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On SecurityMar 10, 2020 | 11:00 GMT
A collection of weapons and ammunition federal agents say they found in the apartment of a member of the U.S. Coast Guard accused of plotting a major terror attack against Americans.
The Right-Wing Extremist Threat in Context: Internal Extremist Actors
While there have been a number of highly publicized cases involving military personnel who were violent right-wing extremists such as the Coast Guard officer above, or the Canadian army reservist arrested in Maryland along with other members of "The Base" in January, the threat is by no means limited to the military. Right-wing extremist insiders also pose a threat to companies and organizations, especially given how past attackers such as the Christchurch mosque attacker and the El Paso Walmart shooter have promoted attacks against business executives and their companies. Let's examine some ways that companies and organizations can protect themselves against extremist insiders.
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On SecurityNov 26, 2019 | 09:00 GMT
Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu (second from right) and his Venezuelan counterpart, Vladimir Padrino Lopez (second from left), hold a meeting in Moscow.
Could There Be a Cold War Reboot in Latin America?
South America is, once again, in flames. A wave of anti-government protests has ravaged the streets of Ecuador, Chile, Bolivia and Colombia in recent months. Such chaos, of course, isn't new to the region. From the 1960s to the 1990s, terrorist and insurgent groups instigated a series of vicious Cold War proxy battles. But in this iteration, which I'm calling the "Cold War 2.0" in Latin America, it's not armed proxy groups at play but already existing social tensions that Moscow is adeptly weaponizing to sabotage Western power structures in the region.  Indeed, with threats to Russia's periphery more daunting than ever, it can be argued that the Cold War never really ended for Moscow. But regardless of whether Russia's current actions in Latin America constitute a second Cold War, or if they're instead merely a reinvigoration of the original struggle, it's apparent that many of the same actors are actively
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GuidanceSep 21, 2019 | 09:00 GMT
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, left, and U.S. President Donald Trump speak during a bilateral meeting in Biarritz, France, on Aug. 26, 2019, on the third day of the annual G-7 summit.
What's Standing in the Way of a U.S.-India Trade Deal
The United States' trade war with China grabs all the headlines, but U.S. President Donald Trump is also bearing down on another major Asian economy: India. In June, Trump accused the Indian government of failing to provide "equitable and reasonable market access" and stripped New Delhi of its benefits under the Generalized System of Preferences, which enables India to export certain goods at a reduced tariff rate. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's administration retaliated by slapping tariffs on 28 U.S. goods. While the sides could soon clinch a short-term trade deal, the United States and India will have several outstanding issues to address before they finalize a more comprehensive pact. With the United States demanding that India reduce its bilateral trade surplus, open its economy to more U.S. agricultural products and go easier on U.S. technology giants, the countries remain far apart on a longer-term deal.
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BusinessAug 7, 2019 | 20:09 GMT
Texas State Troopers keep watch at the makeshift memorial for victims of the shooting that left a total of 22 people dead at the Cielo Vista Mall WalMart in El Paso, Texas, on August 6, 2019.
Protecting Retail Space
Kenneth Senser, former Vice President for Global Security at Walmart, discusses how, in the wake of recent mass shootings in El Paso, Texas, it's again time to discuss how, despite complexities of securing retail space, there are several threats that retailers must plan for.
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On SecurityAug 6, 2019 | 09:00 GMT
Handmade crosses memorialize the victims of a mass shooting in El Paso, Texas, on Aug. 5, 2019.
Where the El Paso Mass Shooting Fits in the Evolution of White Supremacist Tactics
Before his attack, the El Paso shooter, who I will purposefully not name to deny him the attention such killers seek, posted a four-page statement to the website 8chan. This is the same website that the perpetrators of the Christchurch, New Zealand, mosque attacks in March and the Chabad of Poway, California, synagogue attack in April posted their statements to. The El Paso shooter began his statement by praising the Christchurch killer, but said he was targeting Hispanics, who he claimed were invading Texas. He specifically mentioned the "great replacement theory," the idea that white people are going to be replaced by people of color. This concept, sometimes referred to as "white genocide," has been linked to a number of other killers, including those in Christchurch and Poway. These three massacres raise the question of why we are seeing more white supremacist attacks.
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AssessmentsMay 17, 2019 | 09:00 GMT
A map of India is seen superimposed over the country's territory.
India Waits Warily for a U.S. Trade Salvo
There's nothing like a common rival to bring two powers together -- at least on defense. India and the United States, both eyeing China's rise with concern, are moving closer militarily. Their common strategic interest in countering China, however, does not mean an alignment on trade: The United States is pushing India to further open its markets to American commerce, halt its purchase of Iranian oil and ease recent e-commerce regulations that could impede foreign investment. The demands, in fact, have even fueled speculation that India could emerge as a new front in U.S. President Donald Trump's trade war. But with limited ability to retaliate, India will seek to avoid any larger trade disputes with the United States, a vital export market. Even so, the prospects for a confrontation will ultimately depend on how the United States chooses to act. Washington has shown it has no qualms about launching trade disputes
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Partner PerspectivesOct 19, 2018 | 11:00 GMT
Investors watch stock price movements at a securities company in Beijing on Oct. 12.
The 8 Major Forces Shaping the Future of the Global Economy
The world is changing faster than ever before. With billions of people hyper-connected to each other in an unprecedented global network, it allows for an almost instantaneous and frictionless spread of new ideas and innovations. Combine this connectedness with rapidly changing demographics, shifting values and attitudes, growing political uncertainty, and exponential advances in technology, and it's clear the next decade is setting up to be one of historic transformation. But where do all of these big picture trends intersect, and how can we make sense of a world engulfed in complexity and nuance? Furthermore, how do we set our sails to take advantage of the opportunities presented by this sea of change?
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AssessmentsSep 28, 2018 | 10:00 GMT
Rows of solar panels are seen at a Tekno Ray Solar farm on Sept. 13, 2018, in Konya, Turkey.
Why More Global Corporations Are Betting on Renewables
Facebook recently heralded that it will source 100 percent of its electricity consumption from renewables by 2020, representing the latest direct renewables purchase by a major global corporation. The social media site joins Apple and Google, which already power all their operations using renewable electricity. But while Silicon Valley's giants are clearly among the leaders in embracing green electricity, other industrial and commercial segments are not far behind. The materials segment, including metals, is the largest consumer of directly sourced renewable electricity. For instance, metals giant Alcoa sources 75 percent of the energy required for its smelters from renewables, while mining giant Rio Tinto acquires just under half of its energy from such sources. In telecommunications, AT&T and T-Mobile are pursuing aggressive renewables plans, and there are others on the cutting edge in retail, including Wal-Mart, Ikea, Nike and Starbucks. Volkswagen, in turn, leads the way for renewables in manufacturing
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SnapshotsJul 11, 2018 | 21:31 GMT
U.S.: Washington Unleashes Another Tariff Barrage Against China
The White House is making good on its threat to pile additional tariffs on China as punishment for its retaliation for the first round of Section 301 tariffs, primarily on Chinese industrial and technological goods. On July 6, the United States imposed 25 percent tariffs on $34 billion worth of Chinese industrial goods, and next month, it will do the same on another $16 billion in goods. China, as expected, responded to the July 6 measures with tariffs targeting politically sensitive agricultural products, including soybeans, sorghum, pork, beef, dairy and cotton, as well as vehicles. The White House had warned that it could slap 10 percent tariffs on up to $400 billion worth of Chinese goods in response to Beijing's retaliation. And sure enough, on July 10, the U.S. trade representative launched a two-month process for imposing the tariffs by October -- so far on $200 billion in imports from
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AssessmentsFeb 27, 2018 | 19:26 GMT
When U.K. voters elected to leave the European Union in 2016, they also -- perhaps unwittingly -- put the peace agreement between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland at risk. But blockchain technology could help provide a solution.
Could Blockchain Solve a Brexit Sticking Point?
Representatives on both sides of the arduous Brexit talks are confronting their biggest challenge yet: the future of the Irish border. In December 2017, the United Kingdom and the European Union agreed that the border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland would remain an open one after Brexit was final, but that agreement was so vague that they are still working out the details of how to make that promise a reality. As negotiators look toward innovative new methods for maintaining the peace, they may discover that blockchain could contribute to a solution.
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Contributor PerspectivesSep 25, 2017 | 09:15 GMT
Sports: America's Well-Kept Socialist Secret
Sports: America's Well-Kept Socialist Secret
In American professional leagues, there is no cost for performing poorly and finishing at the bottom. In fact, there is a reward. The exact process differs a bit from league to league, but in the simplest terms, in the NBA, NFL and NHL, the worst teams are entitled to the first picks in the amateur player draft the following season. This is done in the interest of some nebulous idea known as "parity," but it doesn't take an economist to recognize the irony. In American sports -- our most bountiful source of metaphors for free market competition -- the norm is actually bright red, redistributive socialism: Fail to compete and reap the spoils.
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AssessmentsSep 5, 2017 | 12:01 GMT
Cars and trucks sit swamped in floodwaters in Houston.
Muddying the Waters of Climate Science
After dumping more than a meter of rain on Texas and Louisiana in two separate landfalls, Hurricane Harvey, now a tropical depression, is slowly dissipating. The massive amounts of rain the storm generated have caused unprecedented flooding in the region, submerging much of Houston, the fourth most populous U.S. city. As the floodwaters start to recede and the arduous recovery begins for millions of people, scientists studying Hurricane Harvey will try to determine whether and how climate change influenced its course and intensity. Analyzing the storm will take years, and drawing clear links between a single weather event -- however historic -- and overall climate trends may prove impossible. But whatever conclusions researchers reach, their findings will do little to influence the U.S. government's climate policy.
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Contributor PerspectivesFeb 8, 2017 | 09:00 GMT
An Afghan child carries shovels at a brick factory in Kabul. The percentage of the world's population in slavery may be at its lowest point in history, but in absolute terms, the global number of enslaved people is higher than it's ever been.
The Modern-Day Abolitionist Movement
On an otherwise ordinary flight from Seattle to San Francisco, Alaska Airlines steward Sheila Fedrick noticed a disheveled teenager traveling with a well-dressed older man. She was silent; he was defensive. Fedrick’s antenna went up. "She looked like she'd been through pure hell," Fedrick said. She whispered to the teen to look for a note in the plane's restroom. Three words of response were all it took: “I need help.” Police were waiting at the airport when they landed. Thanks to Fedrick's training in spotting suspicious circumstances, a case of human trafficking was interrupted. But in this day and age, slavery continues to be the scourge it has been for the past 4,000 years, modern abolitionists say.
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ReflectionsNov 11, 2016 | 02:18 GMT
Manufacturing: A Campaign Promise That Cannot Be Kept
Manufacturing: A Campaign Promise That Cannot Be Kept
Throughout the race for the White House, President-elect Donald Trump vowed to renegotiate trade deals to restore the manufacturing jobs that have all but vanished from the U.S. economy. In making this promise, he was not breaking new ground; President Barack Obama made similar assurances in his 2008 run for office. And much like his predecessor, Trump will face considerable challenges in fulfilling his pledge, constrained by the geopolitical, structural and institutional forces surrounding him. Without a doubt, the next president will usher in changes to U.S. economic and trade policies. But he will likely find a wide gap between theory and practice as he tries to deliver on many of his campaign promises.
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ReflectionsNov 9, 2016 | 06:05 GMT
Foreign Policy From the Fertile Plains
Foreign Policy From the Fertile Plains
The votes are in. The election is over. Donald J. Trump is the next president of the United States. The amount of vitriol that flooded this campaign season will leave much of America with a heavy hangover Wednesday morning. But many can agree that the democratic experience itself, no matter how clumsy and how bizarre, is still something to marvel at. This was an election that brought a significant number of Americans out to vote. The intensity of the debate and the drama of the election night itself has compelled the New Yorker-reading, craft beer-drinking technologist in San Francisco to consider what the Breitbart-reading, firearm-carrying Wal-Mart cashier in Wilmington thinks and cares about. Whether this election was about preserving one's worldview against demographic and technological odds or about propelling one's worldview against a wave of nativism, a vote is still a very personal and thus emotional act.
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AssessmentsDec 16, 2015 | 09:58 GMT
The Federal Reserve: A Chronology
A Chronology of How Federal Rate Hikes Affect the World
In anticipation of the U.S. Federal Reserve's expected decision to lift interest rates for the first time in almost a decade, Stratfor is publishing this chronology of archived analyses. The Dec. 16 announcement will follow a meeting of the Fed's policymaking panel, the Federal Open Market Committee. Federal Reserve Board Chair Janet Yellen is expected to make the announcement of a federal funds rate hike from Washington at 2:30 p.m. local time. The rate hike is a reflection of the solid, sustained growth of the U.S. economy over the past few years. Following the global financial crisis of 2008, the Fed kept interest rates deliberately low, in the zero to 0.25 percent band. The decision to raise interest rates has been carefully strategized and has far-reaching implications beyond the United States. Given that the global economy runs on U.S. dollars, many countries will be affected by the Fed's decision.
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AssessmentsNov 23, 2015 | 09:30 GMT
A French Geopost drone hovers, showing a prototype package delivery system in action in France. In the United States, regulations will delay the use of drones in urban environments and home deliveries.
The Future of Commercial Drones
Moving goods from one place to another isn't always as simple as it sounds. Intricate supply chains are often needed to coordinate transit across different countries, incorporating various modes of transportation. Every so often, new technologies come along that revolutionize how we send goods to other places. Now, as existing infrastructure struggles to keep up with the rising congestion that has come with growing demand, a new technological development is on the horizon that could help relieve some of that burden: drones.
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On SecurityJun 12, 2014 | 08:00 GMT
Five Dead, Including two Police Officers Las Vegas Shooting domestic terrorists Jerad and Amanda Miller
Domestic Terrorism Is No Joke
The threat of domestic attacks is real, even if the perpetrators are untrained. Domestic terrorists who can conduct spectacular, high-casualty attacks like those orchestrated by Timothy McVeigh or Anders Breivik are the exception rather than the rule.
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