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AssessmentsMar 27, 2026 | 18:42 GMT

A general view of power lines near the Lethabo power station between Vereeniging and Sasolburg, South Africa, on April 17, 2024.

The Outlook for South Africa's Power Sector Reforms and Energy Security

South Africa's power sector reforms will likely spur rising investment in electricity generation and transmission projects despite remaining years away from completion, but the country remains exposed to a high risk of resurging rolling blackouts from 2029 onward if it presses ahead with plans to decommission many of its coal-fired power plants.

Environment, Science & Technology

Situation ReportMar 27, 2026 | 17:06 GMT

Congo: Rwandan-Backed Rebels Withdraw From Parts of North Kivu

The Rwandan-backed M23 rebel group has withdrawn from several localities in the Lubero and Walikale territories of the Democratic Republic of the Congo's North Kivu province since the night of March 23-24, Jeune Afrique reported on March 27.

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Military & Security

Situation ReportMar 27, 2026 | 16:21 GMT

EU, China: European Parliament To Send First Delegation to China in Eight Years

The European Parliament will send a delegation to Beijing and Shanghai on March 31-April 2, including members of the Committee on Internal Market and Consumer Protection and the head of its China delegation, the parliament confirmed in a March 26 press release.

Situation ReportMar 26, 2026 | 20:04 GMT

Cuba, U.S.: Raul Castro Participates in U.S. Talks as Leaks About Negotiations Emerge

Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel said former President Raul Castro is involved in negotiations between Havana and Washington, AP reported on March 25.

AssessmentsMar 26, 2026 | 18:11 GMT

Cars drive past a gas station in Ponte Leccia on the French Mediterranean island of Corsica on March 26, 2026.

How the EU Is Responding to Its Latest Energy Crisis

While Gulf oil and gas supply disruptions are driving higher and more volatile energy prices in Europe, EU-wide market interventions remain unlikely, leaving a fragmented patchwork of national relief measures that will only partially shield households and industry, and although Europe will avoid physical shortages, high prices will continue to weigh on industrial competitiveness and economic growth.

Military & Security

Situation ReportMar 26, 2026 | 16:06 GMT

Tanzania: Government Strikes $300M Niobium Deal With U.S.-Linked Company

The Tanzanian government signed an agreement with U.S.-linked company Tremont Investment Group to develop the $300 million Panda Hill project, The Chanzo reported on March 25.

AssessmentsMar 26, 2026 | 15:10 GMT

The Burj Khalifa skyscraper (L) and the Burj al-Arab hotel (R) on March 11 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates.

Will the Gulf States Join the Iran War, and What Would Happen if They Did?

With further Iranian provocation, several Gulf Cooperation Council states would be willing to join the war against Iran, but doing so would likely deepen Iran's targeting of their critical infrastructure, exacerbate the globally disruptive impacts of the war and potentially pull the GCC into a permanently hostile relationship with Iran.

United Arab Emirates

Military & Security

AssessmentsMar 25, 2026 | 19:00 GMT

A medicine distributor stores Mounjaro (tirzepatide) self-injecting GLP-1 prefilled pens and vials in a fridge at his office in Thane, India, on March 20, 2026.

The Growth Outlook for India's Pharmaceutical Sector Remains Strong, Despite Global Uncertainties

Despite ongoing global trade and energy uncertainties, India's pharmaceutical and medical technology sectors are set to experience strong growth driven by manufacturing incentives, regulatory reforms and improved access to foreign markets, although supply-chain vulnerabilities, reliance on imported APIs and U.S. trade investigations pose risks of production disruptions, export delays and market volatility.

United Arab Emirates

Environment, Science & Technology

Situation ReportMar 25, 2026 | 17:06 GMT

Nigeria: Regulator Moves To Fast-Track Revival of Old Oil Wells Amid Iran War

The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission, or NUPRC, has cut approval times to revive old oil wells from weeks to hours, Bloomberg reported on March 24, quoting sources familiar with the matter.

AssessmentsMar 25, 2026 | 16:35 GMT

The Geopolitics of Demographics

The Geopolitics of Demographics: Politics and Economics

Demography, derived from the Greek words for "description of people or society," is the statistical study and analysis of populations, including their changing structure (age, gender, education, etc.) and size. Demographic change is notoriously slow and often imperceptible, but its long-term impact is significant, affecting domestic and international political stability, economic growth and financial wealth. The key analytical question is how, and under what circumstances and mechanisms, demography impacts social outcomes.

Sub-Saharan Africa

Middle East and North Africa

Military & Security

Situation ReportMar 24, 2026 | 19:16 GMT

South Africa: Farmers Eye Production Cuts Amid Price Hikes for Fuel, Fertilizer

South African farmers may not press ahead with their winter planting season if crop prices do not rise enough to offset their expected increase in fuel and fertilizer costs linked to the Iran war, Bloomberg reported on March 24.

Military & Security

Situation ReportMar 24, 2026 | 16:04 GMT

U.S., Iran: Israeli Officials Say U.S.-Iran Deal Remains Unlikely, but Pakistan Offers To Host Talks

Several unnamed Israeli officials have indicated that a potential agreement between the United States and Iran is unlikely, although Pakistan offered to host negotiations as early as late in the week of March 23 to de-escalate the conflict, Reuters reported on March 24.

Military & Security

Situation ReportMar 23, 2026 | 19:14 GMT

Mali: Over 100 Suspected Jihadists Released Amid Truce on Mali Fuel Embargo

In Mali, authorities released more than 100 suspected jihadists linked to the al Qaeda Sahel affiliate Jamaat Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin, or JNIM, this week as part of an agreement to secure a temporary truce that paused the jihadist‑imposed fuel embargo, RFI reported on March 22.

Military & Security

Situation ReportMar 23, 2026 | 19:12 GMT

Somalia: South West State President Denounces 'Blatant Invasion' by Federal Government

The president of Somalia's South West state, Abdiaziz Hassan Mohamed Laftagareen, accused the federal government of carrying out a "blatant invasion " of the state after clashes erupted between regional forces and local opposition fighters linked to the federal government near Baidoa on March 19, Hiiraan News reported on March 22.

Military & Security

Situation ReportMar 23, 2026 | 16:53 GMT

France: Municipal Elections Show National Rally Gains, But Setbacks in Major Cities

France's far-right National Rally expanded its local footprint in the second round of municipal elections on March 22, increasing its number of mayoralties across the country, though it failed to secure control of several targeted major cities, losing in Marseille, Toulon, and Nimes, Le Monde reported March 23.

Situation ReportMar 23, 2026 | 16:37 GMT

Taiwan: Iran War Spurs Ruling Party U-Turn on Nuclear Power

Taiwanese President William Lai said at a business leaders meeting in Taichung on March 21 that his government would submit plans to the Nuclear Safety Commission by the end of March to restart operations at the Kuosheng nuclear power plant in New Taipei and the Ma'anshan nuclear plant in Hengchun, the Taipei Times reported on March 22.

On GeopoliticsMar 23, 2026 | 15:46 GMT

Photos of prominent Hezbollah leaders are seen at the site of a reported Israeli airstrike which killed 6 members of the same family, on March 19, 2026 in Baalbek, Lebanon.

The Impact the Israel-Hezbollah War Will Have on Lebanon

After two and a half years of war, Israel appears to now be moving to attempt to severely, if not completely, eradicate the threat stemming from Iran's most important ally, Hezbollah in Lebanon. The current round of Hezbollah-Israel conflict did not emerge in isolation but as part of the broader regional escalation that followed the outbreak of war between the United States, Israel and Iran on Feb. 28. Hezbollah entered the conflict on March 2 by launching rockets and drones toward Israel in what it framed as support for Iran and retaliation for the killing of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. What initially appeared to be a symbolic demonstration of solidarity quickly evolved into sustained cross-border fighting that has drawn Lebanon deeper into the regional war. Despite having been heavily battered in the 2024 conflict with Israel, Hezbollah has surprised Israeli planners by demonstrating that it retains meaningful operational capabilities. Among

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Military & Security

AssessmentsMar 21, 2026 | 15:00 GMT

The European Parliament building in 2019 in Strasbourg, France.

The Weekly Rundown: A Vote on the EU‑U.S. Trade Framework, the Iran Conflict Continues

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

Military & Security

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Situation ReportMar 20, 2026 | 19:04 GMT

U.S.: White House Unveils AI Framework

The Trump administration on March 20 issued a national artificial intelligence framework focused on six key areas: protections for children, infrastructure resilience, fair use for creative works, free speech, innovation and workforce development.

Environment, Science & Technology

Situation ReportMar 20, 2026 | 18:33 GMT

Kenya: Lamu Port Emerges as Transshipment Hub Amid Hormuz Strait Closure

More shipping vessels are docking at the Kenyan port of Lamu amid Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz and concerns about a new escalation by Yemen's Houthi rebels in the Red Sea, Bloomberg reported on March 19.

Military & Security

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