<p>To the west of Eurasia lays Europe, a region predisposed to division. It is surrounded on nearly all sides by islands and peninsulas that make it difficult for Europe to cohere. The northern half of the continent, moreover, sits on a plain whose short, meandering rivers tend to empower countries without forcing them to work with others. The southern half is situated on more mountainous terrain that has historically impeded the creation of strong, unified economies. As a result, Europe is a continent riven by pockets of distinct cultures whose differences are all too often irreconcilable.</p>

Europe is a continent riven by pockets of distinct cultures whose differences are all too often irreconcilable.

Europe

Belize

Andorra

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Czech Republic

Denmark

Estonia

Finland

France

Germany

Greece

Holy See

Latvia

Liechtenstein

Lithuania

Luxembourg

Malta

North Macedonia

San Marino

Sweden

United Kingdom

Bulgaria

Portugal

Serbia

Croatia

Poland

Romania

Cyprus

Norway

Austria

Slovakia

Albania

Slovenia

Netherlands

Switzerland

Spain

Montenegro

Monaco

Italy

Ireland

Iceland

Hungary

Kosovo

Beyond Quantitative Easing

The Ukraine Conflict

The Politics of Pipelines

EU: Regional Blocs

Divided EU Foreign Policies

Brexit

The Fate of the Eurozone

Banking

Crossing Borders

Globalization

European Disintegration

Echoes of the Cold War

The Fight for Russia’s Borderlands

Assessments

United States

Australia

China

Ukraine

Russia

U.S. President Donald Trump on April 24 in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington. In an interview July 10, U.S. President Donald Trump suggested he would "have a major statement to make on Russia on Monday," perhaps representing a shift in his administration's policy.

Military & Security

Politics

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Trump Speaks on Ukraine, Sweeping EU Budget Reform

Snapshots

U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer (L) and French President Emmanuel Macron hold a press conference on July 10, 2025, in London.

The series of agreements will deepen cooperation between Europe's two nuclear powers at a time of strategic flux and institutional fragmentation across the Continent.

New U.K.-France Defense Deals Mark a Step Toward a European Nuclear Deterrent

Georgia

Georgian anti-government demonstrators attempt to block a highway entrance to the capital Tbilisi on Feb. 2, 2025

The government's efforts to suppress the opposition risk roiling its relations with the West, triggering more mass protests, and potentially enabling Russia to expand its influence in Georgia.

Georgia's Crackdown on Dissent Risks Drawing It Closer to Russia and Alienating the West

A newly installed sign pointing to Schengen transfer flights is pictured next to EU and Romanian flags on March 31, 2024. 

Economics

Poland's move to reimpose border checks to curb irregular migration from Germany and Lithuania highlights a greater trend that risks entrenching uncertainty for businesses and travelers in the EU's passport-free area.

New Polish Border Controls Bring Europe's Schengen Area Back Into Question

Brazil

Iran

Israel

Israel-Hamas Conflict

The Weekly Rundown: Netanyahu's U.S. Visit, a Franco-British Summit

U.S.-Iran Relations

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Middle East and North Africa

Asia-Pacific

Eurasia

South Asia

The third quarter of 2025 will be defined by disruptive trade policies fueling supply chain volatility and the persistent risk of escalation in major conflicts.

2025 Third-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt

Japan

India

A photo taken in Tehran, Iran, on June 26, 2025, shows an Iranian political banner hanging near the remains of a residential building struck by an Israeli attack. 

Global Trade

The Weekly Rundown: Fragile Iran-Israel Ceasefire Holds, U.S. Tariff Deadline Approaches

Media

Forecast Webcast

Join our analysts for this webcast recording exploring key topics identified in RANE's 2025 Third-Quarter Forecast.

2025 Third-Quarter Forecast Webcast

U.S.-China Relations

French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou speaks during a press conference at a hotel in Paris on June 24, 2025. 

The collapse of negotiations over potential changes to President Macron's controversial pensions reform will increase the risk of more no-confidence votes against the government, budgetary deadlock and another early election.

In France, the Collapse of Pension Reform Talks Risks Worsening Political Instability

The entrance of the building where the 2025 NATO summit will be held is seen in The Hague, the Netherlands, on June 22, 2025.

The June 24-25 summit will likely yield a political agreement on higher defense spending and highlight Europe's move toward greater defense autonomy, though structural and financial limitations will make it hard to maintain this shift over time. 

Previewing the 2025 NATO Summit

French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou unveiled his government’s 2026 budget plan, which will aim to reduce France’s deficit while offsetting an increase in defense spending through approximately 44 billion euros ($51 billion) in spending cuts, tax hikes and a freeze to pensions and social benefits, Le Monde reported on July 15.

France: Prime Minister Bayrou Presents Government Plans for Austerity Budget

New Caledonian delegations regrouping political parties for and against independence from France reached an agreement on the territory's institutional future that involves opening provincial voter rolls, creating a New Caledonian state within the French Republic and allowing dual French and Caledonian citizenship, Le Point reported on July 12. 

France: New Caledonian Factions Reach Deal on Institutional Future 

The European Commission proposed extending the bloc's suspension of a 21 billion euro ($24.5 billion) retaliatory package against the United States until early August as the European Union prioritizes negotiations to avert a threatened 30% U.S. tariff on most EU imports, Reuters reported on July 14.

EU, U.S.: Brussels Extends Retaliatory Tariffs to August in Bid To Reach Deal With Washington

Canada

Fiji

Indonesia

Malaysia

New Zealand

Papua New Guinea

Philippines

Singapore

South Korea

Thailand

Tonga

Vietnam

Australia launched U.S.-made High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems as part of the 2025 Exercise Talisman Sabre, the largest iteration of the biennial multinational drills to date, AP reported on July 14.

Australia: HIMARS Fired Amid Largest-Ever Military Drills

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen survived a no-confidence vote in the European Parliament over her handling of vaccine negotiations during the COVID-19 pandemic, including undisclosed text messages exchanged with U.S. pharmaceutical giant Pfizer, Reuters reported on July 10.

EU: European Commission President von der Leyen Survives No-Confidence Vote

United Arab Emirates

EU lawmakers voted to remove the United Arab Emirates and seven other countries from the European Union's money laundering "grey list," the Financial Times reported on July 9. 

EU, UAE: EU To Remove UAE From Money Laundering 'Grey List'

French financial police searched the Paris headquarters of the far-right National Rally party as part of a probe into suspected campaign finance violations, party leader Jordan Bardella announced on July 9 in a post on X, denouncing the operation as politically driven.

France: French Authorities Raid Far-Right National Rally Party Offices

Argentina

Paraguay

Uruguay

Venezuela

South America's Mercosur trade bloc and the European Free Trade Association, or EFTA, finalized a free trade agreement that will cover 97% of shipments between the entities, Reuters reported on July 2. 

South America, Europe: Mercosur- EFTA Free Trade Agreement Finalized Amid U.S. Protectionism

Europe

SITUATION REPORTS

France: Prime Minister Bayrou Presents Government Plans for Austerity Budget

France: New Caledonian Factions Reach Deal on Institutional Future

EU, U.S.: Brussels Extends Retaliatory Tariffs to August in Bid To Reach Deal With Washington

Australia: HIMARS Fired Amid Largest-Ever Military Drills

EU: European Commission President von der Leyen Survives No-Confidence Vote

EU, UAE: EU To Remove UAE From Money Laundering 'Grey List'

France: French Authorities Raid Far-Right National Rally Party Offices

South America, Europe: Mercosur- EFTA Free Trade Agreement Finalized Amid U.S. Protectionism

Forecasts

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