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Situation ReportDec 30, 2025 | 16:56 GMT

China, Taiwan: Missile Tests, Drills in Japan's EEZ Amid Second Day of Military Exercises

China conducted the second and likely final day of its Justice Mission 2025 military drills around Taiwan, with Taiwan's defense ministry detecting 103 Chinese military aircraft, naval vessels, coast guard ships and amphibious vessels practicing raids and seizing ports, the South China Post reported on Dec. 30.

Military & Security

AssessmentsDec 29, 2025 | 22:12 GMT

A general view shows the closed border checkpoint between Cambodia and Thailand in Poipet, Cambodia, on Dec. 12, 2025, amid clashes in the area.

Another Thai-Cambodian Truce Halts Escalating Border Clashes -- For Now

The latest Thailand-Cambodia ceasefire arrests a rapidly escalating border conflict driven by failed earlier truces, but its durability remains uncertain as early allegations of violations and unresolved boundary disputes leave the door open for another truce breakdown and return to larger fighting in the coming years. On Dec. 29, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi hosted the Cambodian and Thai foreign ministers in Yuxi city in China’s Yunnan province, where Wang framed China as a friend to both countries that is intent on preventing a relapse into conflict. The summit occurred two days after Thailand and Cambodia signed a renewed ceasefire effective noon local time on Dec. 27, halting a roughly three-week conflict that featured artillery exchanges and Thai airstrikes, and that left more than 100 dead and more than half a million civilians displaced across both sides of the border. The ceasefire commits both sides to an immediate halt in

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 29, 2025 | 20:26 GMT

U.S., Venezuela: Trump Says U.S. Destroyed Drug Trafficking Facility in Venezuela

In response to a reporter's question, U.S. President Donald Trump said the United States "hit" a dock area in Venezuela allegedly used to load drugs onto boats to be trafficked out of the country, saying there was a "major explosion," Reuters reported on Dec. 29.

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 29, 2025 | 16:25 GMT

Myanmar: Junta-Run Election Sees Low Turnout as Civil War Continues

Myanmar began the first phase of a three-stage general election on Dec. 28, Reuters reported the same day, with residents and press observing weak voter turnout.

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 29, 2025 | 16:20 GMT

China, Taiwan: Beijing Conducts Record Encirclement Drills Around Taiwan

China's Eastern Theater Command initiated large scale drills encircling Taiwan, including around areas closer to the main island than in previous exercises and deploying army, naval, air force and artillery units, Reuters reported Dec. 29.

Military & Security

AssessmentsDec 27, 2025 | 14:00 GMT

The Bulgarian flag and the European flag waving in the wind.

The Weekly Rundown: Bulgaria Adopts the Euro, U.S.-Venezuela Tensions Persist

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

Central African Republic

Military & Security

AssessmentsDec 26, 2025 | 21:28 GMT

Geopolitical Calendar

Stay informed about the significant meetings and events RANE analysts are tracking.

Situation ReportDec 26, 2025 | 19:19 GMT

Taiwan: Opposition Sets Date for Presidential Impeachment Vote

Taiwan's opposition Kuomintang, or KMT, and Taiwan People's Party, or TPP, cooperated to pass a motion scheduling a vote on the impeachment of President William Lai for May 19, with public hearings due in January, April and May, the Taipei Times reported on Dec. 26.

Situation ReportDec 26, 2025 | 19:16 GMT

Malaysia: Najib's Second Conviction To Test Government Coalition

Malaysia's High Court found former Prime Minister Najib Razak guilty on 21 counts of money laundering and four counts of abuse of power for his role in the 1MDB bribery and money laundering scandal, the New Straits Times reported on Dec. 26.

Situation ReportDec 26, 2025 | 17:48 GMT

North Korea: Kim Unveils Nuclear-Armed Submarine

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un supervised a factory working on production of the country's first nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine, with photos showing the hull -- often one of the last stages of submarine construction -- fully intact, North Korean state media KCNA reported on Dec. 25.

Military & Security

AssessmentsDec 26, 2025 | 14:30 GMT

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi walks alongside Oman's Deputy Prime Minister for Defence Affairs Sayyid Shihab bin Tariq al-Said upon his arrival in Muscat on Dec. 17, 2025.

Oman and New Zealand Deals Indicate India's Push To Diversify Trade Partnerships

India's recent deals with New Zealand and Oman signal modest efforts to expand trade, investment and labor mobility, but various constraints will limit their impact as India struggles to reach larger agreements with partners like the United States, European Union and Gulf Cooperation Council. On Dec. 22, India and New Zealand announced that, after nine months of negotiations, they had reached a free trade agreement (FTA) to reduce tariffs, improve labor mobility and expand trade of goods and services and investment. Signing is expected in the first half of 2026. The announcement of the FTA came days after India and Oman on Dec. 18 signed a comprehensive economic partnership agreement (CEPA).

Situation ReportDec 24, 2025 | 17:18 GMT

Thailand, Cambodia: Ceasefire Talks Resume Under Thai Preconditions

Military officials from Thailand and Cambodia began secretariat-level talks in Thailand's Chantaburi province, with a possible defense minister-level meeting scheduled for Dec. 27 if technical frameworks are agreed upon, Channel News Asia reported Dec. 24.

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 24, 2025 | 16:59 GMT

China: Beijing Threatens Retaliation Over Delayed U.S. Semiconductor Tariffs

China said it will take "corresponding measures" in response to U.S. plans to raise tariffs on Chinese semiconductor imports from June 23, 2027, following the conclusion of a yearlong Section 301 probe into Beijing's chip policies, the South China Morning Post reported Dec. 24.

Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 18:54 GMT

China: Washington Delays New Chip Tariffs to 2027 Amid Fragile Trade Truce

The Office of the United States Trade Representative concluded a yearlong Section 301 investigation, finding China's semiconductor industrial policies "unreasonable," but said any new tariffs on Chinese legacy chips will be delayed until June 2027 with rates announced at least 30 days in advance, the Financial Times reported Dec. 23.

Environment, Science & Technology

Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 16:42 GMT

U.S.: FCC Prohibits Approval of All New Foreign-Made Drones

The U.S. Federal Communications Commission (FCC) blacklisted all new foreign-made drones and components on Dec. 22, deeming that they pose "an unacceptable risk" to U.S. national security, Reuters reported Dec. 23.

Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 16:35 GMT

Indonesia, U.S.: Jakarta Claims Trade Deal Issues Resolved, Paving Way for January Signing

Indonesian officials said Jakarta and Washington had resolved all substantive issues in bilateral tariff talks and planned to formally sign a trade agreement in late January during a visit by President Prabowo Subianto to meet U.S. President Donald Trump, the South China Morning Post reported Dec. 23.

Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 16:32 GMT

China, U.S.: Beijing Continues To Build Up Nuclear Arsenal, Reject Arms Control Talks

A draft Pentagon report assesses that China has likely loaded over 100 solid-fueled DF-31 intercontinental ballistic missiles into three recently identified silo fields near the Mongolian border, Reuters reported Dec. 23.

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 22, 2025 | 20:51 GMT

Thailand, Cambodia: Ceasefire Talks To Resume Despite Ongoing Fighting

Thailand and Cambodia agreed to talks between their defense officials under the bilateral General Border Committee on Dec. 24 to resume the U.S.-brokered July 28 ceasefire; the decision followed a special meeting of Southeast Asian foreign ministers Dec. 22 in Kuala Lumpur.

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 22, 2025 | 20:00 GMT

Taiwan: KMT Responds to Court Ruling Ending Judicial Impasse

Several opposition Kuomintang lawmakers on Dec. 22 submitted criminal complaints against the five Constitutional Court justices who on Dec. 19 found unconstitutional December 2024 judicial reforms passed by the KMT and fellow opposition Taiwan People's Party that made the island's top court defunct.

Situation ReportDec 22, 2025 | 19:14 GMT

India, New Zealand: Free Trade Agreement Announced

India and New Zealand on Dec. 22 announced that they had reached a free trade agreement aimed at deepening economic ties, Bloomberg reported.

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