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On SecurityApr 7, 2020 | 11:00 GMT

COVID-19 and Mexico's Criminal Cartels

Mexico's criminal cartels have shown themselves highly adaptive, and I have no doubt that they will take the COVID-19 crisis in stride just as they have other impediments.

Mexico

United States

China

On SecurityJul 23, 2019 | 10:00 GMT

Mexican drug trafficker Joaquin Guzman Loera, aka "el Chapo Guzman" (C), is presented to the press on Feb. 22, 2014 in Mexico City.

'El Chapo' Is Done, But Mexico's Cartel Wars Certainly Aren’t

And so the curtain falls on the career of a criminal mastermind. On July 17, Sinaloa cartel leader Joaquin "El Chapo" Guzman Loera was sentenced to serve life plus 30 years in prison following a February conviction on 10 counts, including engaging in a continuing criminal enterprise, drug trafficking and firearms charges. Shortly after the sentencing hearing, Guzman was sent to the U.S. administrative maximum (ADX) penitentiary in Florence, Colorado. Guzman has a long history of shenanigans in -- and escapes from -- Mexican penitentiaries, but the book is now officially closed on him. Guzman has never been incarcerated in a facility like the ADX in Florence, which is home to some of the most dangerous criminals and terrorists in the world, meaning he has zero chance of either continuing to run his criminal enterprise from the prison or escaping from it. The end to Guzman's illicit activities, however, does

Mexico

United States

Military & Security

The Importance of Mexico

AssessmentsDec 11, 2016 | 14:01 GMT

A Decade Into Mexico's War on Drugs

Today marks the 10th anniversary of Operation Michoacan, and to many, the start of Mexico's deadly war on drugs. But a decade later, the country's prospects for security and peace don't seem much better than they did when the massive crackdown on Mexican cartels began in 2006.

AssessmentsDec 22, 2015 | 20:56 GMT

An Act of Desperation in Caracas?

Unconfirmed reports have suggested that the government may use the judiciary to remove as many as 22 lawmakers from the opposition coalition. Specifically, the government is trying to persuade the judiciary to approve new elections in districts that tallied unusually high numbers of invalidated votes.

On SecurityNov 22, 2012 | 10:05 GMT

Constraints Facing the Next Mexican President

Unfortunately for Enrique Pena Nieto, neither law enforcement reforms nor a deal with the cartels will quickly end the violence.

Mexico

Military & Security

On SecurityFeb 16, 2012 | 12:14 GMT

Meth in Mexico: A Turning Point in the Drug War?

The largest seizure of the synthetic drug on record could be a watershed event in Mexico's drug war.

AssessmentsOct 3, 2011 | 12:03 GMT

Mexican Cartels, Crime and the Pan American Games

The upcoming Pan American Games in Mexico's second-largest city, Guadalajara, raise security concerns, both obvious and not-so obvious.

On SecurityJun 16, 2011 | 09:05 GMT

New Mexican President, Same Cartel War?

No matter who wins the 2012 election, Calderon's successor will have little choice but to maintain the campaign against the Mexican cartels.

AssessmentsApr 21, 2011 | 12:14 GMT

Mexican Drug War 2011 Update

In our first quarterly report on Mexico's drug cartels, we assess important developments in the drug war during the first three months of 2011 and what they could mean for the balance of the year. (With STRATFOR map)

AssessmentsFeb 28, 2011 | 13:17 GMT

Travel and Security Risks over Spring Break in Mexico

There is no evidence that the growing cartel violence in Mexico is directed against foreign tourists, but the possibility of being caught in the crossfire is high. (With STRATFOR map)

Mexico

Military & Security

On SecurityAug 12, 2010 | 08:58 GMT

Hezbollah, Radical but Rational

Iran's chief proxy group has a presence in Latin America and the United States, but the threat it poses to the latter would be exercised only as a last resort.

Lebanon

Military & Security

The Pulse of Political Islam

The Jihadist Wars

On SecurityApr 8, 2010 | 08:54 GMT

Mexico: The Struggle for Balance

For the drug violence in Mexico to stop, there must be a state of equilibrium among the various drug cartels, but this balance is an elusive one.

AssessmentsDec 17, 2009 | 14:17 GMT

Mexican Drug Cartels: Two Wars and a Look Southward

In this report on Mexico’s drug cartels, we assess the most significant developments of 2009 and provide an updated description of the country’s powerful drug-trafficking organizations, as well as a forecast for 2010.

On SecurityDec 9, 2009 | 19:44 GMT

Mexico: The War with the Cartels in 2009

Almost three years on, the government's all-out effort has seen some success -- and resulted in increasing violence as the cartels fight each other.

AssessmentsNov 17, 2009 | 15:30 GMT

Mexico's flag flies in the country's capital, Mexico City.

The Geopolitics of Mexico: A Mountain Fortress Besieged

This is the 11th in a series of Stratfor monographs on the geopolitics of countries influential in world affairs.

Mexico

Economics

The U.S. and the Balance of Power

The Importance of Mexico

North America Unrivaled

Monographs

On SecurityJul 29, 2009 | 20:26 GMT

The Role of the Mexican Military in the Cartel War

Human rights groups have expressed concern over civil rights abuses by Mexican troops assigned to counternarcotics missions.

AssessmentsMar 5, 2009 | 12:57 GMT

Mexican federal police officer in Acapulco

Mexico: Spring Break Travel and Security Risks

As the spring break season approaches, warnings about travel to Mexico invite a closer look at security in the country's popular resort cities. (With STRATFOR map)

Military & Security

AssessmentsDec 11, 2008 | 15:38 GMT

Part 2: A War of Attrition is a Limited Strategy

In the second installment of a series on Mexico, Stratfor examines the challenges the government faces in its ongoing fight against the drug cartels. (With Stratfor maps)

AssessmentsJul 17, 2008 | 10:33 GMT

Residents gather as South African police officers respond to a shooting of two alleged gang members in Cape Town in 2017.

Organized Crime in South Africa

Stratfor's sixth in-depth look at organized crime focuses on South Africa. The abysmal social conditions created by apartheid made organized crime appealing to some segments of the local population, while organized criminals from other countries are attracted to South Africa's comparative stability and reliable infrastructure.

South Africa

Military & Security

AssessmentsMay 16, 2008 | 11:09 GMT

Organized Crime in Cuba

Stratfor's fourth in-depth look at organized crime focuses on Cuba. In atypical fashion, organized crime in Cuba is run by the state and stems from a long tradition that places Cuban military and intelligence apparatus into positions of control over the island's industry while both fostering and profiting from drug traffickers and smugglers. (With Stratfor map)

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