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AssessmentsSep 18, 2025 | 15:17 GMT
Qatar's Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Mohammed bin Abdulrahman al-Thani chairing a preparatory meeting in Doha on Sept. 14, 2025, ahead of an Arab Islamic summit.
Israeli Strike on Qatar Prompts GCC States To Question Future of Regional Security
Israel's Sept. 9 attack on Qatar will spur unified rhetoric among Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries but is unlikely to produce real defense cooperation. It will also curb prospects for Saudi-Israel normalization and a regional missile shield and prompt GCC states to diversify their weapons systems, though they will remain heavily reliant on the United States. On Sept. 14 and 15, Qatar hosted an emergency Arab-Islamic summit to discuss Israel's Sept. 9 attack on Hamas leadership in Doha. At the summit, the GCC members pledged to "activate a joint defense mechanism." The GCC's Unified Military Command is expected to convene soon in Doha to plan to enhance the GCC's deterrent capabilities. While the specifics of the joint defense mechanism are unclear, the GCC's stated stance is that an attack on one member is an attack on the broader GCC. The summit also produced a joint statement condemning the Israeli attack
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United States
Bahrain
Iran
Israel
Kuwait
Oman
Qatar
Saudi Arabia
United Arab Emirates
Israel-Hamas Conflict
Military & Security
Politics
Situation ReportSep 17, 2025 | 20:32 GMT
Iraq, U.S.: State Department Designates Four Iranian-Backed Iraqi Militias as FTOs
The U.S. Department of State designated four Iranian-backed Iraqi militias -- Harakat al-Nujaba, Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada, Harakat Ansar Allah al-Awfiya and Kataib al-Imam Ali -- as Foreign Terrorist Organizations, or FTOs, to counter Iran and prevent terrorist attacks against U.S. military personnel and assets in the region, according to a Sept. 17 State Department press release.
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United States
Iran
Iraq
Military & Security
Politics
Situation ReportSep 15, 2025 | 19:12 GMT
Sudan: SAF Rejects Truce Proposals From U.S.-Led Quartet
Sudan's Sovereignty Council, the governing body backed by the Sudanese Armed Forces, or SAF, rejected a Sept. 12 proposal by the United States, Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates for a three-month humanitarian truce with the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces, or RSF, after the RSF launched drone strikes on critical infrastructure in White Nile state, Sudan Tribune reported on Sept. 14.
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Sudan
United States
Egypt
Saudi Arabia
United Arab Emirates
Military & Security
Politics
AssessmentsSep 12, 2025 | 19:44 GMT
A picture taken from a distance shows the damaged building (L) in the Qatari compound housing members of Hamas' political bureau on Sept. 10, 2025. Israel targeted the building the previous day in a strike in Qatar's capital, Doha.
The Regional Implications of Israel's Strikes in Qatar
Israel's airstrikes in Qatar will likely harden the stances of Iranian-backed groups, keep normalization with Saudi Arabia off the table and drive more assertive postures from other regional states. In the past few days, Qatari authorities, other countries in the region, European states and even the United States -- reportedly informed of the attack only as it was taking place -- all condemned Israel’s Sept. 9 airstrikes in Doha. The Israeli airstrikes in Doha did not succeed in killing the Hamas leaders Israel was targeting, though six others were killed. The incident was the first Israeli attack on a close U.S. ally in modern times. It was all the more significant given Qatar's designation as a major non-NATO ally of the United States, a status that signifies the closest security ties Washington can have with a foreign country that is not a NATO member.
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United States
Egypt
Iran
Iraq
Israel
Lebanon
Qatar
Saudi Arabia
Turkey
United Arab Emirates
Yemen
Israel-Hamas Conflict
Military & Security
Politics
Situation ReportSep 12, 2025 | 18:46 GMT
EU: Member States Debate Third-Country Participation in SAFE Defense Joint Procurement Initiative
EU ambassadors discussed whether the bloc’s 150 billion euro ($176 billion) Security Action for Europe (SAFE) loan facility for defense investments and joint procurement could be used to finance arms purchases from the United Kingdom and Canada, with France pushing to cap such purchases at 50% of their value to prioritize EU-based defense manufacturers, Euractiv reported on Sept. 12.
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Canada
Turkey
South Korea
Europe
France
United Kingdom
Economics
Military & Security
AssessmentsSep 11, 2025 | 16:50 GMT
A vehicle in a U.S. military convoy drives in Arbil, the capital of Iraqi Kurdistan.
Iraq's Shifting Power Dynamics After U.S. Withdrawal
The U.S. drawdown from Iraq will weaken Washington's direct influence while creating space for Turkey to expand economically and Iran to gradually reassert itself through political and militia networks, leaving Iraq's stability increasingly shaped by regional power competition. The phased U.S. troop withdrawal from the Ayn al-Asad and Victory bases in Iraq is set to be completed within weeks, with some U.S. forces relocated to military bases in Arbil in Iraqi Kurdistan. In September 2024, former President Joe Biden's administration reached a deal with Baghdad to end the U.S.-led counter-Islamic State coalition by September 2025, at which point bilateral U.S.-Iraq military cooperation would transition to a strategic partnership. A limited number of U.S. forces will remain in Iraq to provide technical support to Iraqi security forces.
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