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On GeopoliticsJun 3, 2020 | 10:00 GMT

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi answers questions during a video press conference on May 24, 2020, in Beijing, China.

China’s ‘Wolf Warrior’ Diplomacy Risks Backfiring on Beijing

The growing global backlash against China's involvement in both the COVID-19 pandemic and Hong Kong's political crisis is fueling a new brand of "wolf warrior" diplomacy in Beijing based on a nationalistic Chinese movie. This more aggressive stance abroad exposes a sense of vulnerability in Beijing, and poses two potential

BusinessJun 2, 2020 | 00:15 GMT

Supporting the Next Generation of Geopolitical Researchers

In the 2020 spring semester, Stratfor's Vice President of Strategic Analysis Rodger Baker presented challenges to University of Texas at Austin undergraduate STEM students, in cooperation with the university's Inventors Program and LBJ School of Public Affairs Intelligence Studies Project.

PodcastsJun 1, 2020 | 20:37 GMT

Susan Lisa Rosenberg (C) was involved with the Brinks' armored car robbery in New York in the 1980s and was arrested in possession of a large cache of weapons and explosives.

Days of Rage With Author Bryan Burrough

Domestic terrorism is not a new phenomenon. Stratfor's Chief Security Officer Fred Burton sits down with bestselling author Bryan Burrough to discuss the wave of homegrown violence that defined the 1970s.

United States

Security

GuidanceJun 1, 2020 | 13:47 GMT

Geopolitical Calendar

Stay informed about the significant meetings and events the Stratfor team is tracking.

AssessmentsJun 1, 2020 | 10:00 GMT

A satellite image shows the arrival of Russian fighter jets at an air base in Libya controlled by Khalifa Hifter's rebel army.

Russia Deepens Its Commitment to Libya’s War -- and Political Future

Russia's deepening support for the Libyan National Army (LNA) proves the Kremlin views LNA leader Khalifa Hifter as crucial to its greater North African and Mediterranean strategy, and could grant Moscow the upper hand in shaping the war-torn country's political future. The U.S. military, among others, recently released photos confirming

AssessmentsMay 29, 2020 | 10:00 GMT

A group of demonstrators wave the Palestinian flag on Dec. 31, 2009.

The Palestinians Move to Cut Security Ties With Israel: A Bluff or Something Bigger?

To protest Israel's aggressive annexation push, the Palestinian Authority is beginning to act on longstanding threats to cease coordination with Israeli authorities in the West Bank. On May 19, Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas declared an end to decades of security and intelligence cooperation with Israel and its main ally,

Israel

Palestinian Territories

Security

Israel's Survival Strategy

AssessmentsMay 28, 2020 | 10:00 GMT

U.S. Naval Update Map: May 28, 2020

The Naval Update Map shows the approximate current locations of U.S. Carrier Strike Groups (CSGs) and Amphibious Ready Groups (ARGs), based on available open-source information. No classified or operationally sensitive information is included in this weekly update. CSGs and ARGs are the keys to U.S. dominance over the world's oceans.

United States

Military

Tracking U.S. Naval Power

AssessmentsMay 28, 2020 | 10:00 GMT

A photo of Argentina's central bank headquarters in Buenos Aires.

Argentina's Latest Default Doesn't Have to Mean Another Economic Collapse

Argentina's debt restructuring negotiations with creditors appear stuck, but the recent extension of the country's self-imposed deadline for talks with private debt bondholders keeps alive the possibility of reaching some form of a long-term deal. Ultimately, however, debt restructuring will not by itself change the fiscal and monetary policies that

Argentina

Economics

South America: Split Decisions on Trade

AssessmentsMay 27, 2020 | 16:31 GMT

A statue depicting the euro is pictured outside the headquarters of the European Central Bank, which serves as the central bank of the 19 EU countries within the eurozone, in Frankfurt, Germany.

Will COVID-19 Be the Eurozone’s Undoing?

High debt and deficit levels will raise the risk of sovereign defaults, especially in Southern Europe, as high unemployment creates fertile ground for social unrest and political extremism across the currency area.

The Fate of the Eurozone

European Disintegration

On GeopoliticsMay 26, 2020 | 22:06 GMT

Protesters fleeing tear gas during a general strike in Hong Kong in August 2019.

What the End of One Country, Two Systems Means for Hong Kong, Taiwan and the World

Beijing's decision to impose a long-delayed security law on Hong Kong reflects the mainland’s growing concern with challenges to national unity ahead of next year's 100th anniversary of the Chinese Communist Party. But it is more immediately driven by the rising violence in Hong Kong and the political evolution in

SITUATION REPORTMay 26, 2020 | 19:55 GMT

Afghanistan: Government to Release 900 More Taliban Prisoners

The Afghan government said it would release 900 more Taliban prisoners as a token of goodwill and requested that the militant group extend a rare cease-fire, Al Jazeera reported May 26.

United States

Afghanistan

South Asian Militancy

AssessmentsMay 22, 2020 | 20:20 GMT

An anti-extradition bill protest in Hong Kong on June 12, 2019.

Mainland China's Imposition of Security Laws In Hong Kong Will Spark Protests

Demonstrations and an erosion of Hong Kong's autonomy could add further friction to U.S.-China relations, though Washington will avoid letting one issue determine China policy, particularly on trade.

SITUATION REPORTMay 22, 2020 | 15:19 GMT

Palestinian Territories: Palestinian Authority Ending Security Coordination with Israel

The Palestinian Authority is ending security and intelligence cooperation with Israeli authorities in the West Bank, The Times of Israel reported May 21, citing Palestinian officials.

Israel

Jordan

Palestinian Territories

Israel's Survival Strategy

SITUATION REPORTMay 21, 2020 | 16:20 GMT

India: Police Officer, Soldiers Die in Militant Attacks in Kashmir

Militants killed a police officer in Indian-controlled Kashmir on May 21, Hindustan Times reported. Authorities also said militants ambushed and killed two soldiers May 20 in the summer Kashmiri capital of Srinagar.

India

Pakistan

The India-Pakistan Rivalry

On GeopoliticsMay 21, 2020 | 11:00 GMT

COVID-19 Heats up the U.S.-China Competition

With awareness of China's rising power heightened amid the COVID-19 pandemic, and the United States forging ahead to counterbalance it, the rimlands of Eurasia will once again find themselves stuck in the middle.

AssessmentsMay 21, 2020 | 10:00 GMT

U.S. Naval Update Map: May 21, 2020

United States

Military

Tracking U.S. Naval Power

SITUATION REPORTMay 20, 2020 | 17:14 GMT

South Africa: Experts Issue Grim Projections Regarding COVID-19 Infections

A group of South African scientists and mathematicians who focus on modeling infectious diseases in Africa and advise the South African government said the country's ICU capacity could reach full capacity (roughly 4,000) by early July under its more optimistic scenario, News24 reported May 19.

South Africa

COVID-19

SITUATION REPORTMay 20, 2020 | 16:03 GMT

Ukraine: Eastern Separatist Forces Placed on High Alert

Representatives of the Donetsk and Luhansk separatist areas in eastern Ukraine announced May 19 that their armed forces were being placed on high alert, a move confirmed May 20 by the Luhansk military command. The separatists said the move came in response to an escalation of Ukrainian attacks against them since May 1 and to several incidents targeting civilian infrastructure.

Ukraine

Russia

The Ukraine Conflict

The Fight for Russia’s Borderlands

AssessmentsMay 20, 2020 | 10:00 GMT

An image of a Saudi flag overlaying an oil pumpjack.

Saudi Arabia Will Have to Accept Being an Oil Price 'Taker'

As COVID-19 saps oil demand, the economic fallout will likely leave Saudi Arabia back in the role of "price taker," as the kingdom's new austerity measures strongly imply Riyadh recognizes it will eventually need to adjust its spending habits to the global oil market instead of the other way around. With no immediate recovery in sight,

The Saudi Survival Strategy

A Crude Recovery

On SecurityMay 19, 2020 | 10:00 GMT

An image of the Islamic State flag overlays a map of Iraq.

Rumblings of an Islamic State Resurgence in Iraq

The Islamic State may have faded from international headlines, but the group remains a potent threat capable of returning with force in its core territory. Since beginning its initial resurgence in Iraq during 2011, the Islamic State has morphed from a local insurgent group to a global movement, with branches that have

The Fight Against the Islamic State

Security

Military

Iran's Arc of Influence

The U.S. and the Balance of Power

Rebalancing Power in the Middle East

The Jihadist Wars