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SnapshotsOct 15, 2025 | 18:16 GMT
Protesters face police from a distance near burning barricades in Antananarivo, Madagascar, on Oct. 9, 2025.
Africa Sees Its First Gen Z-Driven Coup in Madagascar
In Madagascar, President Andry Rajoelina's ousting in a military coup on the back of widespread Gen Z protests will likely inspire demonstrators elsewhere in Africa and de-escalate political tensions in the near term, though protests risk resurging thereafter due to disagreements over the transition period. On Oct. 14, Col. Michael Randrianirina of the Personnel and Services Administration Corps unit of the army, or CAPSAT, announced that the military would take over government affairs, suspend the constitution and dissolve most state institutions with the exception of the National Assembly, the country's lower house. Randrianirina's announcement, which effectively marked a coup in the island nation, came just after the National Assembly impeached Rajoelina, who was exfiltrated by the French military from the country on Oct. 12. Despite its announced dissolution, Madagascar's High Constitutional Court subsequently called on Randrianirina to serve as head of state on an interim basis and for presidential elections
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Madagascar
Military & Security
Politics
SnapshotsOct 15, 2025 | 17:07 GMT
Vietnamese Communist Party General Secretary To Lam (left) and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un participate in a ceremony at the Pyongyang Sports Palace on Oct. 9, 2025, during Lam's three-day official visit to North Korea.
Vietnam's Lam Extends Diplomatic Balancing Act With Rare North Korea Visit
The first visit by Vietnam's leader to Pyongyang in nearly two decades reflects Hanoi's balancing strategy and North Korea's bid to broaden ties beyond China, though numerous constraints limit how far ties can deepen beyond certain symbolic steps. From Oct. 9-11, Vietnamese Communist Party General Secretary To Lam visited Pyongyang at the invitation of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, marking the first Vietnamese leader-level trip since 2007 and only the second since 1950. The visit coincided with the 80th anniversary of the ruling Workers' Party of Korea (WPK), around which Pyongyang organized a series of large-scale commemorations and diplomatic events. During his visit, Lam received a formal welcome ceremony, including a 21-gun salute and held high-level talks with Kim. The two leaders committed to deepen exchanges across party, parliamentary, governmental and local levels; broaden cooperation in sectors such as culture, education, health, tourism and information and communications; and intensify
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North Korea
Vietnam
Politics
Situation ReportOct 15, 2025 | 15:34 GMT
Israel, Palestinian Territories: Israel Reverses Course and Will Open Rafah Crossing, Increase Aid
Israel is expected to reopen the Rafah border crossing between Egypt and Gaza and increase humanitarian aid inflows into the strip in a reversal of its Oct. 14 decision following Hamas' release of four additional deceased bodies, though one is reportedly not that of an Israeli hostage, Reuters reported on Oct. 15.
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Israel
Palestinian Territories
Israel-Hamas Conflict
Military & Security
Politics
AssessmentsOct 14, 2025 | 21:26 GMT
Afghan men gather in support of the Taliban government during a rally in Khost, Afghanistan, on Oct. 13, 2025, amid heavy cross-border clashes with Pakistan.
Deadly Border Clashes Sharply Escalate Afghanistan-Pakistan Tensions
The recent deadly clashes between Afghanistan and Pakistan will have a high risk of recurring over the coming weeks, while the two countries' entrenched disputes will challenge international efforts to prevent their re-emergence in the coming months and probably beyond. Late on Oct. 11, Afghan Taliban fighters opened fire on Pakistani security forces along the Afghanistan-Pakistan border, fueling hours of the most intense clashes reported between the two sides since the Taliban retook control of Afghanistan in August 2021. Both sides reported inflicting heavy casualties on the other, while claiming to have sustained far fewer casualties themselves. They also reported striking and/or capturing dozens of the other's border outposts during the violence. These allegations, however, have not yet been independently verified. The border clashes followed a series of attacks targeting Pakistani security forces in northwest Pakistan on Oct. 10, which killed 23 people, including a handful of civilians. The attacks
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Afghanistan
Pakistan
Military & Security
Situation ReportOct 14, 2025 | 18:31 GMT
Israel, Gaza: Israel Refuses To Reopen Rafah Border Crossing, Decreases Humanitarian Aid
Israel is refusing to reopen the Rafah border crossing between Gaza and Egypt on Oct. 15 in accordance with the first phase of the ceasefire agreement, which took effect on Oct. 10, due to Hamas' refusal to release the majority of the remaining 24 bodies of deceased hostages in Gaza, though four more are expected to be released on Oct. 14, The Times of Israel reported on Oct. 14.
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Israel
Palestinian Territories
Israel-Hamas Conflict
Military & Security
Politics
Situation ReportOct 14, 2025 | 18:29 GMT
Zimbabwe: Vice President's Memo Against President's Allies Leaked as War Veteran Calls for Fresh Protests
In a leaked memo to the politburo of the ruling Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front party, or ZANU-PF, Zimbabwean Vice President Constantino Chiwenga accused four high-profile allies of Zimbabwean President Emmerson Mnangagwa of having looted over $3.2 billion from state coffers and warned Mnangagwa that the conditions that led to the ousting of former President Robert Mugabe were being replicated, New Zimbabwe reported on Oct. 13.
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Zimbabwe
Military & Security
Politics
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