors are expecting a deal on debt measures to be made by the time the bailout program expires in August.
SnapshotsDec 6, 2017 | 19:15 GMT
Europe: The EU Commission Reopens Old Debates About a New Europe
After weeks of speculation, the European Commission unveiled its plans for the future of the European Union. On Dec. 6, the institution presented a series of proposals that included, among other things, plans to create a stronger and more coherent monetary union. The European Commission can only present ideas -- approval is ultimately in the hands of national governments and the EU Parliament -- but it expects member states to spend the next 18 months discussing the plans and for several of them to be implemented by mid-2019. Implementation, however, won't be easy. Some countries will probably criticize the proposals for granting too much control to supranational EU institutions and others will be critical of plans to share financial risk among countries.
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