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Situation ReportJun 24, 2025 | 20:09 GMT
Iran: U.S. Intelligence Assessment Says Strike on Iran's Nuclear Facilities Had Modest Impact
An early assessment by the U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency suggested that most of Iran's nuclear capabilities remained intact after the June 22 U.S. strike on three Iranian facilities and that the strike likely only set back Iran's program by months, CNN reported on June 24, citing four sources familiar with the assessment.
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United States
Iran
Israel
Military & Security
SnapshotsJun 24, 2025 | 16:48 GMT
Iranian missiles aimed at targets in Israel pass through the sky over the West Bank on June 17, 2025.
The Iran-Israel Ceasefire Will Remain Fragile Amid Unresolved Disputes
Even if a fragile ceasefire between Israel and Iran holds in the coming weeks and months, a series of unresolved issues leaves the door open to violations that will likely strain and could collapse the truce in the future. On June 23, U.S. President Donald Trump announced on social media that Iran and Israel had agreed to a ceasefire that was scheduled to enter into effect early on June 24. Though the Iranian foreign minister initially denied agreeing to the ceasefire, saying it would only stop attacking Israel once Israeli attacks stopped, Iranian state media later claimed that the ceasefire was "imposed on the enemy." Israel similarly agreed to stop attacks on Iran so long as Iran halted its own attacks. Ahead of the ceasefire deadline, Iran launched missiles that killed three Israelis and injured several more. Israel also launched a series of attacks against different areas in Tehran, in
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United States
Iran
Israel
Military & Security
SnapshotsJun 23, 2025 | 21:12 GMT
A photo taken on June 23, 2025, shows the remnants of an Iranian missile intercepted over Qatar.
With a Telegraphed Attack on a U.S. Base in Qatar, Iran Offers an Off-Ramp To Ease Tensions
Absent further retaliation, Iran's seemingly limited response to the June 22 U.S. attacks enables a path toward de-escalation between the two sides, but there is still a chance, albeit slim, that additional U.S. strikes trigger a wider conflict. On 23 June, Iran launched multiple missiles against Qatar's al-Udeid Air Base, which houses the largest U.S. military base in the Middle East. Qatar released a statement condemning Iran's attack on the airbase, which had been partially evacuated as a precaution, and noted that Qatari air defenses intercepted the Iranian missiles, which caused no casualties. According to Iranian state-backed media, Iran's Supreme National Security Council claimed that the attack "obliterated" the al-Udeid Air Base -- the same word U.S. President Donald Trump used to describe the damage the recent U.S. strikes did to Iran's nuclear facilities -- and that Iran deployed the same number of missiles as the number of bombs (14)
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United States
Iran
Israel
Qatar
Military & Security
On GeopoliticsJun 5, 2025 | 21:47 GMT
U.S. President Donald Trump (right) interacts with Oman Deputy Prime Minister Sayyid Asaad (second from right) as they prepare to pose for photos with leaders during the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Leaders' Summit in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on May 14, 2025.
Is the Era of U.S. Interventionism in the Middle East Over?
Much has been made of U.S. President Donald Trump's recent tour of the Middle East, where he slammed the interventionist policies of his predecessors. "In the end, the so-called nation builders wrecked far more nations than they built. And the interventionalists [sic] were intervening in complex societies that they did not even understand," he said in Riyadh, about the widely panned Iraq invasion of 2003. Some have hailed Trump's remarks as signaling the end of American interventionism in the Middle East, or at least the beginning of the end, as the United States retrenches. Trump's newly appointed ambassador to Turkey, Tom Barrack, even went so far as to say, "The era of Western interference is over. The future belongs to regional solutions, but partnerships, and a diplomacy grounded in respect." Doveish though this all sounds, the reality is that the United States remains poised to use its many tools to reshape
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United States
Iraq
Israel
Palestinian Territories
Qatar
Saudi Arabia
Syria
Turkey
United Arab Emirates
Yemen
Economics
Energy
Military & Security
Politics
AssessmentsMay 14, 2025 | 21:15 GMT
U.S. President Donald Trump talks to reporters aboard Air Force One on May 14, 2025, as he flies to Doha, Qatar, for his first trip to the Middle East since returning to the White House.
In Syria, the Promise and Limits of U.S. Sanctions Relief
The removal of U.S. sanctions on Syria will open the door for Gulf Arab and Turkish investments to help kickstart the economy, spur normalization with Lebanon and talks on normalizing with Israel, and further cement the provisional government's power base. However, the slow pace of recovery, sectarian infighting, Israeli aggression and a resurging Islamic State will hamper Syria's progress. Donald Trump became the first U.S. president in 25 years to meet with a Syrian leader on May 14, a day after he announced the lifting of all sanctions on Syria while visiting Saudi Arabia. In a statement, the White House confirmed that the meeting was attended by interim Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman, with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan joining remotely. Additionally, the White House said Trump asked al-Sharaa to deport Palestinian militants in Syria, normalize ties with Israel and help the United States
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United States
Syria
Situation ReportMay 12, 2025 | 15:08 GMT
Saudi Arabia: Riyadh Launches Humain AI Company Ahead of Trump Visit
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman announced the launch of Humain, an artificial intelligence company owned by the Saudi Public Investment Fund, that will work on developing various AI models and applications, including large language models in Arabic, data centers and cloud computing infrastructure, Okaz reported on May 12.
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United States
Saudi Arabia
Environment, Science & Technology
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