AssessmentsMay 21, 2026 | 18:30 GMT

Can the U.S. Reach a Compromise on Greenland That Averts a Transatlantic Crisis?
The United States, Denmark and Greenland will likely reach a compromise deal that significantly expands the U.S. military and economic footprint in Greenland without formal annexation, though continued U.S. coercive pressure could still destabilize NATO cohesion and trigger a broader transatlantic crisis if ongoing talks break down. Details have emerged over the past week about the content of ongoing trilateral negotiations between Washington, Copenhagen and Nuuk aimed at finding a resolution to the dispute triggered by U.S. President Donald Trump's repeated demands to acquire Greenland. A May 12 report from the BBC said U.S. officials were pushing for three new military bases in southern Greenland focused on surveilling Russian and Chinese maritime activity in the GIUK Gap, the strategic stretch of the northern Atlantic between Greenland, Iceland and the United Kingdom. One of the new bases would likely be located at the site of the former U.S. base in Narsarsuaq,
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