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Situation ReportDec 29, 2025 | 21:46 GMT

U.S., Israel: Netanyahu, Trump Meet in Florida, Discuss Regional Security Issues, Gaza Ceasefire

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with U.S. President Donald Trump at the latter's Mar-a-Lago estate in Florida and discussed the second phase of the Israel-Hamas ceasefire in Gaza, as well as regional security threats from Hamas and Iran, Al Jazeera reported on Dec. 29.

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 29, 2025 | 16:25 GMT

Myanmar: Junta-Run Election Sees Low Turnout as Civil War Continues

Myanmar began the first phase of a three-stage general election on Dec. 28, Reuters reported the same day, with residents and press observing weak voter turnout.

Military & Security

AssessmentsDec 26, 2025 | 21:28 GMT

Geopolitical Calendar

Stay informed about the significant meetings and events RANE analysts are tracking.

Situation ReportDec 26, 2025 | 17:48 GMT

North Korea: Kim Unveils Nuclear-Armed Submarine

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un supervised a factory working on production of the country's first nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine, with photos showing the hull -- often one of the last stages of submarine construction -- fully intact, North Korean state media KCNA reported on Dec. 25.

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 26, 2025 | 16:27 GMT

U.S., Ukraine: Zelensky To Meet Trump for Talks on U.S. Peace Framework

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will meet U.S. President Donald Trump in Florida on Dec. 28 to discuss the most sensitive elements of Washington's 20-point peace framework for Russia and Ukraine, including territorial questions and security guarantees for Ukraine, Reuters reported Dec. 26.

Military & Security

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Situation ReportDec 26, 2025 | 16:22 GMT

Nigeria: Government Secures $1.2B in Funding for $12B Coastal Highway Megaproject

The United Arab Emirates will provide $1.2 billion to build a section of the proposed 700 kilometer (435 mile) Lagos-Calabar Coastal Highway, the Nigerian presidency said on Dec. 26.

United Arab Emirates

Situation ReportDec 26, 2025 | 16:19 GMT

U.S.: Washington Carries Out Strikes in Northwestern Nigeria Targeting Islamic State

The United States carried out strikes in Nigeria's Sokoto state, killing multiple members of the Islamic State in coordination with Nigerian authorities, United States Africa Command said in a press release on Dec. 25.

Military & Security

AssessmentsDec 26, 2025 | 14:30 GMT

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi walks alongside Oman's Deputy Prime Minister for Defence Affairs Sayyid Shihab bin Tariq al-Said upon his arrival in Muscat on Dec. 17, 2025.

Oman and New Zealand Deals Indicate India's Push To Diversify Trade Partnerships

India's recent deals with New Zealand and Oman signal modest efforts to expand trade, investment and labor mobility, but various constraints will limit their impact as India struggles to reach larger agreements with partners like the United States, European Union and Gulf Cooperation Council. On Dec. 22, India and New Zealand announced that, after nine months of negotiations, they had reached a free trade agreement (FTA) to reduce tariffs, improve labor mobility and expand trade of goods and services and investment. Signing is expected in the first half of 2026. The announcement of the FTA came days after India and Oman on Dec. 18 signed a comprehensive economic partnership agreement (CEPA).

Situation ReportDec 24, 2025 | 19:05 GMT

Ukraine: Zelensky Details 20-Point Peace Plan, Eyes Conditional Referendum

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky publicly outlined the 20 points of Ukraine's draft peace plan, RBC-Ukraine reported on Dec. 24.

Military & Security

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Situation ReportDec 24, 2025 | 16:59 GMT

China: Beijing Threatens Retaliation Over Delayed U.S. Semiconductor Tariffs

China said it will take "corresponding measures" in response to U.S. plans to raise tariffs on Chinese semiconductor imports from June 23, 2027, following the conclusion of a yearlong Section 301 probe into Beijing's chip policies, the South China Morning Post reported Dec. 24.

Situation ReportDec 24, 2025 | 16:16 GMT

Sahel: Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger Announce Large-scale Counterterrorism Operations

Interim Burkina Faso leader Capt. Ibrahim Traore pledged large-scale joint military operations against armed groups across the Sahel in the coming days in his new role as head of the Alliance of Sahel States, Al Jazeera reported Dec. 24.

Military & Security

On GeopoliticsDec 24, 2025 | 15:08 GMT

Yemenis gather during a rally to show their support for the UAE-backed Southern Transitional Council (STC), which wants to revive an independent South Yemen, as they wave the old South Yemen flag in Khormaksar Square, in the coastal port city of Aden on Dec. 14, 2025.

The Precarious Path to South Arabian Independence

Yemen's Southern Transitional Council (STC) -- backed by the United Arab Emirates -- has been on a blitz across the remnants of the central government's territory. A quick glance at a Yemeni Civil War map might suggest that a returned South Yemen may be on the cusp of reemergence after three decades within a unified state. But this path to de facto independence, while increasingly viable, is still far from a sure thing -- and for the STC to achieve it, the group must balance the pillars of Yemeni geopolitics with a care that suggests a long road still lies ahead.

United Arab Emirates

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 20:28 GMT

Mali: Leading Imam Issues Rare Video Appeal for Malians To Rise Up

In a rare video message released Dec. 22, influential Malian religious leader Imam  Mahmoud  Dicko called on Malians to "rise up and come together" and end restrictions on freedoms and widespread hardship, RFI reported Dec. 23.

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 16:42 GMT

U.S.: FCC Prohibits Approval of All New Foreign-Made Drones

The U.S. Federal Communications Commission (FCC) blacklisted all new foreign-made drones and components on Dec. 22, deeming that they pose "an unacceptable risk" to U.S. national security, Reuters reported Dec. 23.

Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 16:32 GMT

China, U.S.: Beijing Continues To Build Up Nuclear Arsenal, Reject Arms Control Talks

A draft Pentagon report assesses that China has likely loaded over 100 solid-fueled DF-31 intercontinental ballistic missiles into three recently identified silo fields near the Mongolian border, Reuters reported Dec. 23.

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 23, 2025 | 16:32 GMT

Syria: SDF and Government Forces Reach Ceasefire After Deadly Clashes in Aleppo

The Syrian government and the Kurdish-led and U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) agreed to a ceasefire on Dec. 23 following deadly clashes in the city of Aleppo a day earlier, the Associated Press reported the same day.

Military & Security

Situation ReportDec 22, 2025 | 21:12 GMT

Russia: Moscow Scraps Plans for Common Eurasian Financial Market

Leaders of the Eurasian Economic Union on Dec. 21 approved a "differentiated" framework for a common financial market and initiated customs data exchange negotiations with Uzbekistan during the Supreme Eurasian Economic Council meeting in St. Petersburg, Russia.

Annual ForecastsDec 22, 2025 | 15:11 GMT

A container ship arrives Oct. 10 at the Port of Oakland, California.

2026 Annual Forecast: A Global Overview

In 2026, political calculations among major global players will significantly shape international affairs.

AssessmentsDec 20, 2025 | 14:00 GMT

A U.S. Marine Corps AV-8B Harrier II on Dec. 15 taxis at Jose Aponte de la Torre Airport in Ceiba, Puerto Rico.

The Weekly Rundown: French Budget Deadlock, U.S.-Russia Talks in Miami

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

Military & Security

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Situation ReportDec 19, 2025 | 19:12 GMT

Nigeria: Tinubu Presents 2026 Budget to National Assembly

Nigerian President Bola Tinubu presented the 58.18 trillion naira ($40 billion) budget for 2026 to a joint session of the National Assembly, with 5.41 trillion naira for defense and internal security, the single largest sectoral allocation, 6.0 trillion naira for education and health care, and 3.52 trillion naira for infrastructure, The Punch reported on Dec. 19.

Military & Security

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