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AssessmentsMay 1, 2020 | 10:00 GMT
A trader wearing a protective mask stands on the floor of the Boursa Kuwait stock exchange in Kuwait City, Kuwait, on March 1, 2020.
Arab Gulf Economies Cope With a COVID-19 Conundrum
The Arab Gulf states within the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) are looking down the barrel of a serious, multilayered economic shock as COVID-19 disrupts their main revenue sources by slashing energy prices as well as overall global demand. The sharp reduction in government income across the region portends increased budget
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Quarterly ForecastsMar 26, 2020 | 18:27 GMT
2020 Second-Quarter Forecast
Many of the trends identified in our annual forecast will slow down or be on hold as governments scramble to adapt to a post-COVID reality.
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SnapshotsFeb 7, 2020 | 21:37 GMT
The IMF Foresees Trouble for the GCC's Oil-Heavy Economies
The International Monetary Fund on Feb. 6 released the results of its study of the fiscal sustainability of the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), which do not bode well for the region in the 2030s. The study concluded that at their current fiscal stance, the GCC as a region
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GuidanceJan 3, 2020 | 05:02 GMT
Iranian Quds Force Cmdr. Qassem Soleimani attends a meeting with the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps in Tehran on Sept. 18, 2016.
The U.S. Assassination of a Key Iranian General Throws Fuel on the Fire
It's the spark to ignite a major conflagration: Late on Jan. 2, the Pentagon said it launched an overnight strike in Baghdad killing several officials linked with Iran, including Qassem Soleimani, the powerful commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps' Quds Force. In addition to Soleimani, the head of the Iraqi Kataib Hezbollah militia, Abu
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Quarterly ForecastsSep 22, 2019 | 22:59 GMT
2019 Fourth-Quarter Forecast
The quarter will be defined by the threat of a conflict with Iran that disrupts oil supplies while the global economy nervously anticipates the next turn in the U.S.-China trade war and the possibility of an ugly U.K.-EU divorce.
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AssessmentsMay 8, 2019 | 09:00 GMT
Israeli Transportation Minister Yisrael Katz, second from left, stands during the opening ceremony of the IRU World Congress, a regional transportation conference, in Muscat, Oman, on Nov. 7, 2018.
Will Israel's Shift Right Slow the Warming With Its Arab Neighbors?
Over the past couple of years, Israel has started growing closer to countries in the Persian Gulf region that once rejected it. But a government interested in abandoning the two-state solution and annexing parts of the West Bank will find its newfound relationships tested.
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SITUATION REPORTJan 9, 2019 | 13:53 GMT
U.S.: Former CENTCOM Commander Resigns From State Department Position
Anthony Zinni, the former commander of the U.S. Central Command, has resigned from his position at the U.S State Department, the Marine Corps Time reported Jan. 8. Zinni had been responsible for attempting to resolve the Qatar crisis in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and building a strategic alliance with Arab allies to counter rising Iranian influence in the Middle East.
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