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SnapshotsJan 3, 2026 | 13:44 GMT
Fuerte Tiuna, Venezuela's largest military complex, after a series of explosions Jan. 3, 2026, in Caracas amid U.S. strikes.
U.S. Capture of Maduro Could Lead to Instability and Unrest in Venezuela, Wider Region
The United States' claimed capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro creates a leadership vacuum that risks leading to potentially violent instability and unrest in the coming weeks, while also keeping future U.S. strikes on Venezuela and other countries in the region on the table. On Jan. 3, U.S. President Donald Trump announced in an early morning social media post that the United States had captured Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, and flown them out of the country. Trump said the operation occurred with U.S. law enforcement and took place alongside U.S. military operations against Venezuela. The Venezuelan government said attacks had occurred in the capital, Caracas, as well as the surrounding states of Aragua, Miranda and La Guaira. The Venezuelan government also declared a state of emergency and called for popular armed mobilization to resist U.S. forces. President Trump announced a press conference at 11:00 a.m. EST to discuss
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United States
Venezuela
Military & Security
Politics
SnapshotsDec 30, 2025 | 16:47 GMT
Residents wave Somaliland flags as they gather to celebrate Israel's announcement recognizing Somaliland's statehood in downtown Hargeisa, on Dec. 26, 2025.
Israel's Recognition of Somaliland Raises the Stakes Along the Red Sea Corridor
Israel's recognition of Somaliland's independence will likely enable it to eventually secure access to military facilities in the territory, which would raise the likelihood of retaliation from the Houthis. It also increases the likelihood of the United States, Ethiopia and the United Arab Emirates recognizing Somaliland in the coming years and threatens to escalate proxy conflicts in Sudan and Yemen. On Dec. 26, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced Israel's recognition of the independence of Somalia's breakaway region of Somaliland. The move came after Netanyahu signed a declaration of mutual recognition with Somalilander President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi, known as Irro, with Israel pledging to expand cooperation with Somaliland in the field of agriculture, health, technology and the economy. Following the signing ceremony, Netanyahu said that the joint declaration was "in the spirit of the Abraham Accords" and that he would tell U.S. President Donald Trump about Somaliland's readiness to formally
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Eritrea
Ethiopia
Somalia
Sudan
Egypt
Israel
Saudi Arabia
United Arab Emirates
Yemen
Military & Security
Situation ReportDec 29, 2025 | 19:51 GMT
Somalia: Puntland and Jubaland Skip Meeting With Federal Government Over Israeli Recognition of Somaliland
The governments of Somalia's Jubaland and Puntland states skipped a meeting convened by Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud to discuss plans to protect the country's territorial integrity following Israel's Dec. 26 recognition of the independence Somaliland, a breakaway region, Hiiraan Online reported on Dec. 29.
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Eritrea
Ethiopia
Somalia
Egypt
Israel
Saudi Arabia
United Arab Emirates
Military & Security
Politics
Situation ReportDec 26, 2025 | 16:24 GMT
Iraq: Kurdish Oil Export Deal Extended by Another Three Months
The federal government of Iraq, the Kurdistan Regional Government and oil companies operating in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq agreed to extend their three-month deal on oil exports by another three months, Rudaw reported on Dec. 25, citing an official from Iraq's State Oil Marketing Organization, which handles international sales of KRG oil exports.
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Iraq
Energy
On GeopoliticsDec 24, 2025 | 15:08 GMT
Yemenis gather during a rally to show their support for the UAE-backed Southern Transitional Council (STC), which wants to revive an independent South Yemen, as they wave the old South Yemen flag in Khormaksar Square, in the coastal port city of Aden on Dec. 14, 2025.
The Precarious Path to South Arabian Independence
Yemen's Southern Transitional Council (STC) -- backed by the United Arab Emirates -- has been on a blitz across the remnants of the central government's territory. A quick glance at a Yemeni Civil War map might suggest that a returned South Yemen may be on the cusp of reemergence after three decades within a unified state. But this path to de facto independence, while increasingly viable, is still far from a sure thing -- and for the STC to achieve it, the group must balance the pillars of Yemeni geopolitics with a care that suggests a long road still lies ahead.
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Saudi Arabia
United Arab Emirates
Yemen
Military & Security
Politics
Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 18:54 GMT
China: Washington Delays New Chip Tariffs to 2027 Amid Fragile Trade Truce
The Office of the United States Trade Representative concluded a yearlong Section 301 investigation, finding China's semiconductor industrial policies "unreasonable," but said any new tariffs on Chinese legacy chips will be delayed until June 2027 with rates announced at least 30 days in advance, the Financial Times reported Dec. 23. 
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United States
China
Environment, Science & Technology
Politics
AssessmentsDec 22, 2025 | 17:33 GMT
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz addresses the Bundestag on Dec 17 in Berlin.
Deadlock and Dissent Leave Merz's Reform Agenda Floundering
Germany's governing coalition is increasingly constrained by internal divisions, weak party discipline and falling approval ratings. While a government collapse or early elections remain unlikely, these pressures are slowing down and diluting reforms and causing uncertainty over Chancellor Friedrich Merz's ability to restore stability and deliver economic growth.
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Germany
Politics
Situation ReportDec 19, 2025 | 19:12 GMT
Nigeria: Tinubu Presents 2026 Budget to National Assembly
Nigerian President Bola Tinubu presented the 58.18 trillion naira ($40 billion) budget for 2026 to a joint session of the National Assembly, with 5.41 trillion naira for defense and internal security, the single largest sectoral allocation, 6.0 trillion naira for education and health care, and 3.52 trillion naira for infrastructure, The Punch reported on Dec. 19.
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Nigeria
Economics
Military & Security
Politics
Situation ReportDec 18, 2025 | 17:56 GMT
Australia: Albanese Moves To Toughen Hate Speech Laws
Following a National Security Committee meeting, Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese unveiled five legal changes strengthening rules on hate speech offenses, sentencing and organizational listing power, alongside expanded visa rejection criteria and authority for the Department of Home Affairs, the Australian Financial Review reported on Dec. 18.
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Australia
Military & Security
Politics
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