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AssessmentsJun 3, 2020 | 17:02 GMT
Chinese flags and American flags are displayed at a business in Beijing.
Amid Rising Hong Kong Tensions, the U.S.-China Trade Deal Hangs by a Thread
Rising bilateral tensions stemming from Beijing's proposed national security legislation for Hong Kong are increasing the risk that the "phase one" trade deal between the United States and China will collapse before the end of 2020. The deal itself may still officially exist, but tit-for-tat escalation on tariffs and trade measures will render it functionally dead. Further retaliation by the United States over the Hong Kong legislation also risks triggering Chinese countermeasures beyond trade policy.
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SnapshotsJun 2, 2020 | 14:41 GMT
OPEC+ Moves Toward Early Meeting to Discuss Extending Production Cuts
OPEC+ appears headed for an earlier-than-expected online ministerial meeting on June 4 to discuss how to extend oil production cuts for the rest of the year, given the faster-than-expected recovery in oil prices. During the meeting, members will reportedly consider a Saudi-Russian compromise on a very brief 1-2 month delay in the tapering of current headline cuts from 9.7 million barrels per day (bpd) to 7.7 million bpd. The original limitation of having the deepest production cuts last until only May and June was, in part, based on the intense uncertainty about how much demand destruction would actually occur due to the COVID-19 crisis. But it now appears that the flood in inventories has been less than expected, which has already driven Brent crude prices back into the upper $30s. 
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SITUATION REPORTMay 14, 2020 | 17:51 GMT
Global: China Expected to Join Global Debt Relief Efforts, Says Paris Club 
Paris Club Chair and French Treasury Director Odile Renaud-Basso said China is expected to take part in the global drive to halt debt payments for the world’s poorest countries in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic under the same terms as the Paris Club, Bloomberg reported May 13.
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