For more targeted results combine or exclude search terms by applying the Boolean Operators AND, OR and AND NOT. Place quotations around your search term to find documents that contain that exact phrase
106 Results
Search in Text
Search in Title

Showing 106 results for AQIM sorted by

Search Tools

On SecurityOct 29, 2019 | 09:00 GMT
This July 5, 2014, photo shows an image grab taken from a propaganda video released by al-Furqan Media showing Islamic State leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi as he declares himself caliph in Mosul.
Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi's True Legacy
When al-Baghdadi declared himself caliph following his Islamic State group's stunning battlefield successes in Syria and Iraq, he envisioned a legacy in which all Muslims would fall in line and help him establish sovereignty over all the Earth. Al-Baghdadi saw himself as the one to "Make Islam great again" (to borrow a phrase) and expected to achieve the same success that the Prophet Mohammed's followers enjoyed when they greatly expanded the original caliphate in the late seventh century A.D. But as we now look back at the life -- and death -- of al-Baghdadi, it becomes clear that he was a failure. Not only did he fail to unify all Muslims and lead them on a global conquest, his only lasting legacies might be his group's deep split with others in the jihadist movement, depraved violence (against believer and nonbeliever alike), and rape on an epic scale.
READ MORE
On SecuritySep 10, 2019 | 09:00 GMT
The 9/11 attacks against the United States were a watershed moment for the jihadist movement.
18 Years After 9/11, Jihadism Remains a Global and Local Threat
18 years ago tomorrow, Osama bin Laden and his jihadist al Qaeda group conducted the most devastating terrorist attacks in history. The attacks in New York and Washington took the lives of nearly 3,000 innocent victims, shaking the entire world to its core. And the aftershocks continue to be felt today -- whether it's in the residual consequences of the U.S. invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq, or the complete overhaul of global air travel security.  Almost two decades later, the United States remains engaged in both Middle Eastern and Afghan theatres. Just this past weekend, the White House pulled the plug on the latest round of peace talks with the Afghan Taliban. And on a local and individual level, the attacks continue to affect the health of survivors and first responders who witnessed the horror firsthand and were exposed to asbestos and other toxic building materials in the process.
READ MORE
On SecurityMar 12, 2019 | 09:00 GMT
Algerian protesters demonstrate in the capital Algiers against ailing President Abdel Aziz Bouteflika's bid for a fifth term on March 8, 2019.
The Jihadist Peril Lurking in Algeria's Protests
No stranger to civil conflict, Algeria is once again experiencing significant political unrest. Protests in the country are gathering steam, indicating deep and widespread discontent with the power structure that has helped Algerian President Abdel Aziz Bouteflika remain in power even though the octogenarian suffered a debilitating stroke in 2013. The trigger for the most recent protests that erupted on Feb. 22 was the announcement that Bouteflika -- who is wheelchair-bound and unable to speak -- would stand for a fifth term in presidential elections on April 18. On March 11, however, he announced that he was withdrawing from the election, which authorities will delay until a national conference sets a date for a new election. In climbing down, Bouteflika is clearly hoping to defuse the current protests. But until the particulars are known, it is difficult to determine if he will succeed. The protests are not only focused on
READ MORE
AssessmentsFeb 28, 2019 | 10:30 GMT
Fighters with the Syrian Democratic Forces walk past civilians at a screening area for evacuees from the Islamic State's embattled holdout in Baghouz, Syria, on Feb. 26, 2019.
The Fight Against Jihadists Is Shifting to Africa
When 9/11 kicked off the global war on terrorism, the main focus of counterterrorism efforts was al Qaeda-linked groups operating in the Middle East and South Asia. Close to two decades later, the United States and its allies are still involved in efforts to suppress al Qaeda and its offspring in Iraq and Afghanistan -- albeit perhaps not for much longer. After an exhausting effort, the United States is signaling a shift elsewhere as the Islamic State (which rose from the ashes of al Qaeda in Iraq) has suffered a comprehensive reverse, while Washington has sat down for talks with the Taliban as a precursor to a possible withdrawal of U.S. and allied troops from Afghanistan over the next several years. Instead, Africa has become home to some of the most active jihadist groups in the world. That, in turn, appears set to shift the focus -- for militants and
READ MORE
On SecurityJan 22, 2019 | 11:00 GMT
A Somali soldier stands at the scene of a car bomb attack conducted by al Qaeda affiliate al Shabaab near the Peace Hotel in Mogadishu on Jan. 2, 2017.
Tracking Jihadist Movements in 2019: Al Qaeda
The jihadist movement is a global insurgency – not just a terrorist phenomenon. Today, most of the world's jihadist groups have affiliated themselves with one of two poles: al Qaeda or the Islamic State. This seeming unity, however, belies numerous disagreements about how to pursue jihad. Given these differences, it is little surprise that there is a great deal of variance among different groups – even among those under the same al Qaeda or Islamic State umbrella. In this, some "franchises" stick close to the philosophies and guidance provided by the nominal parent organization, while others stray further afield. Here's a look at what how al Qaeda's various franchises fared in 2018 and what we can expect from them in the year to come.
READ MORE
On SecurityJul 24, 2018 | 08:00 GMT
Police officers present suspected ISWAP militants, as well as a cache of weapons, in Maiduguri, northeast Nigeria, on July 18.
Defining Militant Groups: Why the Names Matter
On July 14, reports from Nigeria's Yobe state emerged regarding an attack on a military base. Media outlets around the world were quick to identify the main culprit, noting how "Boko Haram" – the name that has become synonymous with militancy in the country – had raided a base. Truth be told, while there was certainly an attack, it wasn't conducted by Boko Haram, but the al-Barnawi faction of Wilayat al Sudan al Gharbi, or Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP). The attack touched off a conversation between some colleagues and myself last week that centered on one curious question: Why do many media outlets continue to refer to the group as Boko Haram, even though it declared allegiance to the Islamic State and formally changed its name in March 2015?
READ MORE
On SecurityJun 12, 2018 | 08:00 GMT
A picture taken on April 29, 2018, shows Syrian army forces running for cover from sniper fire from Islamic State positions in Yarmuk, a Palestinian refugee camp on the edge of Damascus.
How Do You Measure Success Against Jihadists?
How do you actually measure success against jihadist groups? As operations the world over have shown, simply destroying a high number of Toyota Hiluxes driven by militants isn't necessarily the defining mark of success in the "war on terrorism," and a tally of terrorist attacks doesn’t necessarily signal failure. As it turns out, there's more to assessing a jihadist group's strength than straight numbers.
READ MORE
SnapshotsMar 2, 2018 | 17:38 GMT
Burkina Faso: Dual Attacks in Capital Fall Short
Mali, the epicenter of terrorist activity in the Sahel region, is unable to effectively combat the extremist groups operating within its borders without significant international help by France, the United States and others. Because of this, its neighbors, including Burkina Faso and Niger, will remain vulnerable to attack. The assault in Burkina Faso on March 2 will motivate France to keep pushing ahead with the Group of 5 (G5) Sahel Force, its massive project to build up local security and counterterrorism capabilities. As Stratfor noted in its 2018 Annual Forecast, however, the security situation in Mali will be unchanged despite France's efforts, because of setbacks in implementing the 2015 Algiers Accord.
READ MORE
On SecurityJan 18, 2018 | 12:23 GMT
A Yemeni man surveys the aftermath of a bombing in Huta, in the southern province of Lahj, March 27, 2017.
Tracking Global Terrorism in 2018
With the start of a new year, we once again examine the state of the global jihadist movement. Shared from Threat Lens, Stratfor's unique protective intelligence product, this column includes excerpts from a comprehensive forecast available to Threat Lens subscribers.
READ MORE
AssessmentsOct 18, 2017 | 18:34 GMT
Though branches of the Islamic State tend to garner the most publicity, the greater threat to military forces, aid workers, civilians and citizens of the Sahel comes from another military group: Jamaat Nusrat al Islam wal Muslimin (JNIM).
The Surprising Suspects Behind an Islamist Ambush
Terrorist attacks in sub-Saharan Africa are relatively common but are rare rarely covered in Western media. The exception is, of course, when those attacks begin to affect Western countries such as an armed assault did Oct. 5 in Niger. Eight people, including four U.S. military personnel were killed in the incident. Though no group has claimed the attack, the U.S. Department of Defense said it was carried out by fighters from the Islamic State in the Greater Sahel (ISGS). But though branches of the Islamic State, including ISGS, tend to garner the most publicity, the greater threat to military forces, aid workers, civilians and citizens of the Sahel comes from another military group: Jamaat Nusrat al Islam wal Muslimin (JNIM). The group's Arabic name translates to "The Group to Support Islam and Muslims," but for those in the region and their Western allies it means the threat from Islamist militancy will
READ MORE
On SecurityJan 5, 2017 | 08:00 GMT
The aftermath of a car bomb that detonated near the Peace Hotel in Mogadishu, Jan. 2. Al Qaeda has survived against the odds, and in places such as Somalia could surge back to power if African Union troops withdraw.
Al Qaeda in 2017: Slow and Steady Wins the Race
In 2016, al Qaeda defied expectations and managed to hang on. Last year, we wrote that the al Qaeda core organization led by Ayman al-Zawahiri was weak. That assessment was based on the fact that the core group had mounted no attacks, and statements by leaders of franchises such as Jabhat al-Nusra (now Jabhat Fatah al-Sham) and al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula appeared to carry more weight than those of the central leadership. However, the course of events in 2016 made it clear that this assessment was misguided. We noted in June 2015 that al Qaeda had managed to gain some small advantage by maintaining a low profile, portraying itself as a moderate jihadist alternative to the Islamic State and viewing its struggle through the lens of insurgent strategy as a "long war." Al Qaeda's game plan worked in 2016 and will continue to pay dividends in 2017, enabling the
READ MORE
On SecurityNov 3, 2016 | 09:25 GMT
In 2013, Jabhat al-Nusra was firmly aligned with al Qaeda, whose flag adorns the jacket of one of its fighters in Syria. But the group has changed its name, a tactic the organization has adopted to give its units more flexibility.
Al Qaeda Quietly Maintains Its Relevance
The impending loss of Mosul will certainly weaken the Islamic State's core, but it is not the only jihadist group that will be affected by the upset. When the Islamic State seized swaths of territory in Iraq and Syria and declared the birth of a caliphate, its brash new brand of jihadism stood in stark contrast to al Qaeda's more calculated approach and energized many young jihadists. Though many older Islamist ideologues saw Osama bin Laden's successful efforts to goad the United States into a war as reckless, many of their younger peers came to view al Qaeda as too old, stodgy and timid because of its reluctance to aggressively carve out an Islamic polity. At the height of the Islamic State's success, victory after victory on the battlefield seemed to confirm the group's claims that it held Allah's favor, building its reputation as an inexorable force that planned to
READ MORE
AssessmentsOct 14, 2016 | 09:15 GMT
Politics and governance in Mauritania
Mauritania's President Makes a Risky Gamble
Mauritania's national dialogue, which will wrap up on Oct. 18, was intended to bring members of the opposition and ruling party together to discuss constitutional reform. Several groups, however, have accused President Mohamed Ould Abdelaziz of using the talks to launch a "constitutional coup d'etat." They claim the president is intent on extending or lifting presidential term limits. Though Abdelaziz still has three years left in his second term, such a controversial move -- should he choose to make it -- could undermine the stability of the West African nation and the region surrounding it.
READ MORE
AssessmentsMay 9, 2016 | 09:00 GMT
A convoy of French army vehicles heads toward Gao on February 7, 2013, on the road from Gossi after four Malian civilians were killed by a landmine in territory reclaimed from Islamist rebels.
Where France Would Intervene Next in Africa
For decades, France has kept unusually close ties with its former colonies in Africa, ruthlessly guarding its interests there through cultural and economic power, covert action and dozens of military interventions. Indeed, former French President Francois Mitterand once pronounced Africa to be France's future in the 21st century. But in the post-Cold War era, France's relationship with Francophone African countries has changed –- for better and for worse. Successive French presidents have declared an end to francafrique, a term denoting the extent of France's neocolonial involvement with its former empire in Africa.
READ MORE
On SecurityApr 21, 2016 | 08:04 GMT
Post-attack security strategies
Does Heightened Security Really Matter After Terrorists Strike?
The conclusion of a recent study has serious repercussions for authorities and citizens. The study, conducted by RAND Corp., suggests that after a terrorist attack in a major city, there is no evidence that another attack will immediately follow there. Even though the report specifically notes that the findings do not imply that increasing security locally after an attack is unwarranted, this is the conclusion many have drawn. It's dangerous to base security policy merely on historical statistics -- especially if one attempts to apply it universally.
READ MORE
Stratfor Worldview

OUR COMMITMENT

To empower members to confidently understand and navigate a continuously changing and complex global environment.