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AssessmentsMay 14, 2021 | 21:28 GMT
An Israeli far-right extremist walks in the street following clashes in the mixed Arab-Jewish city of Lod on May 13, 2021.
Gaza Tensions Unleash Israel’s Far-Right
Widespread riots throughout Israel amid the ongoing violence in Gaza reveal an emboldened Jewish far-right that could radicalize the country’s politics, prolong its political paralysis and raise reputational risks for companies doing business in Israel. The latest flare-up between Israel and Gazan militants have caused tensions to skyrocket between Arab Israelis and far-right Jews, resulting in riots that began in the community of Lod on May 10 that have since spread nationwide to Nazareth, Acre, Tiberias, Jerusalem and Haifa, as well as several Tel Aviv suburbs. The riots saw widespread looting and intercommunal attacks, overwhelming police forces. Every political party in Israel’s sitting Knesset, including far-right Religious Zionism and Islamist Ra’am, condemned the violence and called for peace. But as of May 14, the riots still show no signs of stopping and will likely continue through the duration of the Gaza conflict. 
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SITUATION REPORTMay 14, 2021 | 17:43 GMT
Argentina: Paris Club Willing to Recommend Debt Payment Delay
The 22 investor countries of the Paris Club are reportedly willing to delay the Argentine government’s $2.4 billion debt payment, originally due by May 30, in an effort to avoid a default, Bloomberg reported May 14, citing three unnamed sources with knowledge of Argentina’s negotiations with the Paris Club. 
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AssessmentsMay 13, 2021 | 17:03 GMT
People wait to receive COVID-19 vaccines at a health center in New Delhi on May 13, 2021.
India’s COVID-19 Surge Leaves the World Scrambling for Vaccines
India’s disastrous COVID-19 wave will threaten global vaccination campaigns and hamper its ability to use vaccines as a soft power tool in South and Southeast Asia. India is in the midst of an extremely severe COVID-19 surge more than one year into the pandemic. With no end in sight to the crisis, the Indian government will continue to increase vaccine production for domestic use and halt promised shipments to foreign nations, opening the door for the United States and China to compete for relationships integral to their larger Indo-Pacific strategies.
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AssessmentsMay 13, 2021 | 11:00 GMT
U.S. Naval Update Map: May 13, 2021
The Naval Update Map shows the approximate current locations of U.S. Carrier Strike Groups (CSGs) and Amphibious Ready Groups (ARGs), based on available open-source information. No classified or operationally sensitive information is included in this weekly update. CSGs and ARGs are the keys to U.S. dominance over the world's oceans. A CSG is centered on an aircraft carrier and includes significant offensive strike capability. An ARG is centered on three amphibious warfare ships, with a Marine Expeditionary Unit embarked.
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SnapshotsMay 12, 2021 | 15:27 GMT
EU Economy Commissioner Paolo Gentiloni presents the bloc’s latest economic forecast in Brussels, Belgium, on May 12, 2021.
The EU’s Economy Bounces Back
GDP growth will accelerate in the European Union in the coming months, but risks connected to high debt and deficit levels, along with uncertainty about the future of the economy, will persist. On May 12, the European Commission predicted that the bloc’s GDP will expand by 4.2% in 2021, up from its previous 3.7% growth forecast. According to Brussels, the acceleration of vaccination campaigns across the bloc, the softening of lockdown measures, the initial disbursements from the Recovery Fund and better economic conditions in the United States and China will help economic activity rebound in Europe. Still, the 2021 GDP expansion will not fully compensate for the 6.1% contraction that the COVID-19 pandemic caused in the bloc in 2020. The European Union’s GDP predictions also suggest that northern European countries will recover from the losses of 2020 faster than those in the south. 
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AssessmentsMay 11, 2021 | 21:46 GMT
Smoke billows from Israeli airstrikes in Hamas-controlled Gaza City on May 11, 2021.
In Gaza, More Bloodshed Appears Inevitable
Grassroots pressure on the Israeli and Palestinian governments portend a prolonged border conflict that places more lives at risk and forestalls Arab-Israeli normalization. Militant groups in Gaza launched over 400 rockets at southern Israeli territory since May 10, killing two Israelis and wounding at least 24 more. In response, the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) struck more than 130 targets in the Gaza Strip, killing 26 Palestinians, including 9 children. Political paralysis and deepened popular frustration on all sides of the conflict will make it harder for the Israeli and Palestinian governments to satisfy their angry constituents and reach an eventual resolution. 
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SITUATION REPORTMay 11, 2021 | 18:05 GMT
Nepal: Prime Minister Loses Confidence Vote  
Nepalese Prime Minister Khadga Prasad Sharma Oli lost a vote of confidence in parliament, securing only 93 of the 136 votes required to remain in office, Al Jazeera reported May 11. Nepal's president has announced that the country’s parties will now be allowed to form a majority government by May 13 based on a constitutional provision. 
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AssessmentsMay 6, 2021 | 11:00 GMT
U.S. Naval Update Map: May 6, 2021
The Naval Update Map shows the approximate current locations of U.S. Carrier Strike Groups (CSGs) and Amphibious Ready Groups (ARGs), based on available open-source information. No classified or operationally sensitive information is included in this weekly update. CSGs and ARGs are the keys to U.S. dominance over the world's oceans. A CSG is centered on an aircraft carrier and includes significant offensive strike capability. An ARG is centered on three amphibious warfare ships, with a Marine Expeditionary Unit embarked.
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SnapshotsMay 5, 2021 | 21:06 GMT
A photo combination shows the leader of Israel’s centrist Yesh Atid party, Yair Lapid (left), next to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of the Likud party.
The Lingering Effects of Israel’s Political Paralysis
Israel may soon emerge from its period of prolonged political paralysis, but demands for structural change to its political system and social tensions produced by far-right Israelis are likely to persist. On May 4, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu lost his second mandate to form a government in less than two years. His rivals, led by Yair Lapid of the centrist Yesh Atid party, appear to have cobbled together a unity coalition with seven of the 13 parties that won seats in the March 23 election. If Yesh Atid is able to convince Israel’s Islamist Ra’am party to join the coalition, the additional four seats would bring it over the 61-seat threshold needed to form a government and remove Netanyahu from power after 12 years. Such a unity government would bring together Israel’s settlers, anti-corruption centrists, anti-Netanyahu nationalists, Islamists, leftists and liberals, while excluding the far-right, ultra-Orthodox and nationalists who
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