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AssessmentsOct 31, 2025 | 20:04 GMT
An aerial photo shows the Saudi capital of Riyadh.
The Modern Geopolitics of Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia's national strategy is challenged by its austere past and potential future. The kingdom seeks alignment with a regional and global order to achieve middle power status while preventing internal divisions spurred by the very reforms it is using to walk that path. It is vulnerable to geopolitical shocks and internal erosion of consensus, especially the latter. Riyadh's monarchy must manage these imperatives effectively to avoid a return to a divided, foreign-controlled state, mirroring its 20th-century beginning.
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Saudi Arabia
Economics
Energy
Military & Security
Politics
Social Issues
AssessmentsOct 31, 2025 | 18:50 GMT
A girl walks past posters and banners depicting political candidates from rival blocs competing for a seat in the Iraqi Council of Representatives in old Mosul, northern Iraq, on Oct. 28, 2025, days before the Nov. 11, 2025, parliamentary elections.
Assessing Iraq's Political Landscape Ahead of Legislative Elections
Iraq's Nov. 11 parliamentary elections will likely yield a broad governing coalition helmed by Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani that balances bilateral relations with the United States and Iran, but still faces public service provision challenges. On Nov. 11, Iraq will hold parliamentary elections for all 329 seats in its unicameral legislature, the Council of Representatives. The lead-up to the elections has been marred by controversy and some violence. For instance, influential Shiite nationalist cleric Muqtada al-Sadr called for a boycott of the elections, citing corruption, after negotiations with the government to extend the candidate registration deadline failed. There have also been attacks against minority candidates, including a bombing that killed a Sunni candidate in northern Iraq in early October and an attack on the office of a Sunni candidate near Baghdad several days later.
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United States
Iran
Iraq
Politics
Situation ReportOct 31, 2025 | 18:37 GMT
Tanzania: Military Warns Against Further Unrest as Preliminary Results Portend Landslide Victory for Hassan
Chief of the Tanzania People's Defence Force Gen. Jacob John Mkunda warned that Tanzanian security forces "can't allow" violent unrest to persist in the aftermath of the country's Oct. 29 general election, which preliminary results show President Samia Suluhu Hassan winning with 95% of vote, Bloomberg reported on Oct. 31.
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Tanzania
Military & Security
Politics
AssessmentsOct 30, 2025 | 22:01 GMT
A U.S. Marine V-22 Osprey takes off from Jose Aponte de la Torre Airport, formerly Roosevelt Roads Naval Station, on Sept. 13, 2025, in Ceiba, Puerto Rico.
The Outlook for U.S. Strikes on Drug Traffickers in Latin America and the Caribbean
The United States will likely expand the frequency and geographic scope of strikes targeting alleged drug traffickers over the next year, with the potential for attacks to move onshore in a range of countries across Latin America and the Caribbean, creating physical safety and operating challenges for organizations, as well as compliance risks due to expanding sanctions enforcement. Since Oct. 17, U.S. military strikes targeting alleged drug traffickers in the southern Caribbean Sea have increased in frequency and geographic scope, with strikes off the coast of Colombia and in the eastern Pacific Ocean. The United States publicly acknowledged a total of eight strikes in 12 days, an escalation from the previous rate of announced strikes of approximately one every other week. The first strike, which Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth announced on Oct. 20, occurred on Oct. 17 off the coast of Colombia, targeting alleged members of the National Liberation
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Belize
Colombia
Cuba
Dominican Republic
Ecuador
El Salvador
Guatemala
Haiti
Honduras
Mexico
Bahamas
Trinidad and Tobago
United States
Venezuela
Jamaica
Military & Security
AssessmentsOct 30, 2025 | 21:18 GMT
A flag displaying the logo for Russia's Lukoil oil giant flies near a Russian flag in Moscow on Oct. 23, 2025.
New U.S. Sanctions Strike at the Heart of Russia's War Economy
New U.S. sanctions on Russia's two largest oil producers mark the most consequential escalation of economic pressure on Moscow since launching its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, which signals Washington's intent to constrict the Kremlin's war financing, while testing oil market stability and Putin's capacity to endure prolonged attrition. The United States' Oct. 22 sanctions target Rosneft and Lukoil, which together produce roughly 5 million barrels per day (bpd), representing about half of Russia's total crude output and over 5% of global oil production. The two companies also export nearly 2 million bpd, representing roughly two-thirds of Russia's total crude exports. Announced by the U.S. Treasury as a direct effort to pressure Moscow into a ceasefire, the measures bar U.S. and foreign banks from financing or clearing transactions and include a 30-day wind-down period ending on Nov. 21. They build on the United States and other Western countries'
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United States
Russia
Economics
Energy
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
SnapshotsOct 30, 2025 | 18:10 GMT
U.S. President Donald Trump (L) and China's President Xi Jinping leave after their talks at the Gimhae Air Base, in Busan, South Korea, on Oct. 30, 2025.
China Secures Favorable U.S. Trade Deal, New Escalations Still Likely
The U.S.-China talks in South Korea produced a framework deal favorable to China, with future trade war escalations likely over the next year as Washington and Beijing seek to enforce their own interpretations of the new measures. On Oct. 30, U.S. President Donald Trump met with Chinese President Xi Jinping to discuss trade matters in Busan, South Korea. They announced that the United States will reduce its 20% fentanyl tariff on China to 10%, in exchange for Chinese cooperation on curbing the flow of fentanyl precursor exports. The United States will also forgo its previously threatened 100% additional tariff on China, and has agreed to pause its Section 301 investigation into Chinese shipping, which presumably includes suspending hefty U.S. fees on China-built, -operated or -owned vessels. The U.S. Commerce Department's decision to target all majority-owned subsidiaries of Entity List companies will be suspended for one year as well. China, for
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United States
China
Economics
Global Trade
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