AssessmentsDec 27, 2025 | 14:00 GMT
The Weekly Rundown: Bulgaria Adopts the Euro, U.S.-Venezuela Tensions Persist
A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.
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AssessmentsDec 26, 2025 | 21:28 GMT
Geopolitical Calendar
Stay informed about the significant meetings and events RANE analysts are tracking.
READ MORESituation ReportDec 19, 2025 | 20:05 GMT
Russia, Ukraine: Putin Digs In on Maximalist Peace Terms Ahead of Miami Talks
During a 4.5-hour end-of-year press conference, Russian President Vladimir Putin reiterated that Moscow would only end the war in Ukraine if Kyiv abandoned its bid to join NATO and withdrew from all territories claimed by Russia, Reuters reported on Dec. 19.
READ MORESituation ReportDec 19, 2025 | 17:19 GMT
Ghana: Government Commits Nearly $87M To Restore Bawku Amid Intercommunal Clashes
Ghana's government approved the creation of a 1 billion Ghanaian cedi
($86.85 million) Bawku Revitalisation Fund to rebuild the town of Bawku in the Upper East region following intercommunal violence, News Ghana reported on Dec. 19.
READ MORESituation ReportDec 18, 2025 | 22:05 GMT
Ukraine, U.S.: Zelensky Signals Stalemate Ahead of Miami Talks
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said no consensus had been reached on a peace plan with Russia and Western partners following a recent round of talks with U.S. and European officials, Ukraine's national public broadcaster Suspilne reported on Dec. 18.
READ MOREAssessmentsDec 18, 2025 | 19:33 GMT
The Islamic State's Enduring Threat to the West
A spate of recent Islamic State-linked terror incidents illustrates the group's resilience and continuing ability to inspire supporters across the globe, as growing branches in certain countries may develop both a greater intent and capability to direct mass casualty attacks in the West in the coming years. Over the past week, authorities worldwide have linked a series of successful attacks and thwarted plots to the Islamic State. On Dec. 14, a father and son pair inspired by the group killed 15 people and injured dozens more at a Hanukkah celebration in Sydney, Australia, the deadliest terror incident in the country's history. The day before, an Islamic State-affiliated gunman killed two U.S. servicemembers and a civilian interpreter in an ambush in Palmyra, Syria. Meanwhile, on Dec. 16, Polish police said they had arrested an individual suspected of planning an Islamic State-inspired attack on a Christmas market, days after German police said
READ MORESituation ReportDec 17, 2025 | 17:35 GMT
U.S.: Trump Expands Travel Ban, Effective Jan. 1
The Trump administration expanded its travel ban to include full restrictions on several sub-Saharan African countries, including Mali and Burkina Faso, Laos, Syria and individuals with Palestinian Authority-issued passports, as well as partial restrictions on several Caribbean and other African countries, the White House announced on Dec. 16.
READ MORESituation ReportDec 12, 2025 | 20:15 GMT
India, China: India Eases Red Tape To Fast-Track Business Visas for Chinese Professionals
India streamlined business visas for Chinese professionals by dropping a layer of scrutiny and cutting approval times to under a month, Reuters reported on Dec. 12.
READ MORESituation ReportDec 11, 2025 | 17:58 GMT
Taiwan, Israel: Taipei Likely Seeks Israeli Defense Support, Could Stir Chinese Retaliation
Taiwan's Deputy Foreign Minister Francois Wu traveled to Israel on an unpublicized foreign trip earlier in December, according to Reuters sources on Dec. 11, though the sources declined to state with whom he met or what they discussed.
READ MORESituation ReportDec 9, 2025 | 20:26 GMT
Tanzania: Security Forces Deployed To Counter Anticipated Anti-Government Protests After Preemptive Arrests
Tanzanian authorities deployed police and army troops across major cities, particularly in the commercial capital, Dar es Salaam, to prevent planned protests on Independence Day, celebrated on Dec. 9, Reuters reported the same day.
READ MORESituation ReportDec 8, 2025 | 20:11 GMT
Australia, Afghanistan: Australia Sanctions Afghan Taliban Officials Over Alleged Human Rights Concerns
Australia imposed financial sanctions and a travel ban on Afghanistan's minister of virtue and vice, minister of higher education, minister of justice and chief justice for alleged complicity in oppressing women and girls as well as minority groups in Afghanistan, among other offenses, according to a statement Australia's Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade released on Dec. 6.
READ MOREAssessmentsDec 6, 2025 | 14:00 GMT
The Weekly Rundown: Unrest in Tanzania, an EU Summit in Ukraine
A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.
READ MORESnapshotsDec 5, 2025 | 18:12 GMT
The Outlook for Cooperation Between Yemen's Houthis and Somalia's al Shabaab
Cooperation between Yemen's Houthi rebels and Somalia's al Shabaab in weapons transfers, training and logistics will likely continue in the coming years and though the extent of further cooperation will remain constrained by the Houthis' need to prioritize their own military imperatives, this will not fundamentally hamper al Shabaab's capabilities. An October 2025 U.N. report confirmed that Somali security services had intercepted multiple arms shipments, including explosives and drones, en route from Yemen and arrested individuals tied to a trafficking network connecting al Qaeda affiliate al Shabaab in Somalia and Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen. Investigators also documented the growing use of Somali piracy networks to facilitate Houthi maritime disruptions in the Gulf of Aden, including attacks on commercial ships and collecting ransoms from captured crew and vessels. A Somali national affiliated with al Shabaab who acted as a liaison was also identified, admitting to coordinating the travel of approximately
READ MORESituation ReportDec 5, 2025 | 17:39 GMT
India, Russia: Putin and Modi Agree To Deepen India-Russia Trade
During his Dec. 4-5 visit, Russian President Vladimir Putin met Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi in New Delhi, and both agreed to expand and diversify trade, Reuters reported on Dec. 5.
READ MORESituation ReportDec 1, 2025 | 21:43 GMT
U.S., Ukraine: Florida Talks Advance Revised Peace Plan but Core Disputes Persist
U.S. and Ukrainian negotiators met for several hours in Florida, where both sides described "productive" progress on a revised U.S. peace plan, Reuters reported Dec.1.
READ MORESituation ReportNov 26, 2025 | 21:40 GMT
Guinea-Bissau: Army Officers Say They Have Taken Control After President's Arrest
A group of senior military officers in Guinea-Bissau, calling themselves "High Military Command for the Restoration of Order," declared they had taken "total control" of the country until further notice following the disputed Nov. 23 presidential election, which both President Umaro Sissoco Embalo and his main challenger, Fernando Dias, claimed to have won, RFI reported Nov. 27.
READ MORESituation ReportNov 26, 2025 | 16:36 GMT
Lebanon, Cyprus: Maritime Demarcation Agreement Reached
Lebanon and Cyprus agreed to a final maritime demarcation agreement, nearly two decades after an initial deal determined maritime zones in 2007, Reuters reported Nov. 26.
READ MORESituation ReportNov 25, 2025 | 21:23 GMT
Afghanistan, Pakistan: Tensions Resurge After Afghan Taliban Accuses Pakistan of Retaliatory Strikes
Afghan Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid said the group would provide a "necessary response" at the "appropriate time" after accusing Pakistan of striking Khost province and executing raids in Kunar and Paktika provinces in Afghanistan around midnight Nov. 25, actions Mujahid claimed killed at least nine civilians and wounded four others, Ariana News reported Nov. 25.
READ MOREAssessmentsNov 25, 2025 | 21:00 GMT
India's Labor Code Reforms: Opportunities and Implementation Challenges
In India, major labor law reforms will gradually make the economy more formalized, investor-friendly and competitive, but the near-term potential for uneven adoption across states will continue to create compliance challenges and legal risks for companies, while union strikes and protests will likely pose short-term disruptions. On Nov. 21, the Indian government implemented four labor codes that merge decades-old laws into a streamlined framework aimed at simplifying and standardizing regulations. The reform is the biggest of its kind in decades, and seeks to foster a more investment-friendly environment while also enhancing worker benefits through better regulating and expanding social security, workplace safety, gender equality and minimum wages. However, the new codes have drawn strong pushback from unions, which argue they give companies greater leeway in hiring and firing, determining wages and working hours, and undermining union influence. To this end, ten of India's largest trade unions -- which collectively comprise
READ MORESituation ReportNov 24, 2025 | 20:30 GMT
Japan: Yonaguni Missile Deployment Deepens Diplomatic Spat With China
Japanese Defense Minister Shinjiro Koizumi confirmed that plans are "steadily moving forward" to deploy medium-range surface-to-air missiles on the island of Yonaguni, around 110 kilometers (70 miles) east of Taiwan, Bloomberg reported Nov. 24.
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