GuidanceMay 29, 2020 | 22:34 GMT
Adjustments to U.S. policy to Hong Kong could derail the U.S.-China trade deal, but are unlikely to deter Beijing from implementing new Hong Kong national security legislation.
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SITUATION REPORTMay 28, 2020 | 20:10 GMT
Hong Kong: Chinese Legislature Approves Controversial Security LawChina's legislature has approved a measure to formulate the controversial national security laws that would levy penalties for secessionism, subversive activity, terrorism and foreign meddling in Hong Kong, Xinhua reported May 28.
READ MOREOn GeopoliticsMay 26, 2020 | 22:06 GMT
Beijing's decision to impose a long-delayed security law on Hong Kong reflects the mainland’s growing concern with challenges to national unity ahead of next year's 100th anniversary of the Chinese Communist Party. But it is more immediately driven by the rising violence in Hong Kong and the political evolution in
READ MORESITUATION REPORTMay 26, 2020 | 19:47 GMT
Hong Kong: Thousands Protest Against China’s National Security LawThousands of protesters took to the streets in Hong Kong to rally against the Chinese government's plans to impose a new national security law that would allow mainland agencies to operate more freely within the city, CNN reported May 24.
READ MOREAssessmentsMay 22, 2020 | 20:20 GMT
Demonstrations and an erosion of Hong Kong's autonomy could add further friction to U.S.-China relations, though Washington will avoid letting one issue determine China policy, particularly on trade.
READ MOREBusinessMay 21, 2020 | 15:42 GMT
Now more than ever, RANE's ability to provide unbiased insights and access to world-class expertise is helping our clients ensure business continuity and make informed decisions.
READ MOREPodcastsMay 20, 2020 | 21:44 GMT
David Lawrence sits down with Dr. Isaac Weisfuse to discuss his perspectives on the current pandemic and the lessons learned from his experiences working in New York on its 2006 pandemic preparedness plan.
READ MORESITUATION REPORTMay 20, 2020 | 17:14 GMT
South Africa: Experts Issue Grim Projections Regarding COVID-19 InfectionsA group of South African scientists and mathematicians who focus on modeling infectious diseases in Africa and advise the South African government said the country's ICU capacity could reach full capacity (roughly 4,000) by early July under its more optimistic scenario, News24 reported May 19.
READ MORESITUATION REPORTMay 20, 2020 | 16:54 GMT
Iran: U.S. Navy Warns Ships in Persian Gulf to Stay 100 Meters Away From U.S. Naval VesselsThe U.S. Navy on May 19 warned ships in the Persian Gulf to stay 100 meters away from U.S. warships lest they be interpreted as a threat and "subject to lawful defensive measures."
READ MORESnapshotsMay 12, 2020 | 16:09 GMT
On May 12, the chief executive of the European Defence Agency, Jiri Sedivy, said the bloc will probably reduce defense spending in its budget for the 2021-2027 period as EU governments focus their resources on dealing with the economic fallout from the pandemic. After the 2016 Brexit referendum, a group
READ MORESITUATION REPORTMay 8, 2020 | 17:29 GMT
Greece, Turkey: EU Border Agency Warns About New Wave of MigrantsThe European Union’s border agency reportedly expects “massive movements of migrants towards the Greek-Turkish border” once Turkey lifts its COVID-19 movement restrictions, Die Welt reported May 8 citing a leaked internal document.
READ MORESnapshotsMay 7, 2020 | 16:32 GMT
An abrupt end of the ECB's bond-purchasing program as Italy's borrowing costs are going up could trigger a financial crisis in the eurozone.
READ MORESITUATION REPORTMay 4, 2020 | 20:41 GMT
Pakistan: Factory Owners Inform Court of Inability to Pay Workers Due to COVID-19In a petition against a government measure that requires factories to pay their workers full wages and bans firing, Pakistani textile industry owners in Sindh informed the province’s high court that they were unable to pay many of their workers due to the economic instability brought on by the COVID-19 lockdown, Geo News reported May 4.
READ MORESITUATION REPORTMay 1, 2020 | 19:46 GMT
Mexico: State Oil Giant Pemex Records $24 Billion in First-Quarter LossesMexican state oil company Pemex announced its first-quarter losses totaled nearly $24 billion, 62 percent higher than the accumulated losses of all of 2019, Reuters reported April 30.
READ MOREPodcastsApr 30, 2020 | 12:00 GMT
In this Essential Geopolitics podcast from Stratfor, host Fred Burton speaks to Thomas Abi-Hanna, a global security analyst for Stratfor and RANE. As anyone who was in the United States in the 1990s might tell you, the case of convicted spy Aldrich Ames shook Washington and all of its intelligence
READ MORESITUATION REPORTApr 29, 2020 | 19:44 GMT
Italy: Fitch Lowers Credit Rating to One Grade Above Junk StatusFitch Ratings joined Moody's Investors Service in downgrading Italy’s credit rating to one grade above junk status due to increasing doubts over the sustainability of the country’s debt, the Financial Times reported April 28.
READ MOREAssessmentsApr 27, 2020 | 10:00 GMT
Iran and the United States may be heading toward another round of confrontation, even as both countries deal with significant COVID-19 outbreaks at home. Following a recent incident where 11 Iranian ships harassed U.S. vessels transiting the Persian Gulf, U.S. President Donald Trump tweeted April 22 that he had "instructed" the
READ MORESITUATION REPORTApr 20, 2020 | 18:32 GMT
Iran: Rouhani Orders Resumption of ‘Medium-Risk’ Business ActivityIranian President Hassan Rouhani has authorized the reopening of some "medium-risk" businesses in the country, including shops in malls and trading bazaars, previously closed due to COVID-19, Xinhua reported April 20.
READ MORESITUATION REPORTApr 16, 2020 | 19:37 GMT
China, U.S.: Washington Accuses Beijing of Conducting Low-Level Nuclear Tests The United States has accused China of having clandestinely conducted low-level nuclear tests at its Lop Nur site in Xinjiang, Reuters reported April 16 citing a report released by the U.S. State Department.
READ MOREOn SecurityApr 14, 2020 | 11:00 GMT
I've seen a number of news reports discussing how the lockdowns and travel bans resulting from COVID-19 are hindering the ability of intelligence officers to do their jobs by preventing them from being able to conduct in-person source meets. The inability to conduct face-to-face source meets, and to make personal
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