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Situation ReportSep 17, 2025 | 15:46 GMT
China: DeepSeek's Chatbot Writes Code With More Security Flaws for Politically Sensitive Groups
AI models created by DeepSeek, China’s most well-known AI platform, frequently refuse to help or provide security-flawed code to programmers affiliated with entities and subjects deemed sensitive by the Chinese government, The Washington Post reported Sept. 16, citing an experiment shared by cybersecurity company CrowdStrike.
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China
Cyber
Environment, Science & Technology
Military & Security
Politics
On GeopoliticsSep 15, 2025 | 21:45 GMT
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva on Sept. 7 in Brasilia, Brazil.
Lula's Old Playbook Meets a New Political Reality
President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's failure to acknowledge structural changes in Brazil's society and power dynamics, reliance on policies from his previous time in office, and prioritization of international affairs over domestic issues have translated into a presidency that struggles to resonate with voters and will become a challenge for his 2026 reelection bid.
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Brazil
Politics
AssessmentsSep 15, 2025 | 21:16 GMT
From left to right, Small Business Administration administrator Kelly Loeffler, U.S. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard and Environmental Protection Agency administrator Lee Zeldin listen as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a Cabinet meeting on Aug. 26, 2025, in Washington, D.C.
U.S. Digital Defenses Weaken, Opening the Door for Nation-State Operations
In the United States, rollbacks of federal efforts to counter foreign influence, coupled with weakening private sector content moderation, will more easily facilitate nation-state online influence operations. These operations will enable a greater proliferation of disinformation designed to stoke societal tensions, diminish faith in democratic institutions and influence public sentiments and government policy. On Aug. 20, U.S. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard announced plans to further slash staff for her office, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, which oversees the country's intelligence community. In conjunction with previous cuts announced in February, the latest cuts will reduce the office's personnel by nearly 50%. The most recent cuts center on consolidating teams focused on countering cyber threats and influence operations, and they include shrinking the Foreign Malign Influence Center, which serves as the primary organization for integrating intelligence on foreign influence operations, including efforts to influence U.S. elections. While
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United States
Cyber
Environment, Science & Technology
Military & Security
Politics
Situation ReportSep 15, 2025 | 19:12 GMT
Sudan: SAF Rejects Truce Proposals From U.S.-Led Quartet
Sudan's Sovereignty Council, the governing body backed by the Sudanese Armed Forces, or SAF, rejected a Sept. 12 proposal by the United States, Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates for a three-month humanitarian truce with the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces, or RSF, after the RSF launched drone strikes on critical infrastructure in White Nile state, Sudan Tribune reported on Sept. 14.
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Sudan
United States
Egypt
Saudi Arabia
United Arab Emirates
Military & Security
Politics
AssessmentsSep 12, 2025 | 19:44 GMT
A picture taken from a distance shows the damaged building (L) in the Qatari compound housing members of Hamas' political bureau on Sept. 10, 2025. Israel targeted the building the previous day in a strike in Qatar's capital, Doha.
The Regional Implications of Israel's Strikes in Qatar
Israel's airstrikes in Qatar will likely harden the stances of Iranian-backed groups, keep normalization with Saudi Arabia off the table and drive more assertive postures from other regional states. In the past few days, Qatari authorities, other countries in the region, European states and even the United States -- reportedly informed of the attack only as it was taking place -- all condemned Israel’s Sept. 9 airstrikes in Doha. The Israeli airstrikes in Doha did not succeed in killing the Hamas leaders Israel was targeting, though six others were killed. The incident was the first Israeli attack on a close U.S. ally in modern times. It was all the more significant given Qatar's designation as a major non-NATO ally of the United States, a status that signifies the closest security ties Washington can have with a foreign country that is not a NATO member.
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United States
Egypt
Iran
Iraq
Israel
Lebanon
Qatar
Saudi Arabia
Turkey
United Arab Emirates
Yemen
Israel-Hamas Conflict
Military & Security
Politics
AssessmentsSep 10, 2025 | 20:18 GMT
Nigerian soldiers from the Multinational Joint Task Force (MNJTF) drive in pick-ups during training at the Sector 3 MNJTF military base headquarters in Monguno, Borno state, Nigeria, on July 5, 2025.
In Nigeria, Security Forces Struggle To Address Growing Militancy
The Nigerian government will likely continue prioritizing security crises based on the political and economic relevance of different regions, but myriad domestic constraints and limited regional cooperation will enable armed groups to continue to expand their range of operations and capabilities. In mid-August, the governor of northwestern Zamfara state publicly rejected the option of negotiating with armed bandits to curb their growing attacks, instead pledging to pursue them by force. His firm stance came days after reports emerged that some local government areas in neighboring Katsina state had struck peace deals with bandit groups, though the terms of these agreements remain unclear. The deals follow a recent surge in banditry characterized by killings of both civilians and security personnel, kidnappings for ransom and disruption to farming and herding -- pivotal economic sectors in northern Nigeria. While initiatives such as peace agreements with bandits aim to address insecurity, they highlight the
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Burkina Faso
Chad
Mali
Niger
Nigeria
Military & Security
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