Quarterly ForecastsMar 30, 2026 | 00:00 GMT
2026 Second-Quarter Forecast
The second quarter will test global resilience as lingering conflicts and energy shocks converge to heighten economic uncertainty and geopolitical volatility.
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Situation ReportMar 28, 2026 | 16:08 GMT
Middle East: Yemen's Houthis Attack Israel, Join Iran War
On March 28, Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis announced they had launched a barrage of ballistic missiles toward Israel overnight, Reuters reported the same day.
READ MOREAssessmentsMar 28, 2026 | 14:00 GMT
The Weekly Rundown: The Iran War Continues, a European Parliament Delegation Visits China
A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.
READ MOREPodcastsMar 28, 2026 | 09:00 GMT
The Decision Advantage: The Impact of the Iran War on the Asia-Pacific Region
In this episode of The Decision Advantage, RANE Asia-Pacific Analyst Chase Blazek breaks down the geopolitical ripples of an Iran conflict and what it means for the regional balance of power across Asia.
READ MOREAssessmentsMar 27, 2026 | 20:18 GMT
Geopolitical Calendar
Stay informed about the significant meetings and events RANE analysts are tracking.
READ MORESituation ReportMar 27, 2026 | 19:47 GMT
Ukraine, Saudi Arabia: Kyiv Expands Defense Ties in the Gulf
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman signed a military cooperation agreement to develop defense ties and potential contracts, Bloomberg reported on March 27.
READ MORESituation ReportMar 27, 2026 | 19:45 GMT
China, U.S.: Beijing Prepares Retaliation for U.S. Section 301 Investigations
China's commerce ministry on March 27 initiated two probes, one into U.S. actions affecting global trade and another into U.S. actions impacting trade in "green products," including curbs on imports and technology cooperation.
READ MORESituation ReportMar 27, 2026 | 19:43 GMT
Russia: Putin Turns to Oligarchs as War Costs Mount
Russian President Vladimir Putin asked leading businessmen to make large voluntary contributions to the state budget and reiterated that Russia would continue fighting Ukraine until it captured the remaining parts of the Donbas region, The Bell reported on March 27, citing people familiar with the matter.
READ MORESituation ReportMar 27, 2026 | 19:40 GMT
U.S.: Iranian Threat Actors Claim To Breach FBI Director's Email Inbox
Pro-Iranian hacktivist group Handala publicly stated on its website that it breached and leaked data from the personal inbox of U.S. FBI Director Kash Patel on March 27, Reuters reported the same day.
READ MORESituation ReportMar 27, 2026 | 19:38 GMT
Panama, China: Beijing Detains Panamanian Ships Amid Port Dispute
China has intensified inspections on Panamanian ships and detained at least 70 vessels from the country as of March 8, according to a U.S. Federal Maritime Commission estimate, Reuters reported on March 26.
READ MOREAssessmentsMar 27, 2026 | 18:42 GMT
The Outlook for South Africa's Power Sector Reforms and Energy Security
South Africa's power sector reforms will likely spur rising investment in electricity generation and transmission projects despite remaining years away from completion, but the country remains exposed to a high risk of resurging rolling blackouts from 2029 onward if it presses ahead with plans to decommission many of its coal-fired power plants.
READ MORESituation ReportMar 27, 2026 | 17:09 GMT
U.S., Iran: Trump Delays Power Plant Attacks Deadline Until April 6
U.S. President Donald Trump announced a delay until April 6 of the deadline for Iran to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz or risk U.S. attacks against power plants after claiming that U.S.-Iran discussions were going "very well," AP reported on March 26.
READ MORESituation ReportMar 27, 2026 | 17:06 GMT
Congo: Rwandan-Backed Rebels Withdraw From Parts of North Kivu
The Rwandan-backed M23 rebel group has withdrawn from several localities in the Lubero and Walikale territories of the Democratic Republic of the Congo's North Kivu province since the night of March 23-24, Jeune Afrique reported on March 27.
READ MORESituation ReportMar 27, 2026 | 16:54 GMT
Philippines, France: Paris Latest To Sign Visiting Forces Agreement With Manila
On March 26, the Philippines and France signed a status of visiting forces agreement, allowing their militaries to deploy personnel in each other's territories for joint training, exercises and operations, The Philippine Star reported the next day.
READ MORESituation ReportMar 27, 2026 | 16:26 GMT
MENA: Chinese Container Ships Abort Attempted Transit Through the Strait of Hormuz
The CSCL Indian Ocean and CSCL Arctic Ocean -- two container ships linked to China's state-owned COSCO Shipping Corp. -- attempted to exit the Persian Gulf through the Strait of Hormuz before making abrupt U-turns and heading back into the Gulf, Bloomberg reported on March 27.
READ MORESituation ReportMar 27, 2026 | 16:23 GMT
U.S.: Federal Judge Temporarily Blocks Trump Administration's Punitive Actions Against Anthropic
A federal judge issued a preliminary injunction temporarily blocking the Department of Defense from labeling Anthropic, the artificial intelligence lab behind the Claude family of AI models, a supply chain risk, NPR reported on March 26.
READ MORESituation ReportMar 27, 2026 | 16:21 GMT
EU, China: European Parliament To Send First Delegation to China in Eight Years
The European Parliament will send a delegation to Beijing and Shanghai on March 31-April 2, including members of the Committee on Internal Market and Consumer Protection and the head of its China delegation, the parliament confirmed in a March 26 press release.
READ MORESituation ReportMar 26, 2026 | 20:06 GMT
Ukraine, U.S.: Pentagon Considers Diverting Ukraine-Bound Weapons
The Pentagon is considering diverting air defense munitions originally intended for Ukraine to support U.S. operations in the Middle East, The Washington Post reported on March 26, citing sources familiar with internal deliberations.
READ MORESituation ReportMar 26, 2026 | 20:04 GMT
Cuba, U.S.: Raul Castro Participates in U.S. Talks as Leaks About Negotiations Emerge
Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel said former President Raul Castro is involved in negotiations between Havana and Washington, AP reported on March 25.
READ MORESituation ReportMar 26, 2026 | 19:53 GMT
Taiwan: Third Party Founder's Prison Sentence Could Boost President Lai, Incense China
Ko Wen-je, founder and former chair of the Taiwan People's Party, or TPP, was sentenced to 17 years in prison and deprived of his civil rights for six years for bribery charges related to his time as Taipei mayor from 2018 to 2022, Focus Taiwan reported on March 26.
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