PodcastsJul 2, 2020 | 09:30 GMT
In this episode of Stratfor's Essential Geopolitics podcast, Emily Donahue speaks with Evan Rees, Stratfor Asia-Pacific Analyst, about Hong Kong and the new National Security Law.
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PodcastsJul 1, 2020 | 20:34 GMT
In this episode of the RANE Insight podcast series, RANE founder and Chief Collaborative Officer David Lawrence speaks with Jim Sisco, Founder and CEO of Enodo Global, a Social Risk Advisory Firm; and Dr. Frederick S. Southwick, an infectious disease expert with the University of Florida, about the resurgent COVID-19.
READ MOREPodcastsJul 1, 2020 | 10:00 GMT
With the rapid pace at which technology changes, devices seem to become obsolete as soon as you get them, making electronic waste the fastest growing waste stream. In this podcast, learn how to make sure your business e-waste is managed securely.
READ MOREAssessmentsJul 1, 2020 | 10:00 GMT
A surge of anti-China sentiment among Indian lawmakers, business leaders and voters will prompt Prime Minister Narendra Modi to take a more aggressive approach against Bejing in the wake of the two countries' recent border clash. This could include a variety of actions ranging from diplomatic moves to economic and trade measures, as well as a continued military build-up against China, which will only further ratchet up tensions between the nuclear-armed neighbors.
READ MORESnapshotsJun 30, 2020 | 19:49 GMT
The passing of China's new Hong Kong national security law marks the start of an uncertain and potentially volatile phase in the city's ongoing political crisis, as pro-democracy forces square-off with newly empowered city authorities backed by Beijing, increasing the risk of a sweeping crackdown on dissent that could also impact foreign institutions. Whether the next period sees tumultuous protests or a stifling of the pro-democracy camp will now depend on how Hong Kong authorities choose to apply their new sweeping powers and how the prosecution of such crimes proceed in the court system. Hong Kong's pro-democracy camp, for its part, will work to balance the need to maintain public furor against Beijing's ongoing erosion of the city's autonomy with the need to also save its strength for September legislative council elections, where it hopes to gain ground and challenge Beijing-aligned authorities.
READ MOREAssessmentsJun 30, 2020 | 10:00 GMT
Reductions in funding for multilateral aid due to the economic fallout from COVID-19 are impacting the fight against the epidemic in conflict zones such as Yemen, raising the prospect of migration flows and renewed fighting, while increasing pressure on private aid organizations to fund humanitarian programs. Funding for multilateral humanitarian aid is dwindling as donor countries increasingly turn inward to solve their own COVID-19 crises at home. Donor countries are providing pandemic relief in various ways, including debt relief, financial swaps and bilateral aid. But global economic contractions, estimated to hover around 7 percent this year, are reducing aid contributions to the United Nations and other institutions, creating severe systemic funding gaps.
READ MOREPodcastsJun 30, 2020 | 09:00 GMT
In this Essential Geopolitics podcast from Stratfor, a RANE company, Emily Donahue speaks to Michael Monderer, senior analyst for global economics. Donahue receives an update on the global economic impacts of COVID-19. Things do not look good.
READ MORESITUATION REPORTJun 29, 2020 | 17:51 GMT
Poland: Country to Hold Runoff Presidential Election on July 12Polish President Andrzej Duda will compete against Warsaw Mayor Rafal Trzaskowski in a runoff contest on July 12 after failing to secure at least 50 percent of the vote in the first round of Poland’s presidential election, Reuters reported June 28.
READ MOREQuarterly ForecastsJun 29, 2020 | 00:02 GMT
While many of the trends identified in our annual forecast remain slowed down by COVID-19, their pace is picking up as countries carefully emerge from lockdown.
READ MOREPodcastsJun 26, 2020 | 10:00 GMT
In this episode of the RANE Insights podcast series, RANE Founder and Chief Collaborative Officer David Lawrence convenes a roundtable of experts to discuss the origin, virality and consistency of conspiracy theories.
READ MOREPodcastsJun 26, 2020 | 10:00 GMT
In part two of a two-part podcast on conspiracy theories from RANE, the conversation turns to how businesses can combat conspiracy theories and disinformation by planning ahead and making listening a priority.
READ MOREAssessmentsJun 26, 2020 | 10:00 GMT
Israel's impending annexations in the West Bank will not spark immediate international backlash, but growing pro-Palestine sentiment in the United States and Europe will ultimately leave it politically and economically isolated in the long term. This will lead Israel to seek increased partnerships with countries whose citizens and politicians are less invested in the prospect of a Palestinian state, such as Russia and China, though doing so will come at the risk of further stoking U.S. ire.
READ MOREPodcastsJun 25, 2020 | 09:00 GMT
Israel is planning to formally annex disputed areas of the West Bank that it has occupied and settled for decades. Stratfor analyst Ryan Bohl speaks to Emily Donahue about why it is happening now, and about what reactions to the move are likely.
READ MOREAssessmentsJun 23, 2020 | 18:03 GMT
The failure of last week's negotiations over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam means that the initial filling of the $4 billion hydroelectric dam on the Blue Nile will likely occur without an agreement between Sudan, Egypt and Ethiopia. Egypt will attempt, and likely fail, to bring international pressure to bear on Ethiopia in order to ensure the giant new dam doesn't affect the flow of the Nile Basin river system, which is Cairo's main source of water. But while Egypt's technical coordination on the project is unavoidable, Cairo's waning influence over North Africa's water distribution will make its overall position on the Nile less secure over time.
READ MORESnapshotsJun 23, 2020 | 10:00 GMT
The Chinese central government is adopting a more rapid and aggressive approach to its proposed national security law in Hong Kong that will erode the city's autonomy from the mainland. On June 20, Chinese state-run media released new details about Beijing's proposed Hong Kong national security legislation following the conclusion of a National People's Congress Standing Committee session. The Standing Committee will now hold a June 28-30 special meeting, raising the possibility of the law's passage before the July 1 anniversary of the 1997 British handover of Hong Kong.
As written, the current draft law grants Beijing a greater supervisory role over national security inside of Hong Kong with measures that were on the more assertive end of the spectrum of potential options.The tough penalties for convictions will also have a chilling effect on unrest in Hong Kong by allowing pro-Beijing forces inside the city to more easily crack down on
READ MOREPodcastsJun 23, 2020 | 09:00 GMT
In this episode of the Essential Geopolitics podcast series from Stratfor, a RANE company, Emily Donahue asks Senior Global Analyst Matthew Bey how Iran's cyberwarfare strategy has evolved in recent years.
READ MOREGuidanceJun 20, 2020 | 15:00 GMT
A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended Stratfor articles from the week that was.
READ MOREAssessmentsJun 19, 2020 | 10:00 GMT
Saudi Arabia will try to simulate key aspects of its tourism industry to offset the damage from this year's canceled hajj and limited umrah pilgrimages due to the COVID-19 pandemic. But even with support, Riyadh will still miss Vision 2030 goals in the sector, leaving the kingdom reliant on oil income well into the global energy transition.
READ MORESITUATION REPORTJun 18, 2020 | 20:43 GMT
South Korea, Japan: Seoul Requests WTO to Open Trade Dispute PanelSouth Korea has formally requested the World Trade Organization to open a dispute-settlement panel to address Japanese export restrictions on key chemical inputs for the South Korean semiconductor sector, which have been in effect since July, Yonhap News Agency reported June 18.
READ MORESITUATION REPORTJun 18, 2020 | 19:51 GMT
Hong Kong, China: National Security Law Added to Chinese Lawmakers’ Agenda China’s National People's Congress officially added the Hong Kong national security legislation to the agenda for its Standing Committee’s three-day meeting this week, which ends on June 20, according to a June 18 report released by the official Xinhua News Agency.
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