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AssessmentsMay 2, 2025 | 19:14 GMT
Supporters of Singapore's ruling People's Action Party attend an election rally on May 1, 2025.
Previewing Singapore's Election
Singapore's election will determine whether Prime Minister Lawrence Wong can secure a strong enough mandate to preserve the People's Action Party's political dominance, respond to economic and social pressures at home, and sustain the city-state's diplomatic agility abroad amid escalating great power rivalry and trade tensions. Singapore will hold a general election on May 3, with all 97 elected parliamentary seats contested across the city-state's 33 constituencies. This will be the first general election held under Prime Minister Lawrence Wong, who formally succeeded Lee Hsien Loong in a planned handover in May 2024, marking a generational shift in the ruling People's Action Party, or PAP, after over two decades of Lee's leadership. The PAP, in power continuously since Singapore achieved self-governance under British oversight in 1959, is fielding candidates for the election in every constituency, while the main opposition reformist Workers' Party, or WP, is contesting 26 seats, primarily in
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Singapore
Economics
Politics
On GeopoliticsMay 1, 2025 | 16:58 GMT
A Gabonese brigade participates in a training exercise as part of a military program linked to the Franco-Gabonese partnership at the French military base Camp de Gaulle in Libreville on March 19, 2025.
France, Africa and the Future, Part 2: The Age of Multi-Alignment
France's reduced influence in Africa will create space for local and foreign actors to take on greater leadership roles, but their inability to fill the security vacuum left by France's withdrawal would threaten to destabilize the region.
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Benin
Burkina Faso
Cameroon
Central African Republic
Chad
Comoros
Cote d'Ivoire
Djibouti
Gabon
Guinea
Madagascar
Mali
Mauritania
Niger
Nigeria
Republic of the Congo
Senegal
Togo
Algeria
Morocco
France
Military & Security
Politics
AssessmentsApr 28, 2025 | 20:44 GMT
A woman walks by anti-U.S. murals on the walls of the former U.S. embassy in downtown Tehran, Iran, on April 11, 2025.
With Iran and Saudi Arabia, the U.S. Faces a Uranium Enrichment Dilemma
The United States will likely have to allow some Iranian uranium enrichment in order to ink a nuclear deal, likely resulting in Saudi Arabia seeking similar provisions for a civilian nuclear program. But U.S. concerns over proliferation will result in a continued impasse in talks with Riyadh and constrain the kingdom's energy diversification efforts. On April 26, the United States and Iran held their third round of nuclear talks in Muscat, Oman. The talks came amid some uncertainty regarding the United States' position on whether Iran would be allowed to enrich uranium and, if so, to what level. Previously, in public comments made toward the start of negotiations, U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff indicated a possibility that Iran could be allowed limited uranium enrichment up to 3.67%, the level of enriched uranium needed for a civilian nuclear energy program. However, he later called for the complete dismantling of Iran's uranium enrichment
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United States
Iran
Saudi Arabia
Energy
Military & Security
Politics
Situation ReportApr 28, 2025 | 19:52 GMT
Pakistan, India: India Releases Floodwater, Pakistan Calls for Neutral Probe Into Kashmir Attack
On April 26, Pakistani authorities reported that India released water from the Uri Dam in India-administered Kashmir without prior notice, causing water levels in the Jhelum River to rise by 22,000 cubic feet per second and prompting a partial flood warning in Pakistan-administered Kashmir, ARY News reported on April 27.
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India
Pakistan
Environment, Science & Technology
Military & Security
Politics
AssessmentsApr 25, 2025 | 17:13 GMT
A digital illustration of the Chinese and EU flags.
Budding EU-China Rapprochement Amid U.S. Tariffs Will Have Its Limits
The European Union's cautious rapprochement with China opens the door to limited economic cooperation, but structural constraints and competing priorities on both sides will constrain the prospects of any significant shift from Brussels' broader de-risking strategy toward Beijing. European and Chinese officials have stepped up high-level diplomatic engagement in recent weeks in response to the growing fallout from sweeping U.S. tariff increases. On April 8, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen held a phone call with Chinese Premier Li Qiang, during which the two leaders agreed to work toward a "negotiated resolution" to the trade disruptions affecting both economies. According to the commission's readout, they emphasized the need for cooperation to preserve global economic stability, prevent further escalation and uphold a fair, rules-based international trading system. Von der Leyen also proposed establishing a joint mechanism to monitor and manage the potential diversion of U.S.-bound Chinese exports to the European
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United States
China
Europe
Economics
Global Trade
Politics
Situation ReportApr 24, 2025 | 15:51 GMT
India, Pakistan: Tensions Rise as Pakistan, India Downgrade Relations, Threaten Escalation
India announced the suspension of the 1960 Indus Water Treaty and ordered Pakistani nationals within its territory to leave the country by April 27, following the April 22 attack by The Resistance Front that killed at least 26 people in the locality of Pahalgam, Jammu and Kashmir province, The Times of India reported on April 24.
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India
Pakistan
Economics
Environment, Science & Technology
Military & Security
Politics
SnapshotsApr 24, 2025 | 13:15 GMT
People walk past an electronic panel, promoting the contract service in the Russian armed forces, with a sign that reads "Our profession is to defend the Fatherland" in a shopping mall on May 11, 2024, in Moscow, Russia.
Russia Opens Door to Western Firms, But With Major Strings Attached
Recent Russian moves towards reopening the country to Western businesses will open the door for some companies to reenter the Russian market, but steep requirements, sanctions risks and reputational considerations will likely prevent a mass return of Western firms anytime soon. On April 10, Alexey Yakovlev, a top official in Russia's finance ministry, confirmed to reporters that the ministry had compiled a draft set of requirements for foreign companies to resume operations in Russia after hundreds left their local operations or had them seized after Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. According to leaks published in various Russian and Western media outlets, these draft conditions include that companies: obtain approval from a special government subcommission; not provide any support for Ukraine or be designated as hostile agents by Russian authorities; have no outstanding debts in terms of paying wages, taxes or otherwise; commit to localizing production and transferring technology;
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Russia
Economics
Politics
Situation ReportApr 22, 2025 | 16:43 GMT
U.S., ASEAN: New U.S. Tariffs To Hammer Solar Panel Exports, Chinese Transshipment
The United States imposed antidumping and countervailing duties ranging from an effective 0% to 3,521% on solar panels and modules imported from Cambodia, Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam, according to U.S. Commerce Department data published on April 22, with rates on the affected exporting companies depending on their level of cooperation with the U.S. investigation.
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United States
Cambodia
China
Laos
Thailand
Vietnam
Economics
Environment, Science & Technology
On GeopoliticsApr 21, 2025 | 16:30 GMT
A Lebanese flag painted on a damaged building in the village of Meiss El-Jabal in southern Lebanon is seen from a position on the Israeli side of the border on Jan. 23, 2025, in northern Israel.
Hezbollah's Future in Lebanon
In an April 8 Reuters report, a senior Hezbollah official said the group was ready to hold talks with the Lebanese president about laying down its arms, with the condition that Israel withdraws from the five outposts it captured in southern Lebanon and halts its attacks on Lebanon. The report came amid increasing calls domestically and internationally for Hezbollah to disarm, especially following U.S. special envoy Morgan Ortagus' visit to Beirut, where she emphasized the need to disarm the group.
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United States
Iran
Israel
Lebanon
Syria
Economics
Military & Security
Politics
Situation ReportApr 17, 2025 | 15:59 GMT
Estonia: Navy Gains Authority To Attack Merchant Vessels Threatening Maritime Infrastructure
Estonia's parliament approved legislation expanding the Estonian Defense Forces' authority to use force against foreign civilian vessels that threaten submarine cables, and the new legislation also seeks to clarify the chain of command and accountability for such actions, Estonian public broadcaster ERR reported on April 17.
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Estonia
Russia
Environment, Science & Technology
Military & Security
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