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AssessmentsSep 12, 2025 | 19:44 GMT
A picture taken from a distance shows the damaged building (L) in the Qatari compound housing members of Hamas' political bureau on Sept. 10, 2025. Israel targeted the building the previous day in a strike in Qatar's capital, Doha.
The Regional Implications of Israel's Strikes in Qatar
Israel's airstrikes in Qatar will likely harden the stances of Iranian-backed groups, keep normalization with Saudi Arabia off the table and drive more assertive postures from other regional states. In the past few days, Qatari authorities, other countries in the region, European states and even the United States -- reportedly informed of the attack only as it was taking place -- all condemned Israel’s Sept. 9 airstrikes in Doha. The Israeli airstrikes in Doha did not succeed in killing the Hamas leaders Israel was targeting, though six others were killed. The incident was the first Israeli attack on a close U.S. ally in modern times. It was all the more significant given Qatar's designation as a major non-NATO ally of the United States, a status that signifies the closest security ties Washington can have with a foreign country that is not a NATO member.
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United States
Egypt
Iran
Iraq
Israel
Lebanon
Qatar
Saudi Arabia
Turkey
United Arab Emirates
Yemen
Israel-Hamas Conflict
Military & Security
Politics
Situation ReportSep 12, 2025 | 18:46 GMT
EU: Member States Debate Third-Country Participation in SAFE Defense Joint Procurement Initiative
EU ambassadors discussed whether the bloc’s 150 billion euro ($176 billion) Security Action for Europe (SAFE) loan facility for defense investments and joint procurement could be used to finance arms purchases from the United Kingdom and Canada, with France pushing to cap such purchases at 50% of their value to prioritize EU-based defense manufacturers, Euractiv reported on Sept. 12.
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Canada
Turkey
South Korea
Europe
France
United Kingdom
Economics
Military & Security
AssessmentsSep 11, 2025 | 16:50 GMT
A vehicle in a U.S. military convoy drives in Arbil, the capital of Iraqi Kurdistan.
Iraq's Shifting Power Dynamics After U.S. Withdrawal
The U.S. drawdown from Iraq will weaken Washington's direct influence while creating space for Turkey to expand economically and Iran to gradually reassert itself through political and militia networks, leaving Iraq's stability increasingly shaped by regional power competition. The phased U.S. troop withdrawal from the Ayn al-Asad and Victory bases in Iraq is set to be completed within weeks, with some U.S. forces relocated to military bases in Arbil in Iraqi Kurdistan. In September 2024, former President Joe Biden's administration reached a deal with Baghdad to end the U.S.-led counter-Islamic State coalition by September 2025, at which point bilateral U.S.-Iraq military cooperation would transition to a strategic partnership. A limited number of U.S. forces will remain in Iraq to provide technical support to Iraqi security forces.
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United States
Iran
Iraq
Turkey
Economics
Military & Security
Politics
SnapshotsSep 10, 2025 | 12:19 GMT
Polish jets seen during NATO exercises
Russian Drones Crossing into Poland Risk Escalation with NATO
Russia's drone incursion into Poland underscores Moscow's growing willingness to test NATO's resolve and raises the risk of an escalation that could edge both sides closer to direct confrontation. In the early hours of Sept. 10, Russian drones entered Polish territory during an attack on Ukraine, which Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said involved some 415 drones and 40 missiles. Warsaw estimates that 19 drones crossed into its airspace, of which four were downed. The defensive operation was carried out jointly by Dutch F-35s and Polish fighters, with Italian airborne early-warning aircraft providing surveillance support and German Patriot missile systems placed on standby. Polish authorities reported that one drone traveled roughly 250 kilometers (155 miles) within Polish territory before crashing in a field near Mniszkow in the Lodz region, while another drone fragment was recovered in Czosnowka, about 50 kilometers from the Belarusian border. Although no casualties were reported in
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Poland
Ukraine
Russia
Military & Security
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
SnapshotsSep 9, 2025 | 17:17 GMT
France's then-Prime Minister Francois Bayrou (C) delivers his general policy statement during an extraordinary parliamentary session prior to a confidence vote over the government's austerity budget at the National Assembly in Paris on Sept. 8, 2025.
In France, Prime Minister Bayrou's Ouster Deepens Political Paralysis and Fiscal Uncertainty
Following Prime Minister Francois Bayrou's ousting in a no-confidence vote, France's next government will have to navigate a highly divided Parliament to pass a deficit-cutting 2026 budget, either by striking a compromise or bypassing Parliament, which would heighten the risk of mass unrest. French Prime Minister Bayrou resigned on Sept. 9 after losing a confidence vote in the National Assembly the day before, with 364 lawmakers voting against him and 194 in support. President Emmanuel Macron said he would appoint a new prime minister, who will be the third in just over a year, "in the coming days." The new prime minister will be tasked with forming a new government and -- crucially -- forming a working majority in Parliament. Bayrou had himself called the vote in a bid to rally support for his draft 2026 budget, which proposed nearly 44 billion euros ($52 billion) in spending cuts, tax hikes
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France
Economics
Politics
AssessmentsSep 5, 2025 | 16:15 GMT
French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou arrives ahead of meetings with party leaders as part of political consultations at the Hotel de Matignon in Paris, on Sept. 4, 2025, ahead of the French National Assembly's vote of confidence.
French Debt Soars As Parliament Unlikely To Reach Fiscal Consolidation
In France, another political crisis suggests that neither the current nor a new government is likely to implement forceful measures to curb fiscal vulnerabilities, which will increase the risk of financial instability, reduce domestic investment and weigh on France's other financial commitments in the coming years. On Sept. 8, Prime Minister Francois Bayrou will face a confidence vote, which he is expected to lose, as his minority government struggles to gain sufficient legislative support for its 2026 budget that includes 44 billion euros ($51 billion) in cuts and other controversial measures, including scrapping two public holidays. Faced with a continued increase in government debt, which exceeds 100% of GDP, successive French governments, depending on the support of an increasingly fragmented and polarized legislature, have failed to implement significant fiscal adjustment. Michel Barnier was ousted as prime minister in December 2024 after trying to push through spending cuts using a constitutional
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France
Economics
Politics
Situation ReportSep 4, 2025 | 20:20 GMT
India: Government Approves Cuts to Consumption Taxes
India announced an overhaul of its goods and services tax, cutting rates on hundreds of consumer items and simplifying the structure from four tiers of 5%, 12%, 18% and 28% to two tiers of 5% and 18% to spur domestic demand amid U.S. tariff pressures, Bloomberg reported Sept. 3.
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India
Economics
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