<p>The Middle East and North Africa is the world&#39;s crossroads. It encompasses the Arabian Peninsula, the mountains of Iran, the plains of Turkey, the deserts of the Levant, the lands north of the Sahara and all coasts in between. The story of the region, as is so often the case of places stuck between foreign players, is the story of trade, exchange and conflict. The traditional powers of the region are Turkey and Iran &mdash; Saudi Arabia and Egypt are the current Arab powers &mdash; and their competition for influence over the region&#39;s weaker states makes the Middle East and North Africa an arena of violence and instability.</p>

The Middle East and North Africa encompasses the Arabian Peninsula, the mountains of Iran, the plains of Turkey, the deserts of the Levant, the lands north of the Sahara and all coasts in between.

Middle East and North Africa

Algeria

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Morocco

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Yemen

The Syrian Civil War

The Yemen Civil War

The Libyan Civil War

The Fight Against the Islamic State

The Saudi Survival Strategy

The Kurdish Struggle

Iran's Arc of Influence

Israel's Survival Strategy

The Difficulties of North African Reform

Egypt's Uphill Battle

The Battle for Mosul

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The Bulgarian flag and the European flag waving in the wind.

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A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Bulgaria Adopts the Euro, U.S.-Venezuela Tensions Persist

New Zealand

India

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi walks alongside Oman's Deputy Prime Minister for Defence Affairs Sayyid Shihab bin Tariq al-Said upon his arrival in Muscat on Dec. 17, 2025.

Global Trade

New trade pacts offer gains in market access and investment but India's protectionist stance on agriculture and dairy remains an obstacle to deals with the United States and European Union. 


Oman and New Zealand Deals Indicate India's Push To Diversify Trade Partnerships

Columns

On Geopolitics

Yemenis gather during a rally to show their support for the UAE-backed Southern Transitional Council (STC), which wants to revive an independent South Yemen, as they wave the old South Yemen flag in Khormaksar Square, in the coastal port city of Aden on Dec. 14, 2025. 

Achieving South Arabian independence will require Yemen's Southern Transitional Council to overcome the historical challenges that have long plagued the governance of Yemen writ large, like tribalism and regionalism.

The Precarious Path to South Arabian Independence

YemenYemenis rally to show their support for the UAE-backed Southern Transitional Council on Dec. 14, 2025.

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Escalating tensions and potential violence between the Southern Transitional Council and Saudi-backed forces create security vacuums that Houthi rebels will likely exploit.



Yemen's Anti-Houthi Bloc Is Fracturing

Sub-Saharan Africa

Mozambique

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A destroyed church is seen in Mosul, Iraq.

The Islamic State's main threat to the West in 2026 will remain its ability to inspire lone-actor violence, though in the coming years the group's African, Afghan and Syrian branches may become increasingly capable of directing mass casualty attacks in Western countries.

The Islamic State's Enduring Threat to the West

People walk through a main square in Algeria's capital of Algiers on Sept. 15, 2024.

By introducing Sharia-compliant debt instruments, the Algerian government aims to tap into significant informal savings and diversify its funding sources while avoiding external debt. 

Algeria's Islamic Bonds an Incomplete Step Toward Diversifying Government Revenues

Americas

Asia-Pacific

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A container ship arrives Oct. 10 at the Port of Oakland, California. In 2026, political calculations among major global players will significantly shape international affairs.

Cyber

Environment, Science & Technology

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

In 2026, political calculations among major global players will significantly shape international affairs.

2026 Annual Forecast: A Global Overview

Tunisia's President Kais Saied (top-R) waits to take his oath of office during his swearing-in ceremony before the National Assembly in Tunis on Oct. 21, 2024. 

Despite tensions with union leaders, Tunisia's controversial finance bill will introduce reforms that attract foreign investment and increase production in key sectors.

Strikes Loom as Tunisia's Government Undermines Labor Union

Israeli air defence systems are activated to intercept Iranian missiles over the Israeli city of Tel Aviv amid a fresh barrage of Iranian rockets on June 16, 2025.

If effective, the laser air defense system will significantly reduce the cost of intercepting short-range aerial threats and bolster Israel's multilayered protection against aerial attacks.


The Role of Iron Beam in Israel's Evolving Defense Architecture

Jordanian police close the entrance of a Muslim Brotherhood headquarters on April 23, 2025, in Amman, Jordan.

While the White House has initiated a review process to label the Muslim Brotherhood a Foreign Terrorist Organization, it is unlikely to result in a comprehensive ban on the group.

U.S. Unlikely To Broadly Designate Muslim Brotherhood as a Terrorist Organization

Bahrain announced a raft of fiscal reforms, some of which were unspecified, in a bid to reduce its debt and cut expenses, Bloomberg reported on Dec. 29. 

Bahrain: New Fiscal Package Aims To Cut Debt

Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced in a joint declaration with Somaliland's President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi that Israel recognized Somaliland's sovereignty as an independent state, the first country in the world to recognize the breakaway region, The Jerusalem Post reported on Dec. 26.

Israel, Somalia: Israel Recognizes Somaliland's Sovereignty

Yemen's separatist Southern Transitional Council accused Saudi Arabia of conducting airstrikes in Yemen's eastern Hadramawt province against the group, though Saudi Arabia did not confirm its involvement, AP reported on Dec. 26.

Yemen: Southern Transitional Council Accuses Saudi Arabia of Conducting Airstrikes

The federal government of Iraq, the Kurdistan Regional Government and oil companies operating in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq agreed to extend their three-month deal on oil exports by another three months, Rudaw reported on Dec. 25, citing an official from Iraq's State Oil Marketing Organization, which handles international sales of KRG oil exports.

Iraq: Kurdish Oil Export Deal Extended by Another Three Months

Nigeria

The United Arab Emirates will provide $1.2 billion to build a section of the proposed 700 kilometer (435 mile) Lagos-Calabar Coastal Highway, the Nigerian presidency said on Dec. 26. 

Nigeria: Government Secures $1.2B in Funding for $12B Coastal Highway Megaproject

Nourredine Taboubi, the secretary-general of the Tunisian General Labor Union, or UGTT, resigned, Reuters reported Dec. 23.

Tunisia: Chief of Largest Labor Union Resigns Ahead of Strike

The Syrian government and the Kurdish-led and U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) agreed to a ceasefire on Dec. 23 following deadly clashes in the city of Aleppo a day earlier, the Associated Press reported the same day.

Syria: SDF and Government Forces Reach Ceasefire After Deadly Clashes in Aleppo

Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz said that Israel would maintain a permanent security presence in the Gaza Strip for security reasons and that at some point -- though no specific timeline was given -- Israel Defense Forces (IDF) would establish Nahal units in northern Gaza, Reuters reported Dec. 23. 

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Israeli Defense Minister Says IDF To Establish Civilian-Military Units in Gaza

Middle East and North Africa

SITUATION REPORTS

Bahrain: New Fiscal Package Aims To Cut Debt

Israel, Somalia: Israel Recognizes Somaliland's Sovereignty

Yemen: Southern Transitional Council Accuses Saudi Arabia of Conducting Airstrikes

Iraq: Kurdish Oil Export Deal Extended by Another Three Months

Nigeria: Government Secures $1.2B in Funding for $12B Coastal Highway Megaproject

Tunisia: Chief of Largest Labor Union Resigns Ahead of Strike

Syria: SDF and Government Forces Reach Ceasefire After Deadly Clashes in Aleppo

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Israeli Defense Minister Says IDF To Establish Civilian-Military Units in Gaza

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