AssessmentsJan 6, 2026 | 20:41 GMT

Saudi Arabia and the UAE Pursue Divergent Paths in a Multipolar World
The growing rivalry between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates will likely increasingly strain bilateral relations, raising the risk of escalations and conflicts -- both directly and through their proxies -- in places like Yemen, Sudan and Syria, as well as disruptions within the Gulf Cooperation Council. Geopolitical competition between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates has increased in recent weeks, evident in their diverging strategies across several regional flashpoints and their direct economic rivalry. In Yemen, tensions have sharply escalated after Saudi-backed government troops on Jan. 2 launched an offensive in Hadramaut province to recapture territory from the UAE-backed secessionist Southern Transitional Council (STC), highlighting the continued divergence of Saudi and Emirati strategic imperatives in the country. Similarly, in Sudan, the two Gulf states are backing rival factions in that country's ongoing civil war. And in Syria, while both Riyadh and Abu Dhabi support the new provisional
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