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AssessmentsJul 15, 2025 | 21:47 GMT
Diplomats attend the 32nd Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Regional Forum during the 58th ASEAN Foreign Ministers' Meeting in Kuala Lumpur on July 11, 2025.
ASEAN Meeting Provides an Arena for Multipolar Competition
China and Russia used the ASEAN summit to modestly expand influence through dealmaking and institutional engagement, signaling their intent to deepen long-term roles in the Southeast Asian bloc, which will increasingly become a testing ground for strategic alignment amid intensifying U.S.-China competition and weakening multilateral norms. Occurring from July 8-10, the ASEAN Foreign Ministers' Meeting saw China pledge to sign the Southeast Asia Nuclear Weapons Free Zone, or SEANWFZ, treaty ''without reservation'' once procedural steps are complete, while reaffirming the ASEAN-China Free Trade Area 3.0, or ACTFA, upgrade. At the same time, Russia secured formal adoption of the 2026-2030 Russia-ASEAN Comprehensive Plan of Action, or CPA. The document outlines and upgrades collaboration in trade, energy, agriculture, education and security, and crucially, commits Russia to structured participation in ASEAN-led security platforms like the ASEAN Regional Forum and ASEAN Defence Ministers' Meeting-Plus format. U.S. participation was limited by comparison, with no new
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United States
Asia-Pacific
China
Russia
Military & Security
Politics
AssessmentsJul 14, 2025 | 21:13 GMT
The entrance to the International Monetary Fund headquarters is seen in Washington, D.C.
Bangladesh's Economic Outlook: Progress and Persistent Challenges
While Bangladesh is making progress in its IMF program, it will continue to face risks including political uncertainty, low foreign exchange reserves, high U.S. tariffs on its vital garment sector, and weakened investor confidence -- factors that will collectively threaten export earnings, fiscal stability and economic recovery. On June 23, the International Monetary Fund's executive board approved a $1.3 billion disbursement to Bangladesh under a combined third and fourth review of its loan program. The IMF also approved an expansion of the program, bringing the total support package to $5.5 billion, up from the $4.7 billion agreed in 2023.
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Bangladesh
Economics
Global Trade
Politics
Situation ReportJul 14, 2025 | 17:05 GMT
Australia: HIMARS Fired Amid Largest-Ever Military Drills
Australia launched U.S.-made High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems as part of the 2025 Exercise Talisman Sabre, the largest iteration of the biennial multinational drills to date, AP reported on July 14.
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Canada
United States
Australia
China
Fiji
Indonesia
Japan
Malaysia
New Zealand
Papua New Guinea
Philippines
Singapore
South Korea
Thailand
Tonga
Vietnam
Germany
France
United Kingdom
Norway
Netherlands
India
Military & Security
Politics
SnapshotsJul 11, 2025 | 15:31 GMT
A Ukrainian soldier works on an AN/TWQ-1 Avenger anti-aircraft missile system on Nov. 28, 2023, in Kyiv, Ukraine.
What Trump's Growing Frustration With Russia Means for U.S. Policy
Despite growing frustration with Russia, the Trump administration is highly unlikely to dramatically ramp up pressure in a way that significantly alters the Kremlin's calculus, meaning major progress in peace talks will remain unlikely until at least later this year as Russian troops continue to press their summer offensive. On July 10, U.S. President Donald Trump said in an interview with NBC News that the United States had reached a deal with NATO leaders in which allies would purchase U.S. military systems, including crucial Patriot air defenses, and then transfer them to Ukraine; Trump also floated that he would have ''a major statement to make on Russia on Monday.'' The disclosures came after multiple signs in recent days that Trump is becoming increasingly frustrated with Russian President Vladimir Putin personally and with Russia's attacks in Ukraine. On July 8, Trump publicly inveighed against Putin, saying he has been throwing a
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United States
Ukraine
Russia
Military & Security
Politics
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
AssessmentsJul 8, 2025 | 18:00 GMT
Georgian anti-government demonstrators attempt to block a highway entrance to the capital Tbilisi on Feb. 2, 2025
Georgia's Crackdown on Dissent Risks Drawing It Closer to Russia and Alienating the West
In Georgia, the ruling government's expanding crackdown on dissent is jeopardizing its outreach to the West, opening the door for Russia to reassert its influence more strongly, and raising the risk of another round of potentially violent mass protests. In recent weeks, the ruling Georgian Dream government has increased efforts to limit political and grassroots opposition to its rule. Among other things, authorities have imposed multimonth jail terms and, in most cases, two-year bans on holding political office for six opposition leaders for refusing to testify before a Georgian Dream-led parliamentary commission. While the government says the inquiry is an unbiased attempt to investigate alleged wrongdoing from 2003-2012, when the now-opposition United National Movement controlled the presidency and parliament, critics argue it is a thinly veiled effort to quash opposition to the Georgian Dream's rule. In addition, the government has approved a new law enabling it to ban political parties,
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Europe
Georgia
Russia
Military & Security
Politics
AssessmentsJul 3, 2025 | 20:29 GMT
Vietnam's Foreign Ministry spokesperson Pham Thu Hang answers reporters' questions about the new Vietnam-U.S. trade deal during a press conference in Hanoi on July 3, 2025.
The Vietnam-U.S. Trade Deal Reduces Tariffs, but the Devil Is in the Details
The U.S.-Vietnam trade deal lowers headline tariffs, but the lack of key details leaves major uncertainty around specifics and enforcement aspects that could reshape investment and squeeze exporters across China-linked and Southeast Asian supply chains. On July 2, U.S. President Donald Trump announced a trade deal with Vietnam in which the United States will impose a 20% tariff on Vietnamese imports and a 40% tariff on goods transshipped through Vietnam -- a measure clearly targeting Chinese goods shipped through Vietnam. The agreement was announced just days ahead of a self-imposed July 9 deadline that could have seen the United States place a 46% tariff on Vietnamese goods. As a part of the deal, Trump said that Vietnam would eliminate all tariffs on imports of U.S. goods. However, the Vietnamese government has not yet released details or legal text on such plans, and Vietnamese officials have stated that negotiations around finer
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United States
China
Vietnam
Economics
Global Trade
SnapshotsJul 3, 2025 | 19:58 GMT
Thai Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra (center) speaks next to Deputy Prime Minister Phumtham Wechayachai (2nd from left) during a press conference in Bangkok following her suspension by the country's Constitutional Court on July 1, 2025.
A Fresh Political Crisis Erupts in Thailand Following Prime Minister's Suspension
In Thailand, the prime minister's suspension creates a new political crisis that raises the risk of government collapse and economic disruption amid U.S. trade tensions. On July 1, Thailand's Constitutional Court suspended Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra from office while it reviews a petition alleging she violated the constitution by conducting foreign policy in an unethical and unauthorized manner. The complaint, which was submitted by 36 senators, centers on the prime minister's June 15 phone call with Hun Sen, Cambodia's former prime minister and current Senate president, during which she discussed ongoing border demarcation tensions and referred to the Thai military as an "opponent." Hun leaked an audio recording of the call, which triggered an uproar in Thailand, with critics arguing that Paetongtarn's tone was overly deferential and that she undermined Thailand's negotiating position in its long-running territorial dispute with Cambodia around un-demarcated border temple regions. On June 18, the Bhumjaithai
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Cambodia
Thailand
Economics
Military & Security
Politics
SnapshotsJul 2, 2025 | 16:47 GMT
A Ukrainian soldier works on an Avenger AN/TWQ-1 anti-aircraft missile system on Nov. 28, 2023, in Kyiv, Ukraine.
Ukraine Grapples With a Freeze on U.S. Weapons Deliveries
The U.S. decision to pause key arms deliveries to Ukraine will degrade Ukraine's ability to repel intensifying Russian attacks, raising the risk that Kyiv could eventually be pressured into accepting unfavorable terms in future peace negotiations if Washington does not reverse its decision or if Ukraine fails to secure alternative support. On July 1, the United States announced it was pausing the delivery of key military aid to Ukraine. According to U.S. officials cited in multiple media reports, the weapons affected by this decision include interceptors for the Patriot air defense system, precision-guided artillery shells and air-launched missiles compatible with Ukraine's F-16 fighter jets. While the list of delayed weapons has not been made public, if the media reports are accurate, the freeze will impact deliveries of weapons that are critical to Ukraine's defensive and offensive capabilities. On July 2, Ukraine's Defense Ministry said it had not received any official
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United States
Ukraine
Russia
Military & Security
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
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