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On GeopoliticsAug 2, 2018 | 09:00 GMT
The Chinese and U.S. flags are seen during a promotional event in Beijing on June 30, 2017.
AI and the Return of Great Power Competition
For better or worse, the advancement and diffusion of artificial intelligence technology will come to define this century. Whether that statement should fill your soul with terror or delight remains a matter of intense debate. Techno-idealists and doomsdayers will paint their respective utopian and dystopian visions of machine-kind, making the leap from what we know now as "narrow AI" to "general AI" to surpass human cognition within our lifetime. On the opposite end of the spectrum, yawning skeptics will point to Siri's slow intellect and Capt. Chesley "Sully" Sullenberger's human instinct to wave off AI chatter as a heap of hype not worth losing sleep over. The fact is that the development of AI – a catch-all term that encompasses neural networks and machine learning and deep learning technologies – has the potential to fundamentally transform civilian and military life in the coming decades. Regardless of whether you're a businessman pondering
AssessmentsJun 20, 2018 | 09:00 GMT
A demonstrator shows support for the Chinese government at a counterprotest held in response to an Amnesty International demonstration over human rights abuses and online censorship in China.
Bending the Internet: China Weighs Commercial Growth Against Government Control
Beijing considers the internet an opportunity as much as a threat. The economic incentive to keep the it free enough to foster innovation is huge for China. Some of the world's most technologically proficient internet and tech firms, in fact, operate behind the "Great Firewall." The rise of companies such as Baidu, Alibaba and Tencent has helped sustain China's economic growth, and their continued success is a central component in the country's long-term online strategy, dubbed Internet Plus by Chinese Premier Li Keqiang.
Annual ForecastsJan 7, 2013 | 12:00 GMT
The rules of the game are changing in the international system. In 2013, we will see that denial of that change is waning.
2013 Annual Forecast
At the beginning of 2012, we argued that the international system is undergoing a generational transformation -- the kind that occurs every 20 years or so. The cycle we are now in started in 2008-2009, when global financial contagion exposed the underlying weaknesses of Europe and eventually cracked China's export-oriented economic model. The Middle East then began to deviate from its post-World War II paradigm with an attempted resurgence by Iran, the regional rise of Islamists and the decline of age-old autocratic regimes in the Arab world.
AssessmentsSep 29, 2011 | 11:59 GMT
China Security Memo: Land Grab Triggers Protests in Guangdong
A land transfer in Wukan village triggered protests that ended in negotiations, not a security crackdown. Also, the president of the Shanghai subway operator publicly bowed in apology for the Sept. 27 train crash. (With STRATFOR interactive map)
AssessmentsAug 31, 2011 | 12:02 GMT
China Security Memo: A Legal Approach to Sichuan Unrest
Three monks have received prison terms in relation to a monk's March 16 self-immolation in Aba, Sichuan province, perhaps indicating a new approach by authorities to dealing with Tibetan monks' defiance. (With STRATFOR interactive map)
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