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Situation ReportSep 17, 2025 | 20:32 GMT
Iraq, U.S.: State Department Designates Four Iranian-Backed Iraqi Militias as FTOs
The U.S. Department of State designated four Iranian-backed Iraqi militias -- Harakat al-Nujaba, Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada, Harakat Ansar Allah al-Awfiya and Kataib al-Imam Ali -- as Foreign Terrorist Organizations, or FTOs, to counter Iran and prevent terrorist attacks against U.S. military personnel and assets in the region, according to a Sept. 17 State Department press release.
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United States
Iran
Iraq
Military & Security
Politics
AssessmentsSep 15, 2025 | 21:16 GMT
From left to right, Small Business Administration administrator Kelly Loeffler, U.S. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard and Environmental Protection Agency administrator Lee Zeldin listen as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a Cabinet meeting on Aug. 26, 2025, in Washington, D.C.
U.S. Digital Defenses Weaken, Opening the Door for Nation-State Operations
In the United States, rollbacks of federal efforts to counter foreign influence, coupled with weakening private sector content moderation, will more easily facilitate nation-state online influence operations. These operations will enable a greater proliferation of disinformation designed to stoke societal tensions, diminish faith in democratic institutions and influence public sentiments and government policy. On Aug. 20, U.S. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard announced plans to further slash staff for her office, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, which oversees the country's intelligence community. In conjunction with previous cuts announced in February, the latest cuts will reduce the office's personnel by nearly 50%. The most recent cuts center on consolidating teams focused on countering cyber threats and influence operations, and they include shrinking the Foreign Malign Influence Center, which serves as the primary organization for integrating intelligence on foreign influence operations, including efforts to influence U.S. elections. While
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United States
Cyber
Environment, Science & Technology
Military & Security
Politics
AssessmentsSep 12, 2025 | 19:44 GMT
A picture taken from a distance shows the damaged building (L) in the Qatari compound housing members of Hamas' political bureau on Sept. 10, 2025. Israel targeted the building the previous day in a strike in Qatar's capital, Doha.
The Regional Implications of Israel's Strikes in Qatar
Israel's airstrikes in Qatar will likely harden the stances of Iranian-backed groups, keep normalization with Saudi Arabia off the table and drive more assertive postures from other regional states. In the past few days, Qatari authorities, other countries in the region, European states and even the United States -- reportedly informed of the attack only as it was taking place -- all condemned Israel’s Sept. 9 airstrikes in Doha. The Israeli airstrikes in Doha did not succeed in killing the Hamas leaders Israel was targeting, though six others were killed. The incident was the first Israeli attack on a close U.S. ally in modern times. It was all the more significant given Qatar's designation as a major non-NATO ally of the United States, a status that signifies the closest security ties Washington can have with a foreign country that is not a NATO member.
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United States
Egypt
Iran
Iraq
Israel
Lebanon
Qatar
Saudi Arabia
Turkey
United Arab Emirates
Yemen
Israel-Hamas Conflict
Military & Security
Politics
AssessmentsSep 11, 2025 | 22:08 GMT
In this pool photograph distributed by the Russian state agency Sputnik, Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev waits to greet foreign leaders during the Shanghai Cooperation Organization member states leaders' summit in Astana on July 4, 2024.
How Kazakhstan's Proposed Reforms Will Impact the Question of Succession
In Kazakhstan, proposed institutional reforms are meant to tighten the regime's hold on power, but they will not guarantee a smooth transition or prevent Russian attempts to manipulate political events once President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev steps down. On Sept. 8, President Tokayev used his annual State of the Nation address to the Parliament to propose constitutional changes that would abolish Kazakhstan's upper chamber, the Senate, and create a unicameral legislature. Framed as the next phase of political reform, Tokayev's proposal calls for at least a year of public debate followed by a nationwide referendum in 2027. In a separate but related step, Tokayev also proposed an electoral change: shifting back to elections conducted exclusively by party lists. Together, these moves mark Kazakhstan's most significant political reform since the January 2022 protests, which triggered constitutional amendments that altered the composition of the Mazhilis, the lower chamber, by reintroducing a mixed electoral system
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China
Kazakhstan
Russia
Politics
AssessmentsSep 10, 2025 | 20:18 GMT
Nigerian soldiers from the Multinational Joint Task Force (MNJTF) drive in pick-ups during training at the Sector 3 MNJTF military base headquarters in Monguno, Borno state, Nigeria, on July 5, 2025.
In Nigeria, Security Forces Struggle To Address Growing Militancy
The Nigerian government will likely continue prioritizing security crises based on the political and economic relevance of different regions, but myriad domestic constraints and limited regional cooperation will enable armed groups to continue to expand their range of operations and capabilities. In mid-August, the governor of northwestern Zamfara state publicly rejected the option of negotiating with armed bandits to curb their growing attacks, instead pledging to pursue them by force. His firm stance came days after reports emerged that some local government areas in neighboring Katsina state had struck peace deals with bandit groups, though the terms of these agreements remain unclear. The deals follow a recent surge in banditry characterized by killings of both civilians and security personnel, kidnappings for ransom and disruption to farming and herding -- pivotal economic sectors in northern Nigeria. While initiatives such as peace agreements with bandits aim to address insecurity, they highlight the
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Burkina Faso
Chad
Mali
Niger
Nigeria
Military & Security
Politics
Situation ReportSep 4, 2025 | 20:20 GMT
India: Government Approves Cuts to Consumption Taxes
India announced an overhaul of its goods and services tax, cutting rates on hundreds of consumer items and simplifying the structure from four tiers of 5%, 12%, 18% and 28% to two tiers of 5% and 18% to spur domestic demand amid U.S. tariff pressures, Bloomberg reported Sept. 3.
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India
Economics
SnapshotsSep 3, 2025 | 20:26 GMT
Participants of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) Summit 2025 pose for photos in Tianjin, China, on Sept. 1, 2025.
China Positions Itself as Growth Catalyst for Central Asia at SCO Summit
China's efforts to position itself as a stable alternative to U.S. trade uncertainty will help Beijing expand infrastructure and trade ties to its neighbors in continental Asia, including Russia, but India-China relations will remain inhibited by border disputes and India's strategic balancing. From Aug. 31 to Sept. 1, China hosted the annual summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, or SCO, in Tianjin. At the meeting, Chinese President Xi Jinping proposed the Global Governance Initiative, which aims to increase representation of what he termed the ''Global South'' (i.e., developing) nations at international bodies like the United Nations, push back against alleged unilateralism by Western powers (e.g., on sanctions and trade restrictions), and eschew global economic decoupling. He also pledged that China would set up three platforms to expand its cooperation with the SCO in energy, green industry and the digital economy, provide greater medical care to SCO nations, and support regional
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China
Russia
India
Economics
Energy
Global Trade
AssessmentsSep 2, 2025 | 17:58 GMT
A freight train carrying cargo containers rides along a railway track in Ajmer, India, on Aug. 26, 2025.
U.S. Tariffs Strain India's Exports Amid Stalled Trade Talks
While India will keep negotiating a trade deal with Washington, it will remain protective of its agricultural sector and continue purchasing Russian oil, heightening the risk of prolonged exposure to high U.S. tariffs that will strain India's exports. On Aug. 27, the administration of U.S. President Donald Trump implemented an additional 25% tariff on Indian imports, raising the total rate to 50%. These tariffs are linked to India's continued purchases of Russian oil, which the White House alleges are funding Russia's war efforts in Ukraine. While other major importers of Russian oil, such as China and Turkey, were notably not targeted with U.S. tariffs, India's exports -- particularly in labor-intensive sectors like garments, gems and jewelry -- are significantly affected.
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United States
India
Economics
Energy
Global Trade
Politics
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