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AssessmentsJul 4, 2025 | 14:00 GMT

Geopolitics of Trade: Gulf Arab States Balance Diversification With Enduring U.S. Ties

Over the next decade, Gulf Arab states will continue expanding their oil and gas exports to emerging markets, particularly in Asia, while these countries seek alternative export markets to the United States amid tariff uncertainty; but despite these shifting trade dynamics, Gulf Arab countries will maintain strong military and technological ties with the United States. The oil-rich countries in the Gulf Cooperation Council, or GCC (Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Oman) are set to benefit from changing global trade partners. While hydrocarbon products currently comprise most of GCC nations' global exports, a significant portion of their trade growth is expected to come from non-hydrocarbon sectors in the coming years. This shift is part of their long-term economic and trade diversification strategies (including Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030, Abu Dhabi Economic Vision 2030 in the United Arab Emirates and Qatar's National Vision 2030), which are all aimed

United Arab Emirates

Military & Security

Situation ReportFeb 6, 2024 | 16:06 GMT

China: Top Semiconductor Fabrication Plant to Begin Producing 5-nm Chips

China's Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp., better known as SMIC, assembled new semiconductor production lines in Shanghai that will be used to mass-produce 5-nanometer processors for smartphones using existing stocks of Dutch and U.S.-produced semiconductor manufacturing equipment, the Financial Times reported on Feb. 5.

Environment, Science & Technology

Situation ReportAug 16, 2023 | 14:52 GMT

U.S.: Intel Abandons Tower Semiconductor Acquisition After China Declines to Approve the Deal

U.S. semiconductor manufacturer Intel and Israeli foundry Tower Semiconductor announced that they had mutually agreed to terminate a proposed $5.4 billion merger because China did not approve the acquisition before the contract expired on Aug. 15, Reuters reported on Aug. 16.

Environment, Science & Technology

Situation ReportJun 12, 2023 | 16:21 GMT

U.S.: Washington Extends Export Control Exemptions to Foreign Fabs in China Indefinitely

Alan Estevez, the U.S. Commerce Department's undersecretary for industry and security, said the United States would renew export control exemptions for non-Chinese semiconductor fabrication plants in China for the foreseeable future, The Wall Street Journal reported on June 12.

Environment, Science & Technology

Situation ReportMay 3, 2023 | 14:58 GMT

U.S.: Biden Administration to Allow Foreign Chip Manufacturers in China to Import U.S. Chipmaking Tools

The United States has indicated to South Korea's leading chipmakers, Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, that it will grant another one-year waiver for their fabrication plants in China to continue importing U.S. chipmaking tools and technology, the Financial Times reported on May 2.

Environment, Science & Technology

Situation ReportApr 19, 2023 | 15:01 GMT

EU: Parliament Reaches Deal on EU Chips Act, Matching U.S. Support for Semiconductors

Negotiators from the European Parliament, the Swedish Presidency of the Council of the European Union, and the European Commission reached a deal for the 43 billion euro ($47 billion) EU Chips Act, Politico reported on April 18.

Environment, Science & Technology

AssessmentsFeb 15, 2023 | 16:03 GMT

Network Intelligence Report: Navigating the Risks of a Multipolar World

RANE's Network Intelligence Report incorporates our analysts' diverse expertise to assess risks and opportunities pertinent to our clients across our taxonomy's four areas of focus: geopolitics; legal, regulatory and compliance; cyber and information; and physical safety and security.

AssessmentsFeb 6, 2023 | 23:03 GMT

Workers at an ASML factory move parts of a chipmaking machine before shipment in Veldhoven, the Netherlands, in 2018.

The U.S., Japan and the Netherlands Mull New Restrictions on China's Tech Sector

While the United States is starting to have limited success in getting other countries to take a tougher line on China's tech sector, Washington will likely still make unilateral moves that go beyond any agreement it signs with other governments to target Chinese companies and further disrupt Beijing's tech ambitions. On Jan. 27, the United States reached a deal with the Netherlands and Japan to broaden the latter two countries' restrictions on exports of advanced semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China, including some of the immersion lithography machines produced by the Dutch firm ASML and Japanese firm Nikon, according to sources cited by Bloomberg. The administration of U.S. President Joe Biden is allegedly also considering cutting off Chinese tech giant Huawei from all U.S. exports and U.S.-made technology, and has stopped approving licenses for companies to export to the company, according to separate reports published on Jan. 30 by Bloomberg and

Environment, Science & Technology

Situation ReportJan 20, 2023 | 16:03 GMT

China: Netherlands, Japan Near Deal With U.S. on Semiconductor Restrictions on China

The Netherlands and Japan may reach a final agreement with the United States on restricting the export of semiconductor technology to China by the end of January, although Dutch and Japanese restrictions are unlikely to go as far as U.S. restrictions, Bloomberg reported on Jan. 19.

Environment, Science & Technology

Situation ReportDec 14, 2022 | 20:29 GMT

U.S., China: Washington to Add YMTC and 30 Other Chinese Firms to Entity List

The U.S. Commerce Department will add Chinese memory chip maker Yangtze Memory Technologies Corp (YMTC) and more than 30 other Chinese companies to its Entity List as soon as this week, the Financial Times reported Dec. 13, citing three people familiar with the plan.

Environment, Science & Technology

AssessmentsOct 21, 2022 | 21:28 GMT

An employee works at a Jiangsu JieJie Microelectronics Co. Ltd. factory in Nantong, a city in eastern China's Jiangsu province on March 17, 2021.

The U.S. Deals China's Semiconductor Sector With Its Biggest Blow Yet

New U.S. export controls on China's semiconductor industry will shatter Chinese President Xi Jinping's ambitions to close China's gap with global peers in the short term. They could also lead to more aggressive Chinese retaliation once his political leadership is cemented. On Oct. 7, the U.S. Commerce Department announced new regulations to block China's access to chipmaking technology and gear that can be used to manufacture cutting-edge logic and memory chips. The regulations also block exports to China of artificial intelligence (AI) and high-performance computing chips (i.e., chips used in supercomputers). Although the regulations have been in the works for months, the announcement came less than 10 days before the opening of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, during which Xi is expected to formally be granted a third five-year term as the Party's leader. The timing of the moves meant that China's semiconductor industry --

Environment, Science & Technology

Situation ReportOct 12, 2022 | 19:17 GMT

U.S.: Washington Acts to Avoid Semiconductor Supply Chain Disruptions From New Restrictions

South Korean memory chipmaker SK Hynix Inc. on Oct. 12 announced that the U.S. Department of Commerce gave it a one-year authorization to receive tools from vendors for its memory chip plants in China, despite restrictions announced Oct. 7 and entering force at midnight Oct. 11 on China's semiconductor industry, Reuters reported Oct. 12.

Environment, Science & Technology

Situation ReportOct 7, 2022 | 19:24 GMT

China, U.S.: Washington Tightens Export Controls on China's Semiconductor Industry

The U.S. Commerce Department's Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS), which oversees the department's export controls and national security-related policies, issued two new rules designed to tighten restrictions on China's semiconductor industry, Reuters reported Oct. 7.

Environment, Science & Technology

Situation ReportSep 21, 2022 | 15:43 GMT

China, U.S.: Senate Majority Leader Concerned About YMTC Violating Export Controls on Huawei

U.S. Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer said he was concerned about a report that China's 3D NAND flash memory chip maker Yangtze Memory Technologies Co. (YMTC) supplied NAND memory chips to Chinese telecommunications giant Huawei for use in the company's Mate Xs 2 smartphone, the Financial Times reported Sept. 20.

Environment, Science & Technology

Situation ReportAug 2, 2022 | 19:48 GMT

U.S., China: Washington Weighs Additional Restrictions to Hobble Beijing's Memory Chip Industry

The United States is considering expanding its restrictions on the export of semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China to include memory chip fabricators, Reuters reported Aug. 1.

Environment, Science & Technology

Situation ReportJul 22, 2022 | 20:14 GMT

China: Top Chipmaker Has Been Quietly Producing Advanced Chips

Chinese state-owned pure-play foundry Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp. has been producing a Bitcoin mining system on a chip (SoC) using a 7 nanometer node process since at least July 2021, Bloomberg reported July 21, citing a report by TechInsights.

Environment, Science & Technology

On SecurityMar 2, 2021 | 19:09 GMT

A visitor takes photos at the 2020 World Semiconductor Conference on Aug. 26, 2020, in Nanjing in China's eastern Jiangsu province of a chip made by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.

Understanding Economic Espionage: The Future

The current geopolitical order, advances in technology and the importance of maintaining competitive advantages favor more economic espionage in the future.

Environment, Science & Technology

Situation ReportDec 18, 2020 | 22:57 GMT

U.S., China: Over 60 Chinese =Firms, Including SMIC, Added to Washington's Export Blacklist

The U.S. Commerce Department has moved to effectively ban China’s Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp. (SMIC) from accessing U.S. technology, services and products by adding it, along with more than 60 other Chinese companies, to its entity list, which increases export controls, Bloomberg reported Dec. 18.

Environment, Science & Technology

The U.S. and the Balance of Power

China in Transition

Situation ReportDec 4, 2020 | 19:01 GMT

U.S.: Pentagon Puts Petroleum, Semiconductor Firms on Chinese Military List

The Pentagon on Dec. 3 announced the addition of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp. and China National Offshore Oil Corp. to a list of companies controlled or owned by the Chinese intelligence and military apparatus, Reuters reported Dec. 3.

AssessmentsMay 6, 2020 | 10:00 GMT

An image displays rows of silicon wafers.

The U.S. Weaponizes COVID-19 Anger Against China’s Tech Sector

The United States and China have been locked in a technology cold war for several years. The COVID-19 pandemic, which originated in the Chinese city of Wuhan, is now pressuring Washington to make even stronger moves against Beijing by fueling anti-China sentiment among U.S. voters and legislators alike. But the White House’s latest attempt to increase export controls on China and limit Beijing's overall access to U.S. technology will come at the cost of further fragmenting the global tech sector’s highly integrated supply chain network.

Environment, Science & Technology

Environment, Science & Technology

The U.S. and the Balance of Power

China in Transition

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