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SnapshotsSep 10, 2025 | 12:19 GMT
Polish jets seen during NATO exercises
Russian Drones Crossing into Poland Risk Escalation with NATO
Russia's drone incursion into Poland underscores Moscow's growing willingness to test NATO's resolve and raises the risk of an escalation that could edge both sides closer to direct confrontation. In the early hours of Sept. 10, Russian drones entered Polish territory during an attack on Ukraine, which Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said involved some 415 drones and 40 missiles. Warsaw estimates that 19 drones crossed into its airspace, of which four were downed. The defensive operation was carried out jointly by Dutch F-35s and Polish fighters, with Italian airborne early-warning aircraft providing surveillance support and German Patriot missile systems placed on standby. Polish authorities reported that one drone traveled roughly 250 kilometers (155 miles) within Polish territory before crashing in a field near Mniszkow in the Lodz region, while another drone fragment was recovered in Czosnowka, about 50 kilometers from the Belarusian border. Although no casualties were reported in
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Poland
Ukraine
Russia
Military & Security
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
AssessmentsSep 1, 2025 | 14:00 GMT
The Geopolitics of Trade
The Geopolitics of Trade: Threats to Maritime Chokepoints Endanger Global Trade, Part 2
Key maritime chokepoints are vulnerable to a variety of political, security and environmental threats that endanger global shipping and trade. The Bab el-Mandeb strait, the Suez Canal, the Danish and Turkish straits, and the Panama Canal are a handful of the most crucial waterways that the International Monetary Fund lists as essential for international commerce. Because of their centrality to global trade, disruptions to any of these chokepoints would have severe implications for supply chains and the trillions of dollars worth of goods that transit these routes. Such disruptions could be caused by geopolitical tensions like those between NATO and Russia, physical security issues like militancy and piracy, and environmental concerns like drought.
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Sub-Saharan Africa
Americas
Middle East and North Africa
Asia-Pacific
Europe
Eurasia
South Asia
Economics
Energy
Environment, Science & Technology
Global Trade
Military & Security
Politics
SnapshotsAug 28, 2025 | 21:49 GMT
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Chinese President Xi Jinping attend a meeting on May 14, 2015, in Xian, China.
Despite Modest Improvement, India-China Relations Face Enduring Challenges
Despite gradual improvements and cautious steps toward economic and border cooperation between India and China, strategic competition will limit the scope for deeper engagement. On Aug. 31, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi will travel to China to attend the annual Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) Heads of Government Council meeting. This will mark his first visit to China since June 2018, as well as the first since the deadly border clashes between Indian and Chinese troops broke out in the Galwan Valley in mid-2020, which saw bilateral ties plunge to their lowest point in decades.
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China
India
Economics
Military & Security
Politics
On SecurityAug 8, 2025 | 15:32 GMT
DEA New York special agent in charge speaks to the press in New York City on Feb. 28, 2025, after the former leader of a brutal Mexican cartel, Rafael Caro Quintero, described by the White House as the world's ''most evil'' drug boss, pleaded not guilty to narcotics charges in New York.
The Outlook for Trump's 'War' on Mexican Cartels
Trump's offer of military support, the designation of cartels as terrorist groups in February, and repeated comments regarding their control of Mexico and threat to the United States leave the door open to unilateral U.S. military and/or covert action to directly combat the cartels. It is thus worth exploring what such operations might entail and their objectives, as well as their potential implications for both the United States and Mexico.
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Mexico
United States
Economics
Military & Security
Politics
AssessmentsAug 6, 2025 | 18:15 GMT
Supporters of Bosnian Serb separatist leader Milorad Dodik watch him speak in Banja Luka, Republika Srpska, on Feb. 26, 2025.
The Potential Outcomes of Bosnia's Emerging Political Crisis
In Bosnia and Herzegovina, a political crisis in the Serb entity of Republika Srpska will likely result in a period of institutional paralysis and Western isolation. Alternatively, it could result in a stabilizing early election under domestic and external pressure or, in the most extreme case, a unilateral declaration of independence that triggers international sanctions and widespread instability. On Aug. 6, Bosnia and Herzegovina's Central Electoral Commission stripped Milorad Dodik of his position as president of Republika Srpska, one of the entities that make up the country. The commission's decision came after Bosnia and Herzegovina's appeal court confirmed on Aug. 1 an earlier court ruling sentencing Dodik to one year in prison and a six-year ban on political activity for knowingly ignoring decisions issued by the country's High Representative, Christian Schmidt, in 2023. While Dodik can appeal, if his removal is upheld, the Central Electoral Committee would have the power
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Bosnia and Herzegovina
Military & Security
Politics
SnapshotsAug 1, 2025 | 17:44 GMT
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi (left) shakes hands with Maldivian President Mohamed Muizzu upon meeting in Male on July 25, 2025.
Modi Resets Ties With the Maldives After Its 'India Out' Campaign
Improving relations between India and the Maldives will strengthen the former's strategic foothold in the Indian Ocean and provide the latter with needed financial support, while laying the groundwork for deeper economic integration, including via a free trade agreement. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced a $565-million credit line and launched free trade talks with the Maldives during his two-day visit to the island nation that began on July 25. The trip, which coincided with the 60th anniversary of Maldivian independence, aimed to strengthen India's development partnership with the country, where New Delhi is competing with Beijing for influence. The visit also came amid rising concerns over the Maldives' struggling economy and foreign exchange shortages.
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Maldives
India
Economics
Politics
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