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AssessmentsAug 4, 2025 | 15:46 GMT
The flag of Afghanistan sits on the Afghan embassy in Moscow on July 4, 2025.
The Growing International Divide Over Taliban Ties Will Risk Regional Stability
Despite the Afghan Taliban's growing foreign engagement, a widening divide between countries willing to foster close ties with the group and the generally Western states that will remain more hesitant will challenge efforts to stem Afghanistan's worsening domestic challenges, which could ultimately threaten security and stability regionwide. After limiting ties with Afghanistan following the Taliban's takeover of the country in August 2021, Germany, on July 21, said it had allowed two envoys from Afghanistan's Taliban government to visit and facilitate Afghan migrant deportations as Berlin intensifies its efforts to curb illegal migration. Though Chancellor Friedrich Merz later clarified Germany had not moved in its refusal to diplomatically recognize the Afghan Taliban, Merz did reiterate a need to engage with the group and carry out limited "technical coordination." Berlin's decision marked the latest in a string of diplomatic victories for Afghanistan, which also saw Russia on July 3 become the first
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United States
Germany
Uzbekistan
Tajikistan
Russia
Afghanistan
Pakistan
Military & Security
Politics
Situation ReportJun 24, 2025 | 20:09 GMT
Iran: U.S. Intelligence Assessment Says Strike on Iran's Nuclear Facilities Had Modest Impact
An early assessment by the U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency suggested that most of Iran's nuclear capabilities remained intact after the June 22 U.S. strike on three Iranian facilities and that the strike likely only set back Iran's program by months, CNN reported on June 24, citing four sources familiar with the assessment.
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United States
Iran
Israel
Military & Security
SnapshotsJun 13, 2025 | 00:45 GMT
An Israeli Air Force F-16 fighter aircraft on March 24, 2025, over the city of Yokneam Illit in northern Israel.
Israel Launches Major Military Strikes on Iran
Israeli launched a "preemptive" strike on Iran in the early hours of June 13, Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz announced as he declared a special state of emergency inside Israel. The scope and scale of Israel's attack on Iran is unclear and could involve several waves with initial strikes targeting radars, air defense systems, aircraft and control towers to enable more direct strikes on sensitive nuclear facilities.
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United States
Iran
Israel
Military & Security
AssessmentsMay 2, 2025 | 15:20 GMT
Fighters gather outside a building that was seized by jihadists in Syria's northern Aleppo province on Nov. 29, 2024, amid the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) offensive against government forces.
Can Israel and Turkey Avoid a Conflict in Syria?
Israel and Turkey will seek to avoid direct conflict in Syria, but their expanding military presence in the country -- combined with their contrasting ambitions and backing of different armed groups -- could still lead to limited clashes. In recent weeks, Israeli and Turkish delegations have held technical talks to establish a deconfliction mechanism in Syria, where both countries have expanded their military presence following the Dec. 8 collapse of Bashar al Assad's regime. In an April 9 interview with CNN Turk, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said that "there are technical contacts to prevent combat elements from misunderstanding each other," which would contact each other "when needed" to prevent clashes between the two countries, whose relations have soured since the start of the Hamas-Israel war in October 2023. Since al Assad's fall, both the Turkish and Israeli governments have levied accusations against each other regarding their respective operations in
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Israel
Syria
Turkey
Military & Security
AssessmentsApr 22, 2025 | 20:44 GMT
The Geopolitics of Trade
The Geopolitics of Trade: The Impact of U.S. Tariffs on South Korea and Japan
U.S. tariffs on South Korea and Japan could sway upcoming leadership contests in both countries, modestly increase their trade with China and erode U.S.-South Korea defense cooperation, but they are unlikely to undermine U.S.-Japan security ties. From April 16-18, Japanese and U.S. officials held trade negotiations in Washington, and South Korean representatives are expected to travel to the United States in the coming days to begin their own talks. These moves come after U.S. President Donald Trump on April 9 granted a 90-day pause to "reciprocal" tariffs on most countries -- including tariffs of 24% on Japan and 26% on South Korea -- bringing the reciprocal tariff down to 10% for all countries except China. This reprieve did not, however, apply to imported vehicles or auto parts, key export industries in both South Korea and Japan that rely heavily on exports to the U.S. market. Those goods were subjected to
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United States
China
Japan
South Korea
Economics
Global Trade
Military & Security
Politics
Situation ReportApr 15, 2025 | 19:31 GMT
U.S., El Salvador: Trump-Bukele Meeting Indicates Continued Cooperation on Migration, Deportations 
During a meeting at the White House with U.S. President Donald Trump, El Salvador's President Nayib Bukele ruled out returning Kilmar Abrego Garcia, a Maryland man who was illegally deported to El Salvador, to the United States and expressed his ''eagerness to help'' the White House in facilitating further deportations, CNN reported Apr. 14.
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El Salvador
United States
Military & Security
Politics
AssessmentsFeb 17, 2025 | 14:00 GMT
Fighters of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) stand atop a humvee in Syria's northeastern Hasakah province during a joint military exercise with the U.S.-led coalition against the Islamic State on Sept. 7, 2022.
The Uncertain Future of U.S.-Backed Kurds in Syria
In Syria, the threat of an intensive Turkish military offensive and uncertainty over continued U.S. support will likely increase pressure on the Kurdish Syrian Democratic Forces to reach an agreement with the new Syrian government in exchange for some cultural and political concessions, but such an agreement will likely be unstable due to broader Kurdish autonomy aspirations. As Syria's transitional government takes steps toward integrating many of Syria's rival militant factions into the new government, the future of the U.S.-backed Kurdish Syrian Democratic Forces, or SDF, is in limbo. On Dec. 27, the commander of the SDF expressed the group's willingness to integrate into the new Syrian government but warned that this could only be done through a negotiated process with Damascus, which has already begun. Thus far, the SDF proposed that the group integrate into the Syrian Ministry of Defense as a ''military bloc,'' requiring a decentralized administration that
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United States
Syria
Turkey
Military & Security
Politics
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