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On GeopoliticsDec 24, 2025 | 15:08 GMT
Yemenis gather during a rally to show their support for the UAE-backed Southern Transitional Council (STC), which wants to revive an independent South Yemen, as they wave the old South Yemen flag in Khormaksar Square, in the coastal port city of Aden on Dec. 14, 2025.
The Precarious Path to South Arabian Independence
Yemen's Southern Transitional Council (STC) -- backed by the United Arab Emirates -- has been on a blitz across the remnants of the central government's territory. A quick glance at a Yemeni Civil War map might suggest that a returned South Yemen may be on the cusp of reemergence after three decades within a unified state. But this path to de facto independence, while increasingly viable, is still far from a sure thing -- and for the STC to achieve it, the group must balance the pillars of Yemeni geopolitics with a care that suggests a long road still lies ahead.
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Saudi Arabia
United Arab Emirates
Yemen
Military & Security
Politics
SnapshotsDec 8, 2025 | 20:30 GMT
The U.S. Navy's Gerald R. Ford Carrier Strike Group participates in joint operations with the U.S. Air Force on Nov. 13, 2025.
The U.S. Remains Poised To Attack Venezuelan Territory
Increased military mobilization, failed negotiations and persistent aggressive rhetoric amid broader geopolitical, ideological and economic goals indicate that the United States will most likely escalate its military campaign in the Caribbean to attacks in Venezuelan territory over the coming days or weeks. Since October, the United States has increased its military presence in the Caribbean, especially with the Nov. 16 arrival of the USS Gerald Ford, the world's largest aircraft carrier. The U.S. military has also continued to conduct attacks against alleged drug trafficking boats in the Caribbean and eastern Pacific, which have reached a total of 23 strikes, killing 87 people. Media leaks revealed that in the first of such operations, on Sept. 2, the U.S. military carried out a follow-up strike, potentially killing survivors. The allegations have sparked controversy within the United States, prompting investigations in Congress and raising concerns about the potential commitment of war crimes. Despite
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United States
Venezuela
Military & Security
ColumnsNov 28, 2025 | 08:56 GMT
A Ukrainian serviceman from the 24th mechanized brigade prepares a Magura night drone to flight toward the front line in the area of Chasiv Yar, Donetsk region late on April 29, 2025.
Drones Are Redefining Asymmetric Warfare
The Russia-Ukraine war has highlighted how accessible, cost-effective technologies, particularly drones, are reshaping modern warfare. Drones have become central instruments of cost-imposition, allowing Ukraine to inflict disproportionate damage on a materially stronger adversary at a fraction of the cost of traditional weapons systems. Far from the rapid win Russia hoped to impose, Ukraine has demonstrated that smaller states can leverage these technologies to survive, adapt and even impose sustained costs over the long term.
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Ukraine
Russia
Military & Security
Politics
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
AssessmentsNov 20, 2025 | 16:08 GMT
The Pentagon viewed from above.
New U.S. Defense Acquisition Reforms Offer Opportunities for Improvements, but Longstanding Constraints Remain
Reforms to how the United States acquires weapons pledged by U.S. President Donald Trump's administration offer new ways to simplify and accelerate the process, but persistent constraints will likely limit transformation, hampering U.S. preparations for future conflicts and risking the quality of new capabilities. On Nov. 10, the U.S. Department of Defense released the texts of memorandums U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth referenced in a highly anticipated Nov. 7 address in which he outlined a strategy to streamline the Pentagon's procurement process, revive the country's defense industrial base and accelerate the delivery of capabilities to U.S. military personnel. According to Hegseth, "The defense acquisition system as you know it is dead." The planned updates include simplifying the chain of command to acquire new capabilities, giving more freedom to acquisition officials to shift funds and make decisions more quickly, favoring commercially available solutions over bespoke ones, changing contract terms to
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United States
Military & Security
SnapshotsNov 19, 2025 | 17:47 GMT
A man rides past a roundabout adorned with Moroccan national flags in Laayoune, the main city of Moroccan-controlled Western Sahara, on Nov. 7, 2025.
U.N. Security Council Resolution Bolsters Morocco's Claims to Disputed Western Sahara
A recent U.N. Security Council resolution expands the growing momentum for Morocco's sovereignty claims over Western Sahara, but the continued dispute over the territory will obstruct any Moroccan-Algerian rapprochement and will limit Morocco's ability to develop some industries there because of EU trade restrictions. On Oct. 31, the U.N. Security Council approved a resolution stating that "genuine autonomy under Moroccan sovereignty could constitute a most feasible solution" for the dispute over Western Sahara, which pits Rabat's claims of sovereignty against a low-level local insurgency. The resolution passed with 11 votes in favor, including the United States. Russia, China and Pakistan abstained, while Algeria -- the main backer of the Polisario Front (PF), the militant group which claims to represent the indigenous Sahrawi people of Western Sahara -- did not vote in protest. In response to the passage of the resolution, the PF ambassador to the United Nations said the resolution
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Algeria
Morocco
Military & Security
PodcastsNov 13, 2025 | 10:00 GMT
Essential Geopolitics
Essential Geopolitics: The Primary Drivers and Constraints of U.S.-Venezuela Tensions
In this episode of Essential Geopolitics, RANE's Latin America Analyst Mario Braga and RANE's Senior Middle East and North Africa Analyst Ryan Bohl explain the current dynamics between Venezuela and the United States, diving deep into how their complex history shapes the outlook for various cooperative and/or conflict-ridden scenarios.
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United States
Venezuela
Military & Security
Politics
AssessmentsNov 10, 2025 | 23:33 GMT
Chile's presidential candidate Evelyn Matthei (C) poses with her team after registering her candidacy at the Electoral Service of Chile in Santiago on Aug. 16, 2025.
Chile's Presidential Election: Potential Outcomes and Their Implications
Chile will hold general elections on Nov. 16 to elect a president, the entire Chamber of Deputies and half the Senate. A runoff will follow on Dec. 14 if no presidential candidate secures over 50% of the vote. President Gabriel Boric cannot seek re-election, and his coalition backs Communist Party candidate Jeannette Jara. Her main rivals include far-right candidate Jose Antonio Kast, center-right candidate Evelyn Matthei and ultra-right candidate Johannes Kaiser. Campaigns have centered on crime, migration and slow economic growth, amid Chileans' frustration over failed constitutional reforms since the 2019-2020 protests.
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Chile
Economics
Military & Security
Politics
AssessmentsOct 31, 2025 | 20:04 GMT
An aerial photo shows the Saudi capital of Riyadh.
The Modern Geopolitics of Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia's national strategy is challenged by its austere past and potential future. The kingdom seeks alignment with a regional and global order to achieve middle power status while preventing internal divisions spurred by the very reforms it is using to walk that path. It is vulnerable to geopolitical shocks and internal erosion of consensus, especially the latter. Riyadh's monarchy must manage these imperatives effectively to avoid a return to a divided, foreign-controlled state, mirroring its 20th-century beginning.
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Saudi Arabia
Economics
Energy
Military & Security
Politics
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