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AssessmentsApr 8, 2020 | 18:16 GMT
A 3D rendering of the novel coronavirus floating in a cellular environment.
COVID-19: Frequently Asked Questions About Getting Back to Work
To help clients sift through the growing sea of COVID-19 information, RANE pulsed its network of experts to level set what should be top of mind for businesses and individuals as the pandemic unfolds. Stratfor’s geopolitical content and analysis will soon be available through RANE’s platform, where members receive exclusive access to a global marketplace of credentialed risk experts and service providers, proprietary community-driven risk intelligence, and a range of support services and risk management programs. For more information about RANE and Stratfor, visit https://go.ranenetwork.com/stratfor/rane.  This FAQ covers the following questions: What do we now know about this illness and who gets it? How can individuals best protect themselves? Do I need to worry about people getting infected by the virus living on things they touch? What do we do if someone shows symptoms while in the workplace? What can I do to mitigate the risk of being shut down by health authorities? How does this end?
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On GeopoliticsJul 18, 2019 | 09:00 GMT
This map shows the theater of the war between Russia and Japan in 1904.
Seoul and Tokyo Stare Each Other Down
Economic progress might alleviate historical trauma, but it's unlikely to solve it. Today, South Korea and Japan are vibrant democracies that enjoy robust economies and protection under the U.S. military umbrella, yet Japan's wartime actions continue to cast a long shadow over its relations with its neighbors in Northeast Asia. South Korea's 35 years under Japanese rule, status as a fellow U.S. ally and vulnerable geopolitical position between Japan and China ensure that Japan's imperial legacy is particularly contentious on the peninsula. This painful history has been front and center since the 2017 election of President Moon Jae In, who has taken a more confrontational stance on historical issues. Indeed, their ties have become much frostier in the past two years -- to the extent that Tokyo has even launched a Trump-style trade war in recent weeks. Given the deep connections between their economies and Japan's long-time trade surplus, Tokyo
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On SecurityApr 23, 2019 | 10:00 GMT
An IRA sniper warning sign on April 20, 2019, overlooking the Bogside area of Londonderry in Northern Ireland.
Is the IRA Back?
"Is the IRA back?" is a question I've been asked several times in recent months. And it is not really surprising, given recent headlines such as "'IRA' claims responsibility for Londonderry car bomb," "New IRA claims 5 parcel bombs sent to London and Glasgow," and "Northern Ireland journalist killed by gunman during riot." Certainly, the New Irish Republican Army (NIRA), a group that often refers to itself as simply the Irish Republican Army, has been fairly active, reminding us all that while Republican violence along the Irish border has decreased significantly since the 1998 Good Friday Agreement, it never really ended.
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AssessmentsMar 8, 2019 | 10:30 GMT
An Excerpt of Beirut Rules, by Fred Burton and Samuel Katz
We are pleased to be able to share the first chapter of Beirut Rules, courtesy of its publishers, written by Stratfor's Fred Burton and international bestselling author Samuel Katz. The book covers the story of the kidnapping and murder of CIA Station Chief William Buckley at the hands of Hezbollah terrorists in Lebanon in the 1980s.
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AssessmentsDec 7, 2018 | 12:00 GMT
The Honor of Serving an Honorable Leader
On my desk at Stratfor's Austin headquarters sits a photograph from 1982 of then-Vice President George H.W. Bush and his wife, Barbara, along with a personalized note card that reads "for taking such good care of us." Although I played only a minimal role in the family's protection, it was very kind of the Bushes to acknowledge me. But that gracious gesture reflected the kind of people they were. I also was recently honored by an inspirational testimonial that Mr. Bush wrote about my latest book, Beirut Rules: The Murder of a CIA Station Chief and Hezbollah’s War Against America. The book tells the story of the kidnapping and murder of CIA station chief Bill Buckley, a crime that occurred during Bush's term as vice president. Bush was 94 when he died Nov. 30, almost eight months after his wife of 73 years passed. As I remember the man who
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On SecurityNov 27, 2018 | 09:00 GMT
Police examine a body on a street in Melbourne on Nov. 9, 2018. A man was shot by police after setting his car on fire and stabbing three people, killing one. The man was arrested at the scene and taken to hospital in critical condition.
How To Protect Against Simple Attacks
No attack arises out of a vacuum. Rather, they are the result of a process that can be detected by a watchful eye. Situational awareness and effective preparation are often your best tools to not only protect yourself in dangerous situations, but to ensure you and your loved ones avoid some of the most common threats altogether. In an era when attacks with cars, knives, guns and even online information have become commonplace, Stratfor has worked to provide the information you need to stay one step ahead.
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AssessmentsMay 30, 2018 | 17:13 GMT
Iranians shop at Tehran's ancient Grand Bazaar.
Iran's Strategy for Surviving U.S. Sanctions
Iran is preparing for major economic and financial challenges now that the United States is ready to implement tough oil-specific sanctions in November. The government in Tehran is unwilling to heed Washington's demands, which include halting its missile program and ending its support for regional militias, because it considers these basic components of the country's defense strategy. So Iran is managing its economy for the long haul, hoping it can insulate itself against the effects of U.S. sanctions long enough to outlast the current U.S. administration.
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Contributor PerspectivesMay 2, 2018 | 18:57 GMT
A man rides past graffiti alluding to Vision 2030
Two Years in, Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 Is No Bed of Roses
As with any great plan, the requirements and repercussions of enacting Vision 2030 are beginning to emerge. While many observers are anticipating the momentous challenges of transitioning the Saudi economy as outlined in Saudi Vision 2030 -- including the unprecedented step of privatizing part of the state oil company -- a look at one small endeavor hints at some of the obstacles that lie ahead.
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AssessmentsJan 31, 2018 | 09:00 GMT
Paraguay's lower cost of production has attracted manufacturers from Brazil and Argentina.
Paraguay Exploits Its Industrial Advantages
Paraguay's position as a buffer state between Argentina and Brazil means that it remains largely at the mercy of the governments in Brasilia and Buenos Aires on matters of trade. Now, however, it appears as if the government in Asuncion has found a way to make itself an industrial hub of Latin America's southern cone by encouraging companies from its large neighbors to ditch the comforts of home and set up shop in Paraguay.
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On the RoadDec 28, 2017 | 16:18 GMT
Entrance to the Old City of Jerusalem.
For Israelis and Palestinians, Separate Struggles in a Shared Space
On a Saturday afternoon in late November, I took a walk through Ramallah, the de facto administrative capital of the West Bank. The streets were calm, and there was no visible security presence outside of a few Palestinian security guards chatting casually with a group of men near one of the city's heavily trafficked roundabouts. Less than two weeks later, it was a very different picture in Ramallah. Clashes had broken out between Israeli security forces and Palestinians in the city following U.S. President Donald Trump's Dec. 6 announcement that the United States would recognize Jerusalem as the capital of Israel and move its embassy there. The U.S. decision and accompanying protests and violence shows once again that a move made by an external power has a very real, concrete impact on the ground in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. It serves as a reminder that the fate of the Palestinians, and to a
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On SecuritySep 14, 2017 | 11:13 GMT
Police in Kiev investigate a car blast that killed Timur Mahauri, a Chechen with Georgian citizenship.
The Dirty Work of Russian Assassins
Russia's intelligence agencies have a long history of involvement in assassinations, refered to by its intelligence officers as "wetwork" or "wet affairs." Indeed, they have pursued the enemies of the Russian government around the globe: Alexander Litvinenko was murdered in London in November 2006; and Mikhail Lesin died under mysterious circumstances in Washington, D.C., in November 2015. They are not the only examples. It should come as no surprise then that people considered to be enemies of the Kremlin are being murdered in Russia itself, including opposition politician Boris Nemtsov, and in adjacent countries. A recent bombing in Kiev appears to have added another name to that list.
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Contributor PerspectivesSep 7, 2017 | 12:26 GMT
A rubber tapper harvests sap from a rubber tree in Brazil.
Helping the Rubber Market Bounce Back
Hernan Cortes and his conquistadors found more than they bargained for in the Aztec metropolis of Tenochtitlan. Along with the gold that drew them to the city in 1519, Cortes and his men saw plenty of previously unimagined wonders, including the tomatoes now prized in Spanish cooking. But the ball used for the ritual game played in the royal court must have been particularly fascinating for the foreign intruders. Made from the sap of a local tree, the ball had several peculiar properties, not least of all its bounce. The tree's reputation, along with its seeds, soon traveled beyond the North American continent and around the world by way of trade routes. The French Academie Royale des Sciences published the first paper describing the properties of objects made from the tree's sap in 1755. And nearly a century later, Charles Goodyear stumbled across a process, known as vulcanization, to stabilize
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AssessmentsAug 28, 2017 | 09:00 GMT
The iconic Sydney Harbor sits on Australia's east coast along the Tasman Sea.
Trade Profile: Australia Takes on the Tyranny of Distance
At its simplest, Australia is a continent that is also a country, a territory at once expansive and isolated. Open sea surrounds it on three sides, while vast tracts of desolate wilderness separate its habitable zones. Relative to its immense territory, moreover, Australia's population is disproportionately small. Its remoteness has proved a unique advantage for land-intensive industries such as agriculture. But overcoming the "tyranny of distance," as Australian historian Geoffrey Blainey famously put it, is a perennial challenge for the country.
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AssessmentsAug 19, 2017 | 13:27 GMT
The Eternal Struggle to Plug D.C.'s Leaks
Information leaks have always been a part of the institutional fabric of politics and intelligence inside Washington's Beltway. The most celebrated D.C. leak case centered around "Deep Throat," Washington Post reporter Bob Woodward's highly placed source who helped him uncover White House wrongdoing in an unfolding case that eventually led to the resignation of President Richard Nixon. The reporter and the source would meet clandestinely in parking garages in Rosslyn, Va., where Deep Throat would provide the clues that Woodward and colleague Carl Bernstein used to advance the investigation of the Watergate burglary. The details of those encounters were detailed in their Pulitzer Prize-winning book "All the President's Men," a great read full of examples of old-school tradecraft at its best.
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