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Situation ReportDec 24, 2025 | 16:59 GMT

China: Beijing Threatens Retaliation Over Delayed U.S. Semiconductor Tariffs

China said it will take "corresponding measures" in response to U.S. plans to raise tariffs on Chinese semiconductor imports from June 23, 2027, following the conclusion of a yearlong Section 301 probe into Beijing's chip policies, the South China Morning Post reported Dec. 24.

Situation ReportDec 24, 2025 | 16:16 GMT

Sahel: Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger Announce Large-scale Counterterrorism Operations

Interim Burkina Faso leader Capt. Ibrahim Traore pledged large-scale joint military operations against armed groups across the Sahel in the coming days in his new role as head of the Alliance of Sahel States, Al Jazeera reported Dec. 24.

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 24, 2025 | 15:40 GMT

EU: U.S. Sanctions Former EU Commissioner, Four Others Linked to Digital Regulation

The European Commission and the governments of France and Germany on Dec. 24 strongly condemned the Dec. 23 U.S. decision to impose visa sanctions on former European Commissioner Thierry Breton and four other Europeans, including leaders of organizations involved in digital regulation and countering online hate and misinformation.

On GeopoliticsDec 24, 2025 | 15:08 GMT

Yemenis gather during a rally to show their support for the UAE-backed Southern Transitional Council (STC), which wants to revive an independent South Yemen, as they wave the old South Yemen flag in Khormaksar Square, in the coastal port city of Aden on Dec. 14, 2025.

The Precarious Path to South Arabian Independence

Yemen's Southern Transitional Council (STC) -- backed by the United Arab Emirates -- has been on a blitz across the remnants of the central government's territory. A quick glance at a Yemeni Civil War map might suggest that a returned South Yemen may be on the cusp of reemergence after three decades within a unified state. But this path to de facto independence, while increasingly viable, is still far from a sure thing -- and for the STC to achieve it, the group must balance the pillars of Yemeni geopolitics with a care that suggests a long road still lies ahead.

United Arab Emirates

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 19:29 GMT

Armenia, Russia: Leaders Tout Transport Links Amid Regional Geopolitical Shifts

Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian told Russian President Vladimir Putin in St. Petersburg, Russia, that substantial and positive changes are underway in the South Caucasus, citing resumed rail transit through Azerbaijan and a new agenda to restore key railway segments connecting Armenia with Azerbaijan and Turkey, Armenpress reported Dec. 22.

Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 19:14 GMT

Madagascar: Russia Delivers Weapons Shipment to New Junta

Russia has delivered an arms shipment to Madagascar's military government, Bloomberg reported Dec. 22.

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 18:54 GMT

China: Washington Delays New Chip Tariffs to 2027 Amid Fragile Trade Truce

The Office of the United States Trade Representative concluded a yearlong Section 301 investigation, finding China's semiconductor industrial policies "unreasonable," but said any new tariffs on Chinese legacy chips will be delayed until June 2027 with rates announced at least 30 days in advance, the Financial Times reported Dec. 23.

Environment, Science & Technology

Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 16:42 GMT

U.S.: FCC Prohibits Approval of All New Foreign-Made Drones

The U.S. Federal Communications Commission (FCC) blacklisted all new foreign-made drones and components on Dec. 22, deeming that they pose "an unacceptable risk" to U.S. national security, Reuters reported Dec. 23.

Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 16:32 GMT

Syria: SDF and Government Forces Reach Ceasefire After Deadly Clashes in Aleppo

The Syrian government and the Kurdish-led and U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) agreed to a ceasefire on Dec. 23 following deadly clashes in the city of Aleppo a day earlier, the Associated Press reported the same day.

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 16:18 GMT

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Israeli Defense Minister Says IDF To Establish Civilian-Military Units in Gaza

Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz said that Israel would maintain a permanent security presence in the Gaza Strip for security reasons and that at some point -- though no specific timeline was given -- Israel Defense Forces (IDF) would establish Nahal units in northern Gaza, Reuters reported Dec. 23.

Palestinian Territories

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Military & Security

SnapshotsDec 23, 2025 | 16:02 GMT

The Sevington Inland Border Facility on April 29, 2024, in southeast England.

Despite Growing Calls, U.K. Unlikely To Rejoin EU Customs Union

Despite growing political and business calls for the United Kingdom to rejoin the EU customs union, internal disputes within the British government and stringent EU conditions make a re-entry unlikely in the short to medium term.

Situation ReportDec 22, 2025 | 21:12 GMT

Russia: Moscow Scraps Plans for Common Eurasian Financial Market

Leaders of the Eurasian Economic Union on Dec. 21 approved a "differentiated" framework for a common financial market and initiated customs data exchange negotiations with Uzbekistan during the Supreme Eurasian Economic Council meeting in St. Petersburg, Russia.

Situation ReportDec 22, 2025 | 20:51 GMT

Thailand, Cambodia: Ceasefire Talks To Resume Despite Ongoing Fighting

Thailand and Cambodia agreed to talks between their defense officials under the bilateral General Border Committee on Dec. 24 to resume the U.S.-brokered July 28 ceasefire; the decision followed a special meeting of Southeast Asian foreign ministers Dec. 22 in Kuala Lumpur.

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 22, 2025 | 20:00 GMT

Taiwan: KMT Responds to Court Ruling Ending Judicial Impasse

Several opposition Kuomintang lawmakers on Dec. 22 submitted criminal complaints against the five Constitutional Court justices who on Dec. 19 found unconstitutional December 2024 judicial reforms passed by the KMT and fellow opposition Taiwan People's Party that made the island's top court defunct.

Situation ReportDec 22, 2025 | 19:14 GMT

India, New Zealand: Free Trade Agreement Announced

India and New Zealand on Dec. 22 announced that they had reached a free trade agreement aimed at deepening economic ties, Bloomberg reported.

AssessmentsDec 22, 2025 | 17:33 GMT

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz addresses the Bundestag on Dec 17 in Berlin.

Deadlock and Dissent Leave Merz's Reform Agenda Floundering

Germany's governing coalition is increasingly constrained by internal divisions, weak party discipline and falling approval ratings. While a government collapse or early elections remain unlikely, these pressures are slowing down and diluting reforms and causing uncertainty over Chancellor Friedrich Merz's ability to restore stability and deliver economic growth.

Situation ReportDec 22, 2025 | 16:31 GMT

EU: Brussels Extends Sanctions on Russia for Further 6 Months

On Dec. 22, the European Council officially extended the European Union's sanctions against Russia for an additional six months, until July 31, 2026, the institution announced.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Situation ReportDec 22, 2025 | 16:22 GMT

Israel, U.S., Iran: Netanyahu Reportedly Intends To Discuss Iran Attack Plans With Trump

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is reportedly planning to discuss potentially attacking Iran during his expected Dec. 29 meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump after both U.S. and Israeli intelligence assessed that Iran is rebuilding its ballistic missile program, NBC reported Dec. 20.

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Military & Security

Annual ForecastsDec 22, 2025 | 15:11 GMT

A container ship arrives Oct. 10 at the Port of Oakland, California.

2026 Annual Forecast: A Global Overview

In 2026, political calculations among major global players will significantly shape international affairs.

AssessmentsDec 20, 2025 | 14:00 GMT

A U.S. Marine Corps AV-8B Harrier II on Dec. 15 taxis at Jose Aponte de la Torre Airport in Ceiba, Puerto Rico.

The Weekly Rundown: French Budget Deadlock, U.S.-Russia Talks in Miami

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

Military & Security

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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