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AssessmentsOct 29, 2025 | 19:54 GMT
U.S. President Donald Trump (center) poses for a group photo with the leaders of (L-R) Singapore, East Timor, Vietnam, Cambodia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Brunei, Indonesia and Laos during the ASEAN leaders summit on Oct. 26, 2025.
The Takeaways From the 2025 ASEAN Summit
The Association of Southeast Asian Nations leaders' summit underscored the bloc's efforts to improve cohesion amid U.S.-China competition, from which it is set to benefit economically. But over time, competing trade pressures and internal divergences will test this cohesiveness, with fractures exposing individual members to external and, at times, coercive influence. On Oct. 26-28, the leaders of Southeast Asian countries gathered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, for the 47th ASEAN Leaders' Summit, joined by high-level representatives from partner countries, including the United States and China. U.S. President Donald Trump attended the opening day, where he oversaw Thailand and Cambodia signing an expanded ceasefire and joint declaration that formalized and broadened their July truce after deadly border clashes. On the economic track, Washington reached bilateral agreements with four ASEAN members, including a reciprocal trade agreement with Malaysia, a full trade accord with Cambodia, a framework trade deal with Thailand, and a provisional
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United States
Brunei Darussalam
Cambodia
China
Timor-Leste
Indonesia
Laos
Malaysia
Myanmar
Philippines
Singapore
Thailand
Vietnam
Economics
Global Trade
Military & Security
Politics
Situation ReportOct 27, 2025 | 17:32 GMT
U.S., Malaysia, Vietnam: Washington Secures Critical Minerals, Market Access
The United States and Malaysia signed a reciprocal trade pact that leaves in place Washington's 19% tariff rate on Malaysian goods but grants zero-tariff carveouts for more than 1,700 Malaysian export categories and "favorable consideration on semiconductors," while securing Malaysian commitments not to restrict exports of critical minerals (including rare earths) and magnets, The Straits Times reported on Oct. 26.
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United States
Malaysia
Vietnam
Economics
Politics
AssessmentsOct 24, 2025 | 15:31 GMT
Kenyan forces stand next to the coffin of former Prime Minister Raila Odinga during a funeral mass at Jaramogi Oginga Odinga University of Science and Technology on October 19, 2025 in Bondo, Kenya.
What Raila Odinga's Death Means for Kenyan Politics
The death of former Kenyan Prime Minister and opposition leader Raila Odinga risks fragmenting his political party, creating space for other opposition figures to challenge the incumbent president. Odinga, widely known as the "people's president" despite never serving in the role, died on Oct. 15 after reportedly suffering a stroke while receiving medical treatment in India. The 80-year-old, a central figure in Kenyan politics for decades, was granted a state funeral and seven days of national mourning. However, his death quickly sparked unrest across the country from the capital, Nairobi to his home region of Western Kenya. In the intervening days four people were killed when security forces used live fire to disperse crowds at the Kasarani stadium where Odinga's body was to be publicly viewed. On Oct. 16, Odinga's supporters also stormed airport grounds, breaching security and forcing authorities to temporarily halt operations. Some mourners denounced President William Ruto,
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Kenya
Economics
Politics
Social Issues
Situation ReportOct 22, 2025 | 17:04 GMT
Kazakhstan, U.S.: Trump Team's Tungsten Push Invites U.S. Investment, Risks Chinese Ire
The U.S. Trump administration is supporting Cove Kaz Capital Group's bid to develop two of Kazakhstan's largest tungsten deposits, facilitating negotiations with the sovereign wealth fund Samruk-Kazyna and exploring financing through the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation and Export-Import Bank, Bloomberg reported on Oct. 21.
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United States
China
Kazakhstan
Economics
Politics
AssessmentsOct 22, 2025 | 17:00 GMT
The Geopolitics of Trade
The Geopolitics of Trade: EU Steps Back From Ambitious Environmental Policies
Ongoing revisions to the European Union's supply-chain due diligence framework reflect a softening of ambitious sustainability goals as competitiveness, economic security and trade diversification take precedence, easing near-term compliance burdens for businesses but maintaining binding ESG obligations, regulatory fragmentation and long-term uncertainty for large companies and high-impact sectors such as energy, agriculture and manufacturing. The European Union is weakening its most ambitious supply-chain sustainability rules -- the Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive (CSDDD), the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) and the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD) -- by delaying implementation, easing compliance and narrowing obligations. As part of the ''Omnibus'' simplification package presented in February, Brussels proposed giving companies more time and flexibility and softening due diligence, disclosure and liability requirements for all three initiatives. In April, the European Union also adopted the ''Stop-the-Clock'' Directive, pausing transposition and first-phase application of both CSDDD and CSRD to prevent immediate compliance deadlines from
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Europe
Economics
Energy
Environment, Science & Technology
Global Trade
Politics
Situation ReportOct 22, 2025 | 16:39 GMT
EU: U.S. and Qatar Urge Brussels To Amend or Scrap CSDDD, Warning of Risks to LNG Imports
The United States and Qatar urged the European Union to withdraw or substantially amend its planned Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive (CSDDD), arguing it would otherwise complicate liquefied natural gas exports from both countries to the bloc, the Financial Times reported on Oct. 22, citing a joint letter.
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United States
Qatar
Europe
Economics
Energy
Politics
AssessmentsOct 21, 2025 | 21:43 GMT
Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese (left) and U.S. President Donald Trump speak to reporters during a bilateral meeting in the Cabinet Room of the White House on Oct. 20, 2025, in Washington, D.C.
U.S.-Australia Leadership Summit Yields Critical Minerals Pact, AUKUS Reaffirmation
The United States and Australia's new critical minerals pact and Trump's endorsement of AUKUS reflect a mutual desire to tighten defense and supply chain integration as a way to reduce strategic reliance on China, though these political commitments are unlikely to yield tangible results before the end of the decade due to industrial bottlenecks. On Oct. 20, U.S. President Donald Trump and Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese met at the White House for a bilateral summit that delivered two principal outcomes: a critical minerals deal (dubbed the U.S.-Australia Framework for Securing Supply in the Mining and Processing of Critical Minerals and Rare Earths) and a public reaffirmation of U.S. commitment to the AUKUS nuclear submarine partnership. The critical minerals framework commits both governments to jointly mobilize financing through their respective export-credit and development agencies to support priority mining, refining and processing projects. The U.S. Export-Import Bank, the U.S. International Development
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United States
Australia
China
Military & Security
Politics
AssessmentsOct 20, 2025 | 20:57 GMT
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Syria's interim president, Ahmed al-Sharaa, hold a meeting at the Grand Kremlin Palace in Moscow on Oct.15, 2025.
Syria-Russia Reapproachment Reinforces Damascus's Non-Confrontationalism
Syria will adopt a pragmatic approach to its relations with Russia that will leave the door open for diversified economic and security ties, help de-escalate tensions between Russia and Turkey, and could eventually facilitate small steps toward Syria's rapprochement with Iran. On Oct. 15, Syria's provisional president, Ahmad al-Sharaa, visited Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow. This was al-Sharaa's first state visit to Russia since taking control of Syria in December 2024, following the ouster of Russia's ally, former leader Bashar al Assad, in December 2024. During the meeting, Putin and al-Sharaa addressed several key issues. They discussed the status of Russia's remaining military bases in Syria, which Moscow previously used to fight against rebels challenging the al Assad regime, including al-Sharaa's Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS). Other topics included humanitarian aid, economic ties and the future status of al Assad himself, who remains in exile in Russia and whom Syria
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Iran
Syria
Turkey
Russia
Military & Security
Politics
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