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Situation ReportDec 26, 2025 | 20:52 GMT

Honduras: Conservative Candidate Asfura Confirmed as President-Elect

Honduran electoral authorities announced that conservative National Party candidate Nasry Asfura won the Nov. 30 presidential election with 40.3% of the vote, Reuters reported on Dec. 24.

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 26, 2025 | 18:11 GMT

Israel, Somalia: Israel Recognizes Somaliland's Sovereignty

Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced in a joint declaration with Somaliland's President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi that Israel recognized Somaliland's sovereignty as an independent state, the first country in the world to recognize the breakaway region, The Jerusalem Post reported on Dec. 26.

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 26, 2025 | 17:48 GMT

North Korea: Kim Unveils Nuclear-Armed Submarine

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un supervised a factory working on production of the country's first nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine, with photos showing the hull -- often one of the last stages of submarine construction -- fully intact, North Korean state media KCNA reported on Dec. 25.

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 26, 2025 | 16:27 GMT

U.S., Ukraine: Zelensky To Meet Trump for Talks on U.S. Peace Framework

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will meet U.S. President Donald Trump in Florida on Dec. 28 to discuss the most sensitive elements of Washington's 20-point peace framework for Russia and Ukraine, including territorial questions and security guarantees for Ukraine, Reuters reported Dec. 26.

Military & Security

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Situation ReportDec 26, 2025 | 16:19 GMT

U.S.: Washington Carries Out Strikes in Northwestern Nigeria Targeting Islamic State

The United States carried out strikes in Nigeria's Sokoto state, killing multiple members of the Islamic State in coordination with Nigerian authorities, United States Africa Command said in a press release on Dec. 25.

Military & Security

AssessmentsDec 26, 2025 | 14:30 GMT

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi walks alongside Oman's Deputy Prime Minister for Defence Affairs Sayyid Shihab bin Tariq al-Said upon his arrival in Muscat on Dec. 17, 2025.

Oman and New Zealand Deals Indicate India's Push To Diversify Trade Partnerships

India's recent deals with New Zealand and Oman signal modest efforts to expand trade, investment and labor mobility, but various constraints will limit their impact as India struggles to reach larger agreements with partners like the United States, European Union and Gulf Cooperation Council. On Dec. 22, India and New Zealand announced that, after nine months of negotiations, they had reached a free trade agreement (FTA) to reduce tariffs, improve labor mobility and expand trade of goods and services and investment. Signing is expected in the first half of 2026. The announcement of the FTA came days after India and Oman on Dec. 18 signed a comprehensive economic partnership agreement (CEPA).

Situation ReportDec 24, 2025 | 19:05 GMT

Ukraine: Zelensky Details 20-Point Peace Plan, Eyes Conditional Referendum

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky publicly outlined the 20 points of Ukraine's draft peace plan, RBC-Ukraine reported on Dec. 24.

Military & Security

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Situation ReportDec 24, 2025 | 17:18 GMT

Thailand, Cambodia: Ceasefire Talks Resume Under Thai Preconditions

Military officials from Thailand and Cambodia began secretariat-level talks in Thailand's Chantaburi province, with a possible defense minister-level meeting scheduled for Dec. 27 if technical frameworks are agreed upon, Channel News Asia reported Dec. 24.

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 24, 2025 | 16:59 GMT

China: Beijing Threatens Retaliation Over Delayed U.S. Semiconductor Tariffs

China said it will take "corresponding measures" in response to U.S. plans to raise tariffs on Chinese semiconductor imports from June 23, 2027, following the conclusion of a yearlong Section 301 probe into Beijing's chip policies, the South China Morning Post reported Dec. 24.

Situation ReportDec 24, 2025 | 16:47 GMT

Cuba: Mexico Confirms Oil Shipments Amid U.S. Blockade of Venezuela

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum confirmed the shipment of 80,000 barrels of oil to Cuba, stating that it occurred pursuant to historic bilateral agreements and for humanitarian reasons, Efe reported Dec. 22.

Situation ReportDec 24, 2025 | 15:40 GMT

EU: U.S. Sanctions Former EU Commissioner, Four Others Linked to Digital Regulation

The European Commission and the governments of France and Germany on Dec. 24 strongly condemned the Dec. 23 U.S. decision to impose visa sanctions on former European Commissioner Thierry Breton and four other Europeans, including leaders of organizations involved in digital regulation and countering online hate and misinformation.

On GeopoliticsDec 24, 2025 | 15:08 GMT

Yemenis gather during a rally to show their support for the UAE-backed Southern Transitional Council (STC), which wants to revive an independent South Yemen, as they wave the old South Yemen flag in Khormaksar Square, in the coastal port city of Aden on Dec. 14, 2025.

The Precarious Path to South Arabian Independence

Yemen's Southern Transitional Council (STC) -- backed by the United Arab Emirates -- has been on a blitz across the remnants of the central government's territory. A quick glance at a Yemeni Civil War map might suggest that a returned South Yemen may be on the cusp of reemergence after three decades within a unified state. But this path to de facto independence, while increasingly viable, is still far from a sure thing -- and for the STC to achieve it, the group must balance the pillars of Yemeni geopolitics with a care that suggests a long road still lies ahead.

United Arab Emirates

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 19:29 GMT

Armenia, Russia: Leaders Tout Transport Links Amid Regional Geopolitical Shifts

Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian told Russian President Vladimir Putin in St. Petersburg, Russia, that substantial and positive changes are underway in the South Caucasus, citing resumed rail transit through Azerbaijan and a new agenda to restore key railway segments connecting Armenia with Azerbaijan and Turkey, Armenpress reported Dec. 22.

Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 19:14 GMT

Madagascar: Russia Delivers Weapons Shipment to New Junta

Russia has delivered an arms shipment to Madagascar's military government, Bloomberg reported Dec. 22.

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 18:54 GMT

China: Washington Delays New Chip Tariffs to 2027 Amid Fragile Trade Truce

The Office of the United States Trade Representative concluded a yearlong Section 301 investigation, finding China's semiconductor industrial policies "unreasonable," but said any new tariffs on Chinese legacy chips will be delayed until June 2027 with rates announced at least 30 days in advance, the Financial Times reported Dec. 23.

Environment, Science & Technology

Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 16:42 GMT

U.S.: FCC Prohibits Approval of All New Foreign-Made Drones

The U.S. Federal Communications Commission (FCC) blacklisted all new foreign-made drones and components on Dec. 22, deeming that they pose "an unacceptable risk" to U.S. national security, Reuters reported Dec. 23.

Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 16:35 GMT

Indonesia, U.S.: Jakarta Claims Trade Deal Issues Resolved, Paving Way for January Signing

Indonesian officials said Jakarta and Washington had resolved all substantive issues in bilateral tariff talks and planned to formally sign a trade agreement in late January during a visit by President Prabowo Subianto to meet U.S. President Donald Trump, the South China Morning Post reported Dec. 23.

Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 16:32 GMT

China, U.S.: Beijing Continues To Build Up Nuclear Arsenal, Reject Arms Control Talks

A draft Pentagon report assesses that China has likely loaded over 100 solid-fueled DF-31 intercontinental ballistic missiles into three recently identified silo fields near the Mongolian border, Reuters reported Dec. 23.

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 16:32 GMT

Syria: SDF and Government Forces Reach Ceasefire After Deadly Clashes in Aleppo

The Syrian government and the Kurdish-led and U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) agreed to a ceasefire on Dec. 23 following deadly clashes in the city of Aleppo a day earlier, the Associated Press reported the same day.

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 16:18 GMT

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Israeli Defense Minister Says IDF To Establish Civilian-Military Units in Gaza

Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz said that Israel would maintain a permanent security presence in the Gaza Strip for security reasons and that at some point -- though no specific timeline was given -- Israel Defense Forces (IDF) would establish Nahal units in northern Gaza, Reuters reported Dec. 23.

Palestinian Territories

Israel-Hamas Conflict

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