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Situation ReportMar 30, 2026 | 19:11 GMT

Myanmar: Junta Leader Resigns Command, Prepares for Presidency

Myanmar's Senior Gen. Min Aung Hlaing stepped down as commander in chief of the country's military and entered the presidential selection process, Reuters reported on March 30.

Myanmar

Military & Security

Politics

Quarterly ForecastsMar 30, 2026 | 00:00 GMT

2026 Second-Quarter Forecast

The second quarter will test global resilience as lingering conflicts and energy shocks converge to heighten economic uncertainty and geopolitical volatility.

AssessmentsMar 28, 2026 | 14:00 GMT

People on March 15 in Tehran, Iran, clean up rubble from a missile attack.

The Weekly Rundown: The Iran War Continues, a European Parliament Delegation Visits China

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

AssessmentsMar 27, 2026 | 20:18 GMT

Geopolitical Calendar

Stay informed about the significant meetings and events RANE analysts are tracking.

Situation ReportMar 27, 2026 | 19:43 GMT

Russia: Putin Turns to Oligarchs as War Costs Mount

Russian President Vladimir Putin asked leading businessmen to make large voluntary contributions to the state budget and reiterated that Russia would continue fighting Ukraine until it captured the remaining parts of the Donbas region, The Bell reported on March 27, citing people familiar with the matter.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

AssessmentsMar 27, 2026 | 18:42 GMT

A general view of power lines near the Lethabo power station between Vereeniging and Sasolburg, South Africa, on April 17, 2024.

The Outlook for South Africa's Power Sector Reforms and Energy Security

South Africa's power sector reforms will likely spur rising investment in electricity generation and transmission projects despite remaining years away from completion, but the country remains exposed to a high risk of resurging rolling blackouts from 2029 onward if it presses ahead with plans to decommission many of its coal-fired power plants.

South Africa

Economics

Energy

Environment, Science & Technology

Politics

Situation ReportMar 27, 2026 | 17:09 GMT

U.S., Iran: Trump Delays Power Plant Attacks Deadline Until April 6

U.S. President Donald Trump announced a delay until April 6 of the deadline for Iran to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz or risk U.S. attacks against power plants after claiming that U.S.-Iran discussions were going "very well," AP reported on March 26.

Situation ReportMar 27, 2026 | 16:26 GMT

MENA: Chinese Container Ships Abort Attempted Transit Through the Strait of Hormuz

The CSCL Indian Ocean and CSCL Arctic Ocean -- two container ships linked to China's state-owned COSCO Shipping Corp. -- attempted to exit the Persian Gulf through the Strait of Hormuz before making abrupt U-turns and heading back into the Gulf, Bloomberg reported on March 27.

Situation ReportMar 27, 2026 | 16:23 GMT

U.S.: Federal Judge Temporarily Blocks Trump Administration's Punitive Actions Against Anthropic

A federal judge issued a preliminary injunction temporarily blocking the Department of Defense from labeling Anthropic, the artificial intelligence lab behind the Claude family of AI models, a supply chain risk, NPR reported on March 26.

United States

Economics

Environment, Science & Technology

Politics

Situation ReportMar 26, 2026 | 20:04 GMT

Cuba, U.S.: Raul Castro Participates in U.S. Talks as Leaks About Negotiations Emerge

Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel said former President Raul Castro is involved in negotiations between Havana and Washington, AP reported on March 25.

AssessmentsMar 26, 2026 | 18:11 GMT

Cars drive past a gas station in Ponte Leccia on the French Mediterranean island of Corsica on March 26, 2026.

How the EU Is Responding to Its Latest Energy Crisis

While Gulf oil and gas supply disruptions are driving higher and more volatile energy prices in Europe, EU-wide market interventions remain unlikely, leaving a fragmented patchwork of national relief measures that will only partially shield households and industry, and although Europe will avoid physical shortages, high prices will continue to weigh on industrial competitiveness and economic growth.

Situation ReportMar 26, 2026 | 16:06 GMT

Tanzania: Government Strikes $300M Niobium Deal With U.S.-Linked Company

The Tanzanian government signed an agreement with U.S.-linked company Tremont Investment Group to develop the $300 million Panda Hill project, The Chanzo reported on March 25.

Situation ReportMar 25, 2026 | 21:08 GMT

Mexico, China: Beijing Says It Has the Right To Retaliate Against Mexico Over Tariffs

China announced that it had the right to retaliate against Mexico's barriers to Chinese goods and investments, although it has not announced any countermeasures, El Economista reported on March 25.

Situation ReportMar 25, 2026 | 20:31 GMT

Indonesia: Export Tax Targets Semi-Processed Nickel as Fiscal Pressures Rise

Indonesia approved new export taxes on semi-processed nickel products and coal shipments, with rates still under discussion, Bloomberg reported on March 25.

Indonesia

Economics

Politics

AssessmentsMar 25, 2026 | 19:00 GMT

A medicine distributor stores Mounjaro (tirzepatide) self-injecting GLP-1 prefilled pens and vials in a fridge at his office in Thane, India, on March 20, 2026.

The Growth Outlook for India's Pharmaceutical Sector Remains Strong, Despite Global Uncertainties

Despite ongoing global trade and energy uncertainties, India's pharmaceutical and medical technology sectors are set to experience strong growth driven by manufacturing incentives, regulatory reforms and improved access to foreign markets, although supply-chain vulnerabilities, reliance on imported APIs and U.S. trade investigations pose risks of production disruptions, export delays and market volatility.

Environment, Science & Technology

Politics

Situation ReportMar 25, 2026 | 17:06 GMT

Nigeria: Regulator Moves To Fast-Track Revival of Old Oil Wells Amid Iran War

The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission, or NUPRC, has cut approval times to revive old oil wells from weeks to hours, Bloomberg reported on March 24, quoting sources familiar with the matter.

Nigeria

Iran

Energy

AssessmentsMar 25, 2026 | 16:35 GMT

The Geopolitics of Demographics: Politics and Economics

Demography, derived from the Greek words for "description of people or society," is the statistical study and analysis of populations, including their changing structure (age, gender, education, etc.) and size. Demographic change is notoriously slow and often imperceptible, but its long-term impact is significant, affecting domestic and international political stability, economic growth and financial wealth. The key analytical question is how, and under what circumstances and mechanisms, demography impacts social outcomes.

Sub-Saharan Africa

Americas

Middle East and North Africa

Geopolitics of Demographics

Military & Security

Politics

Social Issues

Situation ReportMar 24, 2026 | 19:41 GMT

U.S.: Pentagon To Deploy Brigade Combat Team From 82nd Airborne Division to Middle East

The U.S. Department of Defense is planning to deploy a brigade combat team from the U.S. Army's 82nd Airborne Division to the Middle East, The Wall Street Journal reported on March 24.

United States

Iran

Military & Security

Situation ReportMar 23, 2026 | 18:50 GMT

Sudan: UAE Developing New Weapons Smuggling Routes to RSF Despite Iran War

The United Arab Emirates is growing its smuggling network to Sudan's paramilitary Rapid Support Forces, or RSF, through Ethiopia and the Central African Republic, Le Monde reported on March 22.

Central African Republic

Situation ReportMar 23, 2026 | 15:35 GMT

Cuba, U.S.: Havana Says It Is Preparing for Potential U.S. Military Aggression

Cuba's Deputy Foreign Minister Carlos Fernandez de Cossio said the country has no disputes with the United States but would be naive not to prepare for the unlikely possibility of U.S. military aggression, Reuters reported on March 22.

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