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AssessmentsDec 18, 2025 | 19:33 GMT
A destroyed church is seen in Mosul, Iraq.
The Islamic State's Enduring Threat to the West
A spate of recent Islamic State-linked terror incidents illustrates the group's resilience and continuing ability to inspire supporters across the globe, as growing branches in certain countries may develop both a greater intent and capability to direct mass casualty attacks in the West in the coming years. Over the past week, authorities worldwide have linked a series of successful attacks and thwarted plots to the Islamic State. On Dec. 14, a father and son pair inspired by the group killed 15 people and injured dozens more at a Hanukkah celebration in Sydney, Australia, the deadliest terror incident in the country's history. The day before, an Islamic State-affiliated gunman killed two U.S. servicemembers and a civilian interpreter in an ambush in Palmyra, Syria. Meanwhile, on Dec. 16, Polish police said they had arrested an individual suspected of planning an Islamic State-inspired attack on a Christmas market, days after German police said
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Sub-Saharan Africa
Mozambique
Republic of the Congo
Somalia
Syria
Afghanistan
Military & Security
Situation ReportDec 12, 2025 | 19:02 GMT
Cote D'Ivoire: Government Lobbies for U.S. Air Assets to Counter JNIM Blockade on Bamako
The government of Cote d'Ivoire is pressing the United States to deploy intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR) assets to the country to help counter the fuel blockade imposed on the Malian capital Bamako by al Qaeda affiliate Jamaat Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM), Reuters reported Dec. 11, citing conversations with two Ivorian officials.
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Cote d'Ivoire
Mali
United States
Military & Security
AssessmentsDec 9, 2025 | 22:26 GMT
A photo taken on Dec. 8, 2025, shows an armored vehicle at the entrance of a blocked road in Cotonou, Benin, near the headquarters of the state broadcaster Benin TV.
Benin's Foiled Coup Signals Strengthening Franco-Nigerian Coordination in West Africa
Benin's failed coup will likely heighten political tensions and undermine counterterrorism operations in the country ahead of its 2026 presidential elections, while ECOWAS's rapid intervention -- driven by Nigeria and with French backing -- signals a potential shift toward Abuja taking greater leadership over regional security matters. On the evening of Dec. 7, the Economic Community of West African States, or ECOWAS, announced the immediate deployment of a standby force to Benin comprising troops from Nigeria, Ghana, Cote d'Ivoire and Sierra Leone. This came after mutineers led by the head of Benin's Special Forces Group, Lt. Colonel Pascal Tigri, announced earlier in the day on state media the removal of Beninese President Patrice Talon from power, the suspension of the constitution and the dissolution of state institutions. However, a significant portion of Beninese security forces remained loyal to Talon, who announced in the evening of Dec. 7 that the situation
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Benin
Nigeria
France
Military & Security
Politics
AssessmentsDec 9, 2025 | 22:01 GMT
A Thai soldier points out an area on a map near the Cambodian border during a press visit on Aug. 16, 2025, in Sisaket, Thailand.
Latest Thailand-Cambodia Clashes Will Test U.S. Appetite for Intervention
The latest round of clashes between Cambodian and Thai forces may yet surpass the scale of their July conflict, and though a return to the ceasefire is likely in the coming days, there will be a high risk of further flare-ups in the months ahead, especially in the lead-up to Thailand's expected elections in March. On Dec. 7, Thai and Cambodian military forces commenced another round of clashes in disputed territories along the two countries' shared border, with fighting still ongoing as of Dec. 9 and involving significant firepower. This includes widespread small arms and artillery fire from both sides, Thailand's use of airstrikes and tanks to strike Cambodian military targets and civilian targets allegedly used by the military (e.g., casinos and scam centers), and Cambodia's use of suicide and bomb-dropping drones against Thai forces. The latest round of fighting has expanded to nearly all border provinces, with the Thai
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United States
Cambodia
Thailand
Military & Security
Politics
ColumnsNov 28, 2025 | 08:56 GMT
A Ukrainian serviceman from the 24th mechanized brigade prepares a Magura night drone to flight toward the front line in the area of Chasiv Yar, Donetsk region late on April 29, 2025.
Drones Are Redefining Asymmetric Warfare
The Russia-Ukraine war has highlighted how accessible, cost-effective technologies, particularly drones, are reshaping modern warfare. Drones have become central instruments of cost-imposition, allowing Ukraine to inflict disproportionate damage on a materially stronger adversary at a fraction of the cost of traditional weapons systems. Far from the rapid win Russia hoped to impose, Ukraine has demonstrated that smaller states can leverage these technologies to survive, adapt and even impose sustained costs over the long term.
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Ukraine
Russia
Military & Security
Politics
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Situation ReportNov 25, 2025 | 21:23 GMT
Afghanistan, Pakistan: Tensions Resurge After Afghan Taliban Accuses Pakistan of Retaliatory Strikes
Afghan Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid said the group would provide a "necessary response" at the "appropriate time" after accusing Pakistan of striking Khost province and executing raids in Kunar and Paktika provinces in Afghanistan around midnight Nov. 25, actions Mujahid claimed killed at least nine civilians and wounded four others, Ariana News reported Nov. 25.
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Afghanistan
Pakistan
Military & Security
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